Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction: 13.07.2025 Major League Soccer

The intensity of summer football in Major League Soccer never fails to deliver, and the upcoming clash between Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls at Talen Energy Stadium promises a captivating encounter between two sides with very different trajectories in the campaign. While the Union have built themselves into solid playoff contenders with a potent front line and tactical discipline under Bradley Carnell, the Red Bulls, managed by Sandro Schwarz, are in the midst of grinding draws, hunting for a statement win to reinvigorate their campaign.

Among the standout players to watch: Emil Forsberg for the Red Bulls remains a dynamo in the final third with 2 goals in the last 4 matches, while Philadelphia’s Bruno Damiani has added a spark to the attack and looks ever closer to becoming the man opponents dread. Tackles will fly, and with both midfields featuring energetic ball winners and attackers in hot form, a real chess match awaits the fans in Chester.

Hot stat: The New York Red Bulls have been involved in three consecutive draws—each tightly contested—with both teams finding the net, underlining the Red Bulls’ tenacity but inability to close out games.

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Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls prediction

The best value here is on Philadelphia Union to win, possibly with an Asian Handicap (-0.5), banking on their superior home form, sharper attack and the Red Bulls’ recent struggles to convert draws into victories. The Union’s solidity at the back—conceding just once in their last three home games—gives them the edge, especially as New York’s attack has lacked cutting edge outside of Forsberg’s moments. Expect a tightly contested midfield, but the Union’s ability to turn pressure into goals should prove decisive.

Stylistically, Philadelphia excel at pressing early and fast transitions, although they have seen a spike in bookings—19 yellow cards over five matches—emphasising their combative midfield approach. That physicality could lead to more set pieces and perhaps more corners. Their ball retention isn’t always pristine (pass accuracy at 67%) but they outmuscle most opponents around the halfway line. The Red Bulls, meanwhile, prefer structured build-up (better passing stats at 84%) and rely on width for crossing opportunities, highlighted by their league-high 26 corners in the last five games. However, with only one red card, they generally keep their discipline despite a high foul count. If both teams stick to their recent scripts, expect a feisty, open contest where both nets ripple at least once.

Team Analysis

Philadelphia Union come into this with mixed form but undoubted firepower. Their last outing—a narrow 0-1 defeat to Nashville—was frustrating, with the Union dominating possession for stretches but failing to convert chances into goals. Just prior, they fell to another slim 0-1 defeat against Columbus Crew, again hinting at a recent drop-off in attacking efficiency. Yet before that, they edged Chicago Fire 1-0 and bested Charlotte 2-1, both games marked by high pressing and effective use of wide forwards. Philadelphia’s reluctance to settle for draws has paid off: they’ve bagged 12 wins in 21 matches and sit 3rd in the MLS, boasting a +14 goal difference. Their defensive unit marshals the back with real grit—Jakob Glesnes and Kai Wagner both clocking big minutes and keeping things tidy.

New York Red Bulls have found momentum elusive. The 1-1 draw with San Jose Earthquakes last time out exemplifies their season: early promise, relinquished leads and ultimately shared points. Prior to that it was a pair of 2-2 and 1-1 stalemates versus Minnesota and Toronto, followed by a 1-2 home defeat to Austin that further dented their confidence before a solid 2-0 win over Atlanta United. The Red Bulls have netted five times in their last five fixtures, but defensive lapses and missed chances cost them dearly. Forsberg continues to turn heads with inventive play, while Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting’s presence up front offers physicality and movement, though the connection has been sporadic.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Philadelphia Union the favourite

• Moneyline Philadelphia Union 1.83 | New York Red Bulls 4.20
• Draw 3.75
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.05

With Union the clear favourites at 52 percent win probability and the home odds sector clustered around 1.80-1.84, the market’s confidence is justified—especially considering Philadelphia’s clinical home form and the Red Bulls’ struggle to turn draws into victories. The draw, while still a plausible threat, sits at a generous price and appeals only if you fancy Red Bulls’ renowned resilience and tendency to share spoils. The Over 2.5 goals price is well worth a look as both teams are adept at creating—and conceding—chances. BTTS is odds-on, reflecting both sides’ leaky rearguards and attacking ambition.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Philadelphia Union possible starting eleven

For Philadelphia, expect the familiar 3-4-3, with Andrew Rick between the sticks—solid if unspectacular but rarely prone to errors. The defensive core of Wagner, Glesnes, and Mbaizo provides both verticality and bite. In midfield, Bedoya’s leadership merges with Lukic’s relentless engine, while Jesus Bueno brings goal threat from deep. The front three pivots around Damiani’s inventiveness, with Vassilev providing a mix of pace and technical quality. The Union have options on the bench should they wish to go more direct or shore things up late on, but this balanced XI offers control and forward drive.

New York Red Bulls possible starting eleven

The Red Bulls should set up in their reliable 4-2-3-1, with Coronel in goal and a back four likely featuring Hack and Eile as the centre-back duo. Duncan and Edwards will bomb forward, providing width for the midfield quartet of Carmona, Edelman, Stroud and the creative spark of Donkor. Forsberg is the chief threat in the number ten role, linking well with Choupo-Moting who brings European experience and a physical edge. Formation flexibility is a Schwarz hallmark, so expect quick switches to a 4-4-2 if chasing the game, with wingers doubling as second strikers in transition.

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My take on the Match

We anticipate a lively duel with moments of genuine quality, especially in midfield where aggression and creativity will battle for supremacy. Philadelphia Union have the edge: greater consistency, home advantage, and a well-drilled attack. Our main pick: a home win, possibly by a narrow margin but with both sides likely to score. The Red Bulls are always game and capable of springing a surprise—particularly through Forsberg’s flair—but the Union’s grit should get them over the line. This match could well mark a pivotal moment in the push for playoff positions. Will the Union cement their top-three claim, or can the Red Bulls rediscover their winning touch? We’ll all be glued to this one.

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