Stjarnan vs Víkingur Prediction: 16.07.2026 UEFA Conference League

Stjarnan host Víkingur in the second leg of their UEFA Conference League 2026/27 First Qualifying Round tie, carrying a 3-1 advantage from the first meeting played just days ago. The Icelandic side are in the stronger position, but the Faroese visitors will know they need at least two unanswered goals to turn this around, and that creates a very specific tactical tension worth watching. Stjarnan head coach Jökull Elísabetarson has a side that scored eight goals across their last five matches, and striker Emil Atlason has been genuinely dangerous, netting six of those eight goals himself. On the Víkingur side, midfielder Aron Benjaminsen carries the biggest attacking threat with two goals in the last two fixtures, and if he gets space in the final third, Stjarnan’s defence will be tested.

Hot stat: Emil Atlason has scored six goals in just three recent matches for Stjarnan, accounting for 75% of the team’s total output in that spell. That kind of individual weight in attack is rare at this level of European qualification.

Stjarnan vs Víkingur prediction

Stjarnan already have one foot in the next round. A 3-1 first-leg win means Víkingur need to win by two goals or more to progress, and the Faroese side’s recent form away from home does not suggest that is a realistic outcome. Stjarnan’s home approach under a 4-3-3 shape should give them enough control in midfield to manage the tie rather than chase it. We think a Stjarnan win or at worst a comfortable draw is the most likely path here, and backing Stjarnan on the moneyline at around 2.15 to 2.25 feels like reasonable value given the context of the tie.

Stjarnan have committed only five fouls across their last five matches, which is strikingly low, and their pass accuracy data suggests they are not a team that just lumps the ball forward. Víkingur, by contrast, have picked up eight yellow cards in five matches, which is a meaningful number at this level. If Víkingur push aggressively to chase the deficit, those card numbers could climb. The disciplinary gap between these sides is real, and it may shape how the second half plays out if Stjarnan stay composed and make Víkingur chase the game.

On total goals, Stjarnan have been scoring freely at home and Víkingur have a defensive record that allowed three in the first leg. Over 2.5 goals looks the sensible call. BTTS is trickier – Víkingur managed only one goal across their last two matches combined, but they will need to attack here, so yes is probably the right side of that market.

Team Analysis

Stjarnan have won one, drawn one, and lost one in the last 30 days, but that record is a little misleading given the context of those results. Their most recent match was the 3-1 first-leg win over Víkingur themselves, which is the most relevant data point here. Before that, they drew 2-2 with Hafnarfjordur in the Icelandic league – a competitive domestic rival. The loss against Afturelding back in June was against a side that has been in strong form, so it does not dramatically change the picture. Stjarnan’s attacking output in recent weeks has been sharp, and with 35 corner kicks across their last five matches, they clearly press high and generate territory. Their 49 total shots in that same window is a solid number for a side at this level.

Víkingur come into this in a difficult spot. They won three of their last four matches in the Faroe Islands Premier League, beating B36 Torshavn 2-0 and Torshavn 4-0, which shows they can score goals against domestic opposition. But those numbers do not translate directly to this European context. Their first-leg performance ended in a 1-3 defeat, and the statistical data from their last five matches raises questions: only 12 total shots, zero recorded pass data, and just eight corners. It is hard to know whether those figures reflect missing data or genuinely limited output, but the first-leg result itself tells enough of the story. Aron Benjaminsen’s two goals remain the brightest sign for Jóhan Poulsen’s side, and if he gets an early chance here, the tie could briefly feel alive again.

🚨Check out our dedicated Stjarnan vs Víkingur stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Víkingur the favourite

• Moneyline Stjarnan 2.15 | Víkingur 2.75
• Draw 3.65
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The bookmakers have Víkingur as a narrow favourite on the night at roughly 2.75, which is interesting given that Stjarnan won the first leg convincingly and are playing at home. Honestly, we think the market is pricing in Víkingur’s need to attack, which opens space for Stjarnan on the counter. Stjarnan’s odds around 2.15 to 2.25 represent fair value in that context. The draw at 3.65 is not without appeal either – if Stjarnan decide to sit on their aggregate advantage and play conservatively, a 0-0 or 1-1 becomes plausible, but their attacking output suggests that is not really their style.

Possible Starting Lineups

Stjarnan possible starting eleven

Stjarnan look settled in a 4-3-3 that has functioned well across recent matches. Arni Snaer Olafsson starts in goal with four saves registered in three appearances. The back four picks itself, with Gustav Kjeldsen and logi orvar orvarsson covering the most ground. Benedikt Waren is the key creative link in midfield, with two assists and the most progressive passing in the squad. Emil Atlason is the name to watch above everyone else – six goals in three matches is form that demands respect at any level, and Víkingur will need to find a way to contain him or this tie is over very early in the second leg.

Víkingur possible starting eleven

Víkingur’s data is limited, but Bardur A Reynatrod appears to be the first-choice goalkeeper based on playing time. Aron Benjaminsen has two goals in two matches and is the most dangerous attacking outlet available to Jóhan Poulsen. Aron Jarnskor Ellingsgaard contributed two assists in the same period, so the connection between those two is worth watching. Solvi Vatnhamar and Jakup Johansen have both picked up two yellow cards each in two matches, which is a warning sign for a team that needs to press aggressively without getting men sent off. Víkingur will likely line up in their familiar 4-3-3 shape, though the personnel available suggests they may shift toward a more direct approach to chase the deficit.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Stjarnan hold all the cards going into this second leg. They are at home, they already beat Víkingur 3-1 a week ago, and their top scorer Emil Atlason is in the kind of form that makes opposing defences look disorganized. Víkingur’s disciplinary issues – eight yellow cards in five matches – could become a serious problem if they are forced to foul to stay in contention. We think Stjarnan win this comfortably, maybe 2-1 or 2-0, progress to the next round, and Atlason adds to his tally. The combination of Stjarnan to win and over 2.5 goals is our primary recommendation, with Stjarnan’s corner output suggesting the over 8.5 corners market is worth a look as well. Víkingur’s need to attack creates space, and Stjarnan have shown they know how to exploit exactly that kind of open game.

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