Sofia Quijada
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Sevilla arrive at this fixture without a win in their last four outings, a run that includes heavy defeats to Real Madrid and Barcelona. Osasuna, sitting just three points behind Sevilla in the table, have won only one of their last three but head to Andalusia on the back of a professional 2-0 away win over Racing Santander. The inside line here is the head-to-head record: Osasuna have lost just once in the last four meetings between these sides, a trend that sits awkwardly with Sevilla being favorites on the odds board.
Ante Budimir remains the player to watch for the visitors, he has scored twice in his last two appearances and continues to be Osasuna’s most reliable route to goal, even when the team struggles collectively. For Sevilla, Youssouf Fofana’s engine in midfield, 180 minutes played across the last two games with four interceptions and an assist, will be key to controlling tempo against an Osasuna side that presses in deep blocks.
Hot stat: Sevilla have conceded three or more goals in three of their last five matches, including back-to-back 1-3 and 1-4 defeats to Barcelona and Real Madrid, a worrying pattern for a team hosting a side averaging over 11 corners per match in its last five outings.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:00 CEST |
Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction
We predict value lies away from the straightforward home win. Sevilla open as favorites at around 1.90, but their recent form, zero wins and three losses in four matches, does not match that price against an Osasuna side unbeaten in two of the last four head-to-head meetings. Our pick is Osasuna Draw No Bet, backing the visitors to avoid defeat given their superior recent defensive discipline and Budimir’s scoring touch up front.
Sevilla have committed 31 fouls and picked up 6 yellow cards across their last five matches, numbers that suggest a side under pressure and prone to conceding free kicks in dangerous areas. Osasuna, with 34 fouls and 7 bookings in the same span, play an equally physical game but post better pass accuracy (65.7% team average vs 58.6% for Sevilla), which could let them dictate midfield battles and limit Sevilla’s build-up play.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Osasuna Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Sevilla’s slide continues with four winless matches in a row, the most recent a 1-4 collapse at the Bernabéu where they shipped three goals in the final half hour. Before that, a 3-3 thriller with Levante showed they can score, Manuel Bueno and Robbie Ure both finding the net in recent weeks, but the defensive frailty, three goals conceded in three of the last five games, is the bigger concern heading into this one. In our preview of Real Madrid vs Sevilla we backed a comfortable Madrid win by two or three goals, and the eventual 4-1 scoreline delivered that call comfortably.
Osasuna’s last outing, a 2-0 win over Racing Santander, was arguably their best defensive display of the season, Budimir converting from close range while the back four kept a clean sheet against a side that had scored freely elsewhere. Before that a 2-5 loss to Real Betis exposed gaps on the counter, but the Racing result suggests Jagoba Arrasate has found a more compact shape. In our preview of Osasuna vs Racing Santander we called a tight, goal-filled affair built around Osasuna Draw No Bet and BTTS Yes, and the 2-0 scoreline went against the BTTS portion of that call even though Osasuna’s unbeaten record held up.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Sevilla | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 3 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Sevilla vs Osasuna stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the favourite
- Moneyline Sevilla 1.90 | Osasuna 4.20
- Draw 3.40
Bookmakers give Sevilla roughly a 50% implied chance to win, with Osasuna sitting at 23%, a gap we think is too wide given the hosts’ current form slump. The draw price near 3.40 looks fair considering three of the last four meetings between these sides were separated by a single goal or finished level. Perhaps the smarter route is fading the favorite price rather than chasing it outright.
Possible Starting Lineups
Sevilla possible starting eleven
- GK: Odysseas Vlachodimos
- DF: José Ángel Carmona, Andrés Castrín, Kike Salas, Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez
- MF: Lucien Agoumé, Youssouf Fofana, Gabriel Suazo, Felix Correia
- FW: Rubén Vargas, Peque Fernández
Luis Garcia Plaza is likely to stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured in all five recent matches. Agoumé and Fofana both played every minute of the last two games and should anchor midfield, while Felix Correia, involved in a goal and a booking in his last two outings, offers the creative spark Sevilla badly need against a deep Osasuna block.
Osasuna possible starting eleven
- GK: Aitor Fernández
- DF: Alejandro Catena, Abel Bretones, Valentin Rosier, Enzo Boyomo
- MF: Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torró, Moi Gómez
- FW: Ante Budimir, Rubén García, Jonathan Dubasin
Arrasate’s 4-2-3-1 leans on the same spine that shut out Racing Santander, Catena and Bretones both completing 180 minutes in their last two matches. Budimir remains the focal point up front, with Moi Gómez’s 84% pass accuracy figures giving Osasuna a reliable outlet to build from deep.
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Osasuna. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict Osasuna leave the Pizjuán unbeaten, backed by Budimir’s scoring form and a defensive setup that has tightened since the Betis defeat. Sevilla’s shot volume, 29 across the last five games, should produce goals of their own, making BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 our secondary picks. To be honest, a 2-2 or 1-1 scoreline feels the realistic outcome, with Osasuna Draw No Bet standing out as the best value angle on the board.
Read also: Sevilla vs Osasuna: Predicted Line-ups & Team News for the Spanish La Liga match on 26 Oct 2026
