Levi Rothermund
Slovakia and Montenegro meet in Bergen on June 5 for an International Friendly, with Vladimír Weiss facing off against Mirko Vučinić in what looks like a fairly one-sided contest on paper. Slovakia enter as heavy favorites, backed by a 58% win probability from bookmakers, and they showed enough composure in their recent 2-1 win over Malta to suggest they can control this match. The interesting angle here is the venue: Brann Stadion in Bergen, a neutral ground, which slightly levels the playing field for Montenegro and removes any home advantage Slovakia might otherwise carry.
Two players to watch are Slovakia’s attacking options under Weiss, who has consistently pushed his side to press high and create from wide areas in a 4-3-3 setup. For Montenegro, the physical presence up front in their preferred 4-4-2 has been their most reliable weapon, and they showed it can work against stronger opponents when they beat Bulgaria 1-0 last time out.
Hot stat: Montenegro have won their last match in each of the past 30 days of recorded activity, but their longer form tells a different story — they have lost three of their last five matches across all competitions, and two of those losses came against sides ranked higher than Slovakia.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:30 CEST |
Slovakia vs Montenegro Prediction
Slovakia are the right side to back here. Their 2026 year-to-date record sits at two wins from three matches, and they have shown the ability to grind out results against mid-level opposition. The 2-1 win over Malta was not flashy, but it was controlled, and before that they beat Romania 2-0 with relative ease. Montenegro won their last outing against Bulgaria, but that was a narrow 1-0 result against a team ranked significantly lower. Their 2-3 loss to Slovenia before that is more telling.
We think a Slovakia win to nil is worth considering if you want value, but the safer line is Slovakia to win and over 1.5 goals in the match. Montenegro’s 4-4-2 tends to be compact but leaves space on the counter, which is exactly how Slovakia’s 4-3-3 likes to operate. Slovakia are also the more disciplined side in terms of structure, and Weiss has had more time to build cohesion in this international window.
- Best bet: Slovakia to win
- Value play: Over 1.5 goals in the match
- Long shot: Slovakia to win to nil
Slovakia average around 60-65% pass accuracy in recent friendlies, which is decent for this level. Montenegro tend to foul more frequently and give away free kicks in dangerous areas, which could play into Slovakia’s hands if they can win set pieces. The yellow card risk is real for Montenegro’s midfield, and that physical approach might backfire if Slovakia can draw fouls early.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | Slovakia to win to nil |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Over 1.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Slovakia come into this fixture off the back of a 2-1 win over Malta on March 29, which was their most recent competitive outing. That result followed a clean 2-0 win over Romania in March, giving them back-to-back wins heading into this friendly. Their only blemish in 2026 was a 3-4 loss to Kosovo, a match where they conceded four but still managed three goals — showing offensive intent even in defeat. The broader form line reads as patchy over 15 matches, with several losses in the mix, but the recent upward trend is clear.
Montenegro’s last match was a 1-0 win over Bulgaria on March 29, a result that flatters them slightly given Bulgaria’s low ranking. Before that, they lost 2-3 to Slovenia and beat Andorra 2-0, which is a mixed bag. Their 2-3 loss to Croatia in an earlier window showed that against quality opposition, they leak goals. Three of their last five results have ended in defeat, and their form line over 15 matches is inconsistent at best. Mirko Vučinić will need his side to be more disciplined here than they were against Slovenia.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited in recent history. The available data from their only recorded recent meeting in this window shows no goals scored yet, but bookmakers already price Slovakia as strong favorites at 58% win probability against Montenegro’s 18%.
| Statistic | Slovakia | Montenegro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Total shots | 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks | 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks | 0 | 0 |
| Total fouls | 0 | 0 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Offsides | 0 | 0 |
🚨 Check out our dedicated Slovakia vs Montenegro stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Slovakia the Favourite
- Moneyline Slovakia 1.61 | Montenegro 5.25
- Draw 3.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.20 | No 1.65
The odds on Slovakia at around 1.60 are fair but not generous. The real value sits in the “No” on BTTS, given Montenegro’s tendency to struggle in front of goal against organized defenses. Slovakia keeping a clean sheet is a realistic outcome, and the 1.65 on BTTS No reflects that possibility without being too short. The draw at 3.75 is there for anyone who thinks Montenegro can hold on, but honestly, we don’t see them doing enough to earn a point here. Montenegro at 5.25 is pure gamble territory.
Montenegro. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Slovakia Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Dúbravka
- DF: Pekarík, Vavro, Škriniar, Hancko
- MF: Lobotka, Kucka, Duda
- FW: Strelec, Boženík, Haraslín
Weiss has favored a 4-3-3 across recent matches, and there is no reason to expect a change here. Milan Škriniar remains the anchor of the defensive line, and his ability to read the game limits Montenegro’s direct play up front. Lobotka in the middle controls tempo, and Duda’s movement from the left channel is the creative trigger Slovakia rely on. Boženík leads the line and has the physicality to trouble Montenegro’s center-backs in a 4-4-2 shape.
Montenegro Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Mijatović
- DF: Vujačić, Tomaševič, Simonović, Radunović
- MF: Janković, Krstović, Bakić, Mugošа
- FW: Beqiraj, Jovović
Vučinić has leaned on a 4-4-2 with two strikers, and the partnership of Beqiraj and Jovović gives them a physical presence in the final third. Mugošа is the most technically gifted midfielder in this squad and the most likely source of anything creative. The defensive unit has been inconsistent, particularly against teams that move the ball quickly, which is a concern against Slovakia’s wide play. Montenegro will likely sit deep and look to hit on the break, but their conversion rate in recent matches has been low.
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Slovakia. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Slovakia win this one. Their recent form is better, their squad depth is greater, and their tactical setup under Weiss is better suited to breaking down a compact 4-4-2. Montenegro have shown they can nick a result against weaker opposition, but Slovakia are a different challenge. We expect Weiss’s side to control possession, create chances from wide areas, and score at least once in each half.
The BTTS No line at 1.65 is our preferred bet. Montenegro have failed to score in two of their last five matches, and Slovakia’s defensive organization, anchored by Škriniar, is good enough to keep them quiet. A 2-0 Slovakia win is our predicted scoreline, with Lobotka pulling the strings in midfield and Duda causing problems down the left throughout.
