Sofia Quijada
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Osasuna and Racing Santander meet at El Sadar sitting level on 8 points with an identical goal difference of minus 10, a rare case of two clubs matching each other stat for stat at the bottom of the table. Osasuna have not won in four, Racing have won just once in their last four, and both defenses have been picked apart repeatedly this season. The interesting wrinkle here is that Racing already beat Osasuna 1-0 in a friendly last July and lost 2-0 the summer before that, so recent history between these two sides has been oddly competitive despite both struggling domestically.
Ante Budimir remains Osasuna’s one reliable outlet, having scored both of the team’s goals across their last five matches, and he will need to carry the attacking burden again here. On the other side, Iván Martín has quietly been Racing’s creative pulse, chipping in a goal and controlling tempo through midfield when the team manages to hold possession.
Hot stat: Racing Santander have conceded 12 goals across back to back matches against Celta Vigo (0-5) and Barcelona (2-7), a stretch that shows just how exposed this backline becomes against teams willing to push numbers forward.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona |
| 🗓️ Date: | 18.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:00 CEST |
Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction
Our value angle here is Osasuna Draw No Bet paired with Both Teams To Score. Osasuna are favourites at home and have won the most recent competitive-adjacent meeting between these clubs, but their current form, no wins in four, makes a straight moneyline bet risky. Draw No Bet protects against another home slip while Budimir’s scoring record and Racing’s leaky defense make BTTS Yes an easy lean.
Racing have out-passed and out-shot Osasuna across the last five rounds, racking up 31 shots and over 1,100 passes compared to Osasuna’s 21 shots and 735 passes, pointing to a possession-heavy away side. Osasuna compensate with physicality, committing 34 fouls to Racing’s 26 over the same stretch, which should produce a scrappier, stop-start match with set pieces mattering more than open play. Both sides picked up 8 yellow cards apiece in that span, so expect a similarly booked contest here.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ante Budimir to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Osasuna’s season has unraveled badly, winless in their last four and sitting bottom-half with the division’s joint-worst goal difference. Their most recent outing ended 2-5 at home to Real Betis, a result that exposed defensive gaps while Budimir and the attack still found twice. In our preview of Real Betis vs Osasuna we called a comfortable Betis win with goals at both ends, and the 5-2 scoreline delivered exactly that, Betis cruising while Osasuna still scored twice. That pattern, concede heavily but find a goal or two, fits this matchup against another leaky Racing side.
Racing Santander arrive having drawn 2-2 away at Valencia in their last fixture, a result that kept their winless run going despite scoring twice. Their defense remains the bigger concern, having shipped seven at Barcelona and five against Celta Vigo in recent weeks. In our preview of Racing Santander vs Valencia we backed a narrow home win with goals at both ends, and the eventual 2-2 draw went against the win call even though BTTS landed as expected. Racing’s tendency to score but not defend should carry into this trip to Pamplona.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Osasuna | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Osasuna vs Racing Santander stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Osasuna the favourite
- Moneyline Osasuna 1.87 | Racing Santander 4.10
- Draw 3.55
Bookmakers lean heavily toward Osasuna at roughly 50% implied probability, with the draw and Racing split close to evenly behind that. The gap between home and away odds looks a touch wide given how poorly Osasuna have actually performed this season, which is why we still favour hedging with Draw No Bet rather than the outright home price.
Possible Starting Lineups
Osasuna possible starting eleven
- GK: Aitor Fernández
- DF: Alejandro Catena, Íñigo Arguibide, Abel Bretones, Diego Rico
- MF: Lucas Torró, Jon Moncayola, Asier Osambela, Iker Muñoz Cameros, Rubén García
- FW: Ante Budimir
Arrasate tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1, leaning on the Torró-Moncayola pivot to shield a back four that has leaked goals constantly this term. Budimir is the focal point up top and the player most likely to break the deadlock given he has scored both of Osasuna’s goals in their last five outings.
Racing Santander possible starting eleven
- GK: Julen Agirrezabala
- DF: Jorge Salinas Viadero, Jeanuël Belocian, Alvaro Mantilla, Pablo Ramon Parra
- MF: Iñigo Vicente, Iván Martín, André Almeida, Matteo Prati
- FW: Yassir Zabiri, Iker Luque
José Alberto López keeps faith with a 4-4-2 shape, with Iván Martín dictating play centrally and Vicente providing width. Zabiri’s pace up top gives Racing a direct outlet, though the back four in front of Agirrezabala has been breached repeatedly and remains the side’s clearest weakness heading into this trip.
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Osasuna. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a tight, error-strewn match where Osasuna’s home advantage and h2h edge just about offset Racing’s superior passing volume. Perhaps the smartest route is Osasuna Draw No Bet combined with BTTS Yes, since neither defense inspires confidence and Budimir gives Osasuna a route to goal even in a losing cause. To be honest, a 2-1 or 2-2 scoreline feels the most realistic outcome given how both sides have conceded and scored in recent weeks.
