Nottingham Forest vs Malmo Prediction: 27.11.2025 UEFA Europa League

The UEFA Europa League League Phase intensifies as Nottingham Forest face Malmo at The City Ground Stadion, Nottingham. With Forest under Sean Dyche eager to climb their group and Malmo, led by Anes Mravac, fighting to keep continental hopes alive, both sides have plenty at stake. An intriguing subplot is Forest’s renewed defensive resolve under Dyche—a hallmark of his management at Burnley—contrasting with Malmo’s familiar Swedish technical play. All eyes will be on Morgan Gibbs-White, whose driving runs from midfield have sparked Forest’s recent form, and Malmo’s Sead Hakšabanović, a dynamic forward who thrives on counter-attacking opportunities.

Highlighting Forest’s current sharpness: they dispatched Liverpool with a resounding 3-0 win just weeks ago, a statement that they can rattle even the highest-rated opposition when their lines click. Meanwhile, Malmo’s Hugo Bolin remains crucial for creativity, his work rate and vision vital as the Swedish side look to convert chances more efficiently.

A “hot stat” here: Nottingham Forest have lost just 1 of their last 6 matches in all competitions, suggesting a side growing in resilience and tactical effectiveness as the business end of the League Phase approaches.

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Nottingham Forest vs Malmo prediction

This encounter is heavily weighted in Nottingham Forest’s favour, both statistically and tactically. With the English outfit boasting a 78% estimated win probability and displaying their best form of the season, the smart bet is on Sean Dyche’s side to take all three points. Forest’s well-drilled 4-3-3 formation has injected both structure and offensive spark, as evidenced by their 3-0 and 3-1 victories over Liverpool and Leeds.

Malmo, on the other hand, have struggled to impose themselves in the League Phase, earning just one point from four matches, and finding goals hard to come by (only two in this Europa campaign). The Swedish side’s 4-2-3-1 shape allows flexibility in midfield, but their defensive numbers (7 goals conceded in group play) leave cause for concern. Their higher fouls average (53 fouls in the last five games compared to Forest’s 48) suggests potential disciplinary issues, and they’ve also earned more yellow cards. While their passing accuracy is slightly superior (Malmo 84% vs Forest 79%), Forest’s greater tempo and incisiveness upfield can be telling.

Team Analysis

Nottingham Forest are coming off a statement win against Liverpool (3-0), showcasing both their attacking efficiency and defensive discipline. Earlier, they convincingly put Leeds aside (3-1), with Morgan Gibbs-White shining thanks to his knack for arriving late into the box. Forest have conceded just 1 defeat in their last six matches—a marked improvement that’s mirrored in their Europa League campaign, where they sit 23rd but have looked sharper with each game. Key stats include 8 goals scored and 5 yellow cards in their last five, while their pressing game has resulted in 41 interceptions.

Malmo have managed only two wins in their last six matches and their most recent Europa League outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Dinamo Zagreb, reflecting ongoing struggles in creation and finishing. Sead Hakšabanović’s recent return to form (scoring once and creating chances) is encouraging, but the side’s lack of cohesion up front remains an issue. They’ve netted just four goals and allowed six yellow cards in their previous five games, with 18 corner kicks—indicating pressure but often without clinical end product.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Nottingham Forest vs Malmo stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Nottingham Forest the favourite

• Moneyline Nottingham Forest 1.21 | Malmo 15.00
• Draw 6.20
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.64 | Under 2.5 2.20
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.35 | No 1.49

The bookmakers’ odds draw a clear picture: Nottingham Forest are the overwhelming favourites. At an average of 1.21 for a home win (implying a probability of more than 75%) versus up to 15.00 for a Malmo victory, there’s little faith in an away upset. That said, the odds for over 2.5 goals (1.64) are short, reflecting Forest’s recent scoring form and Malmo’s defensive frailties. The low odds on “both teams to score – no” (1.49) further signal expectations for a shutout, all aligning well with our statistical and tactical breakdown.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Nottingham Forest possible starting eleven

Sean Dyche is likely to stick with a familiar 4-3-3, leveraging both solidity at the back and versatility in the attack. Neco Williams and Nicolò Savona offer width and occasional forays forward, while Sangaré and Yates form a tenacious midfield shield, freeing Gibbs-White to orchestrate play. Dyche may opt for pace out wide with Ndoye and Hudson-Odoi, relying on Anderson’s tireless running to stretch the Malmo back line. Keep an eye on Gibbs-White—his form has been instrumental, and his knack for late box entries could prove decisive.

Malmo possible starting eleven

Anes Mravac will likely choose a 4-2-3-1, aiming for a balance between defensive stability and fast transitions. Robin Olsen provides crucial experience in goal, while Stryger Larsen’s leadership in defence is essential. Midfield energy comes from Lewicki and Rosengren, both strong in the tackle and useful in transitional play. Hakšabanović is the one to watch: his pace and goal threat give Malmo their best chance of unlocking Forest, especially if Bolin and Gudjohnsen can stretch the opposition’s defensive line.

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My take on the Match

Given the trends, stats, and tactical blueprints, my pick is a commanding Nottingham Forest victory. Expect Dyche’s men to dominate possession, create a wave of chances, and keep Malmo at bay, especially with Gibbs-White pulling the strings. The Asian Handicap at -1.5 is value, considering Forest’s resurgent form and the opposition’s struggles in attack and defence alike. For those seeking an edge, the “Both Teams to Score – No” bet looks attractive based on Malmo’s bluntness up front in this group. With so much still on the line in the group, anticipate an energetic, focused display from the English side.

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