Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction: 12.09.2026 Bundesliga Preview

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Hoffenheim sit rock bottom of the Bundesliga table without a single point after two rounds, while Stuttgart arrive with three points and a top-half finish already banked from last season fresh in mind. The interesting wrinkle here is that despite Hoffenheim’s dismal start, the betting markets still lean slightly toward the home side, a nod to their recent home comforts against this exact opponent. The last four meetings between these clubs produced two draws and two matches where both teams found the net, so goals rarely dry up when Hoffenheim host Stuttgart.

Patrick Wimmer has been Hoffenheim’s most productive attacker across the last five matches, scoring twice while also creating chances from wide areas, and he will need a big performance if the hosts are to end their winless run. On the other side, Ermedin Demirović has been nothing short of clinical for Stuttgart, netting four goals in his last four appearances and giving their front line a genuine focal point.

Hot stat: Demirović’s four goals in four games gives Stuttgart the sharpest striker on the pitch this weekend, a number no Hoffenheim forward comes close to matching in recent weeks.

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart prediction

We predict value lies with Stuttgart here, and to be hones, the odds around 2.65 look generous for a side ranked far higher globally and sitting comfortably above Hoffenheim in the table. Hoffenheim have lost three of their last five outings and their home form this season has done nothing to suggest a turnaround is close. Stuttgart, by contrast, won three of their last five games and have scored twelve goals in that span compared to Hoffenheim’s ten.

Hoffenheim have committed 68 fouls across their last five matches against Stuttgart’s 40, a gap that hints at a more physical, occasionally undisciplined approach from the hosts. Hoffenheim also picked up six yellow cards in that period versus Stuttgart’s five, and combined with their higher corner count (42 versus 25) it paints a picture of a team that dominates territory without converting it into results. Stuttgart’s tighter, more efficient style should let them punish those lapses on the counter.

Team Analysis

Hoffenheim’s recent form makes for grim reading. Across their last five fixtures they managed just one win, a draw and three losses, and their most recent outing ended in a 2-3 defeat to Borussia Dortmund. That result followed another 2-3 loss to FC Köln, meaning Hoffenheim have shipped six goals across their last two matches alone. The defense, anchored by Ozan Kabak and Albian Hajdari, has struggled to hold firm against sides capable of stretching them on the counter, and against a Stuttgart attack this sharp, that trend could continue.

Stuttgart head into this fixture in far better shape. Their last five results read two wins, zero draws and three losses in the wider sample, but their most recent match was a 3-1 win over Viking, continuing a run where they scored heavily and looked assured at the back. Before that they beat FC Köln 4-1, a scoreline that underlines just how potent their front line has become. Demirović’s goal involvement and Deniz Undav’s four assists in five matches give Stuttgart multiple routes to goal, and that variety should trouble a Hoffenheim side yet to find defensive stability.

🚨Check out our dedicated Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hoffenheim the favourite

• Moneyline Hoffenheim 2.25 | Stuttgart 2.65
• Draw 4.00

Bookmakers give Hoffenheim a slight edge purely on home advantage and the historical closeness of this fixture, with four of the last meetings ending level or within one goal. The market’s caution around Hoffenheim’s price still reflects real uncertainty though, and we think that gap between 2.25 and 2.65 undersells how much better Stuttgart have looked in recent weeks. A draw at 4.00 is not unreasonable given the H2H pattern, but backing Stuttgart’s superior attacking numbers feels like the sharper route.

Possible Starting Lineups

Baumann remains the senior figure between the posts and has started every match on record. Kabak and Hajdari carry the heaviest defensive workload, while Avdullahu and Burger sit in as the double pivot in Ilzer’s 4-2-3-1. Wimmer is the player to watch given his two goals and creative output from the last five games, and Daghim leads the line after logging the most minutes among the available forwards.

Bredlow has racked up sixteen saves across his last four starts and remains first choice under Hoeneß. Stiller and Prömel control the tempo from deep in the same 4-2-3-1 shape, freeing El Khannouss, Undav and Führich to rotate around Demirović up top. Demirović is the player worth watching closely, given his scoring rate makes him the most dangerous individual threat on the pitch this weekend.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Stuttgart edge this one, perhaps not comfortably but enough to leave Sinsheim with all three points or at worst a shared spoils. Hoffenheim’s defensive numbers over the last two rounds, six goals conceded and zero points collected, simply do not inspire confidence against a Stuttgart side averaging over two goals a game recently. Both teams have scored in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, so backing goals at both ends alongside a Stuttgart-leaning result feels like the most sensible combination for this fixture.

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