Poland (w) vs Ukraine (w) Prediction: 27.06.2025 International Friendly 2025 Preview

There’s no shortage of intriguing narratives as Poland (w) and Ukraine (w) face off in Bergen for what promises to be a closely contested International Friendly. Both sides approach this encounter after a flurry of fixtures that have seen varying fortunes, with Poland riding high on a strong win streak, while Ukraine look to rebuild momentum. In friendlies such as this, managers often experiment, but with the match falling deep in their summer schedule and both teams showing ambition in their lineups, don’t be surprised if the intensity mirrors a competitive outing.

Among the talent on display, keep a keen eye on Ewa Pajor, leading the Polish midfield with two goals in her past pair of appearances, her energy often the catalyst for Poland’s attacking waves. For Ukraine, Olha Ovdiychuk brings a direct threat—her recent goal and assist against Albania have shown she needs precious little room to influence the outcome.

Notably, Poland (w) have mustered an impressive 7 goals across their last five matches, a mark that truly stands out when compared to Ukraine’s 2 over the same span—a “hot stat” that starkly underlines the current attacking confidence within Stepinski’s squad.

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Poland (w) vs Ukraine (w) prediction

The metrics point distinctly toward Poland (w) as the value pick here. Their scoring record—backed by a potent midfield and consistent finishing—suggests they’ll have the edge against a Ukrainian side whose main spark has come in patches rather than waves. However, with both teams in relatively high spirits and Ukraine often proving difficult to break down, it’s plausible we don’t see a one-sided scoreline.

Looking deeper, Poland’s style under Stepinski leans toward fluid pressing and quick interplay, evident in their high ball possession and 833 completed passes in their last five games. They’re disciplined—just three yellow cards and 13 fouls—indicating control rather than chaos. Contrast that with Ukraine, who’ve notched up only one yellow and are less aggressive, but have struggled offensively (only 20 shots across five matches) and rarely threaten from set pieces or open play. This controlled Polish approach, mixed with a relatively conservative Ukrainian defence, could temper ambitions for a goal-fest—but Poland’s clinical edge is difficult to ignore.

Team Analysis

Poland (w) have been in sterling form lately, with their last match a comprehensive 3-0 triumph over Romania (w). Pajor and Kamczyk continue to combine with verve, utilising the 4-3-3 formation that maximises midfield dynamism and width in attack. The underlying stats back up the performances: seven goals and only three yellow cards in their last five show a blend of effectiveness and responsibility. They outshot their opposition by a remarkable margin (46-20 compared to Ukraine) and have looked every bit the side in their ascendancy.

Ukraine (w) come into this on the heels of a 0-2 defeat to Croatia (w), a match that exposed some of their recent frailties—particularly going forwards. They set up in a familiar 4-4-2, focusing on compact defence and patient transitions, but have found it hard to create clear chances. With only two goals from their last five, Ukraine must rediscover their attacking edge if they’re to threaten the Polish defence. Ovdiychuk is one player who can change a match in an instant but she’ll require greater support from the midfield to see Ukraine truly threaten.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Poland (w) vs Ukraine (w) stats for more analysis.

Although bookmaker odds aren’t released at time of writing, the statistical and form edge sits squarely with Poland (w). Their unbeaten form in 2025, combined with Ukraine’s scoring struggles, would likely make Stepinski’s squad clear favourites in most markets. Expect odds to reflect Poland’s momentum, and value potential lies in Asian Handicap and low-scoring selections given both sides’ defensive discipline.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Poland (w) possible starting eleven

Poland’s squad selection for this match should remain anchored around their key performers. Szemik’s reliability in goal, the defensive tenacity of Wiankowska and Zieniewicz, alongside midfielders Szymczak, Pajor, and Kamczyk, ensure a measured yet forceful approach out of a 4-3-3 setup. Pajor, in particular, will be tasked with driving play between the lines. Expect the wide attackers—Adamek and Zaremba—to exploit Ukraine’s full-backs, whilst Grabowska remains a versatile threat up front.

Ukraine (w) possible starting eleven

Ukraine are most likely to retain the 4-4-2 or a slight variation, with Samson as the safe pair of hands at the back and Shmatko marshaling the defence. Expect Petryk to anchor the midfield, supported by Kravchuk’s energy. Up front, Kalinina and Andrukhiv combine with Ovdiychuk—Ukraine’s main hope for both creativity and finishing. Hlushchenko adds width and work rate, although the overall attack will lean heavily on Ovdiychuk’s inventiveness.

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My take on the Match

To put it succinctly, Poland (w) arrive with wind in their sails. Their blend of defensive discipline, midfield invention, and attacking sharpness should tip this match in their favour. We fancy a controlled performance from Stepinski’s side, with the midfield trio dictating tempo and Pajor likely starring. Ukraine (w), for all their tenacity and flashes of quality, will need to rediscover their attacking detail to provide a meaningful threat. Unless Ukraine can stifle Poland’s rhythm early, this could be largely one-way traffic—expect a solid, if not emphatic, victory for Poland as they continue to build form ahead of future challenges.

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