Norway (w) vs Sweden (w) Prediction: 26.06.2025 International Friendly Preview

In the lively footballing theatre of Bergen’s Brann Stadion, Nordic neighbours Norway (w) and Sweden (w) meet for a tantalising International Friendly on the 26th of June, 2025. While friendlies are oft dismissed as inconsequential, there’s more than a hint of strategic intrigue in the air, with both squads fielding a blend of experienced internationals and emerging talents seeking to cement their roles ahead of key competitive fixtures later in the year.

Norway’s midfield engine Vilde Risa has shown her growing influence, notching a recent goal and adding versatility to Riise’s 4-3-3 system. For Sweden, Johanna Kaneryd’s surging runs and direct involvement in two recent goals highlight her as a real attacking catalyst. Add to that Filippa Angeldal’s powerful presence in the middle, and you have a match-up brimming with technical finesse and tactical chess moves.

Hot stat: Sweden (w) have fired in 25 total shots in just their last two outings, underlining their intent and attacking prowess under Peter Gerhardsson.

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Norway (w) vs Sweden (w) prediction

My best-value match prediction leans towards a Sweden (w) win or at least Draw No Bet, backed by their sharper conversion rate, higher shots tally, and overall momentum. Sweden’s recent thumping 6-1 over Denmark (w) vividly displays their attacking gears in full motion. What’s more, Sweden’s 4-3-3 adapts with fluid pressing and layered wing play—attributes that have unsettled Norway in previous meetings.

Still, Norway (w) are at home and can never be counted out. While they have held sturdy at the back in recent matches, they managed only 2 goals in their last five matches, struggling against high-pressing sides. A cautious note must be sounded on Norway’s relatively high foul count (19 over their last five matches) and 4 yellow cards, indicating possible vulnerabilities when pressed.

Both teams typically dominate ball possession, but Sweden’s crisper passing (661 completed, 78%+) and capacity to win set-pieces (14 corners in two games!) could gradually tip the midfield battle in their favour. All considered, this could be a cagey opening developing into a Scandinavian spectacle around the hour mark.

Team Analysis

Norway (w): Norway’s form book tells a story of discipline but also attacking struggles. Their last match saw them edge Switzerland (w) 1-0—clean sheet, but a slim margin—and they fought Iceland (w) to a 1-1 draw previously. It’s notable that Norway’s defenders such as Frida Maanum step into midfield transitions, contributing to sturdy passing sequences, but in attack, Ada Hegerberg has appeared a touch isolated. Set pieces have yielded precious little, with only 3 corners in two games. If Norway are to seize the initiative, more width and support for their central striker are essential.

Sweden (w): Sweden’s recent fixtures are a portrait in contrasts. Their staggering 6-1 win over Denmark (w) highlighted just how punishing their forwards can be when given opportunities. Before that, they battled Italy (w) to a tense 0-0, so they’re not impervious defensively either. Kaneryd’s ability to split lines and Angeldal’s proficiency from range remain major weapons. Sweden’s full-back play—Jonna Andersson in particular—should test Norway’s defensive shape repeatedly. Gerhardsson’s pressing also forced errors leading to corners (14 in just two matches!).

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Norway (w) vs Sweden (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Sweden (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Norway (w) 3.47 – 3.65 | Sweden (w) 1.91 – 1.97
• Draw 3.28 – 3.45
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.10

With Sweden (w) afforded favourite status by the bookmakers, the odds reflect their sharper attack in recent fixtures and greater squad depth. That said, Norway’s pricing over 3.40 adds tempting value for those banking on a home upset. Most interesting: the short price on Over 2.5 goals suggests the market expects a lively affair, possibly influenced by Sweden’s goal-glut against Denmark. The BTTS market at 1.73 gives weight to both teams’ capacity to find the net, despite Norway posting fewer recent goals. Value-seekers might pivot to Draw No Bet Sweden (w): cushioning risk yet maintaining upside.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Norway (w) possible starting eleven

Norway’s strongest core starts at the back with Fiskerstrand in goal—a reliable shot-stopper with 7 saves in her last two outings. Defensively, Maanum pairs experience with Bergsvand and Harviken, with Lund offering drive on the left. The midfield three is all about steel and stamina: Engen and Hansen anchor, with Risa adding a vertical outlet. Up front, Hegerberg leads the line flanked by Terland and Bjelde, providing pace and cut-ins. Expect a structured 4-3-3 with Hegerberg as the focal point—though the onus falls on the midfield to feed her timely through balls. Eyes too on Risa: if she surges, Norway become a much more unpredictable side.

Sweden (w) possible starting eleven

Sweden will likely mirror with their trusted 4-3-3. At the back, the partnership of Eriksson and Sembrant offers aerial dominance, Bjorn and Andersson the width. Angeldal’s passing and Zigiotti Olme’s link-play allow Kaneryd and Rolfö to press high and feed the central threat, Asllani. With Falk marshalling, there’s enough stability to allow fullbacks to surge forward. Kaneryd remains a key danger—her runs between the channels have unlocked stubborn defences of late, and Asllani, if she finds form, is always ready to pounce on loose balls. Sweden’s shape: aggressive, with a bent for quick transitions and plenty of bodies arriving in the box.

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My take on the Match

On balance, Sweden (w) hold the edge owing to their richer attacking output and set-piece threat, especially given Norway’s recent paucity of goals from open play. My main pick is Sweden (w) Draw No Bet, buoyed by their greater width, capacity to generate corners, and disciplined pressing. That said, Norway at home are never trivial opposition, and if Hegerberg receives the right service, a surprise might still be on the cards. In summary, we’re set for a high-tempo Nordic contest—and, crucially, one with plenty for punters and neutrals alike to savour.

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