The Eliteserien rolls into Trondheim as Rosenborg welcome HamKam to the imposing Lerkendal Stadion for a regular season contest that promises much for football purists and punters alike. Both sides have found victories hard to come by in recent fixtures, but with Rosenborg aiming to cement their place among the league’s European hopefuls and HamKam desperate to claw away from the lower reaches, the stakes are considerable. Under the stewardship of Alfred Johansson and Thomas Myhre respectively, these teams will look to turn a tricky patch of form into a statement result. Keep an eye on Rosenborg’s creative engine Ole Selnaes, whose eye for a pass could unpick any defence, and HamKam’s rising talent Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy, a versatile midfielder with an instinct for late runs into the box.
A ‘hot stat’ to underline the contest – Rosenborg have managed just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, squandering a massive 61 shots, while HamKam have also only scored 3 from just 34 attempts. Neither side, it seems, can afford to be wasteful in this encounter!
| 🏆 Tournament: | Eliteserien 2025 – Regular Season (Norway) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.07.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
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Rosenborg vs HamKam prediction
On paper, Rosenborg come into this clash as heavy favourites, and the bookmakers’ 64% win probability reflects their superior form and squad depth, not to mention their home advantage at Lerkendal. The best value prediction is a straight win for Rosenborg; their ball-retention and shot-creating ability – even if the finishing has been erratic lately – should see them overpower a HamKam side that’s struggled to defend set-pieces and conceded 22 league goals in 12 matches.
Analysing both sides’ style, we notice Rosenborg maintain higher passing accuracy (pass accuracy 83% vs HamKam’s 79%), dictate possession and rack up more corners (35 vs 12 in the last 5 games), which should pin HamKam back. However, indiscipline could play its part: Rosenborg have been shown a whopping 12 yellow cards in their recent 5 matches compared to HamKam’s mere 2, meaning HamKam might threaten on the break when tempers flare.
HamKam, meanwhile, operate with a narrower 4-3-3 and rely on transitions as well as the midfield enterprise of Roaldsøy. However, their high foul count (36 in the last 5) means they’ll risk giving away set pieces that a team like Rosenborg can exploit. The trend suggests we may see both teams push for goals but ultimately, Rosenborg’s technical superiority and home support should tip the scales.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Rosenborg -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Rosenborg recent games (focus on last match):
Rosenborg’s recent run has been turbulent. Their last outing was a bruising 0-2 home defeat against Sandefjord, where dominance in possession and 61 total shots in the last 5 matches served only to highlight their inefficiency in front of goal. Defensively, conceding 6 against Sarpsborg 08 earlier and four against Kristiansund suggests fragility at the back – stemming perhaps from their attack-minded 4-3-3 and frequent midfield turnovers. Despite these wobbles, home support and a solid core in the likes of Ulrik Jenssen and Ole Selnaes mean Rosenborg remain a force. Conversion remains the buzzword in training – and with only 3 goals in 5 matches, can they finally finish?
HamKam recent games (focus on last match):
HamKam, under Thomas Myhre, have fared little better. Last time out, they rescued a 1-1 draw against high-flying Brann but could not convert their spells of possession into tangible reward. Their attacking problems are clear: just 3 goals in their last 5 matches from 34 shots and an over-reliance on Roaldsøy and Kristian Stromland Lien to provide the spark. Defensively, they have improved discipline-wise, with just 2 yellows in 5 games, but slack marking – evidenced in a 1-3 home defeat to Tromso – remains a concern. If HamKam are to get a result, a well-organised low block and rapid counters are paramount.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Rosenborg | HamKam |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 10 | 7 |
| Free kicks | 13 | 14 |
| Corner kicks | 6 | 3 |
| Total fouls | 11 | 13 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 84 | 78 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 11 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Read our full Rosenborg vs HamKam stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Rosenborg the favourite
- Moneyline Rosenborg 1.49 | HamKam 6.00
- Draw 4.50
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.73 | Under 2.5 2.05
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.11 | No 1.75
Odds across the leading bookmakers strongly back Rosenborg, with most offering below 1.50 on the home win – indicating high confidence in a bounce-back after a rocky patch. The draw sits at a less probable 4.5, and HamKam are priced as long outsiders at 6.0 or greater, reflective of their poor away record and goal-shy attack. The over/under markets lean towards goals, which is warranted given both defences have unravelled lately, but the “No” option for BTTS represents value considering how blunt HamKam have looked up front.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Rosenborg possible starting eleven

- GK: Sander Tangvik
- DF: Ulrik Jenssen, Mikkel Konradsen Ceide, Jonas Sogaard Mortensen, Hakon Volden
- MF: Ole Selnaes, Iver Fossum, Santeri Väänänen
- FW: Emil Konradsen Ceide, Dino Islamović, Noah Jean Holm
Rosenborg’s likely 4-3-3 sees Sander Tangvik continue between the sticks after consistent appearances. At the heart of defence, Ulrik Jenssen anchors a backline supported by the versatile Mortensen and Volden. In midfield, the trio of Selnaes, Fossum and Väänänen promises both steel and artistry. The front line should feature the lively Emil Konradsen Ceide and physical presence of Islamović, while Noah Jean Holm’s directness could trouble HamKam’s fullbacks. Ceide especially is one to watch, tallying the only goal from open play in the last five matches.
HamKam possible starting eleven

- GK: Marcus Sandberg
- DF: Fredrik Sjolstad, Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason, Luc Mares, Gustav Granath
- MF: Gard Simenstad, Tore Andre Soras, Alwande Benedict Roaldsøy
- FW: Moses Dramwi Mawa, Kristian Stromland Lien, Snorre Strand Nilsen
HamKam are expected to mirror Rosenborg’s 4-3-3, with Marcus Sandberg a mainstay in goal behind a solid defensive quartet led by Mares and Bjarnason. The midfield, with Soras and Simenstad supplying energy, is built around Roaldsøy’s guile and attacking instinct. Forward Lien is their principle threat up front, ably supported by Mawa and the versatile Nilsen. The formation allows for defensive compactness while offering Roaldsøy the freedom to break late into the box on the counter or during second phases.
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HamKam. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Rosenborg should have enough quality to see off HamKam, although their inability to convert possession and chances into goals could keep this closer than expected. I’m backing a tight win for the hosts, perhaps 2-0 or 2-1, with set-pieces and midfield dominance proving decisive. If Rosenborg sharpen up in attack, they should have little trouble exploiting HamKam’s defensive lapses. Ultimately, a home win remains the most sensible punt given the stats and recent trajectories, but expect HamKam to make them fight for every inch.

