Sofia Quijada
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Newells Old Boys welcome Lanus to Rosario with both clubs locked on 16 points in the Clausura table, separated only by goal difference. Newells have made a habit of drawing lately, four stalemates in their last five outings, while Lanus arrive in sharper scoring form, having netted six goals across their own last five games. The last competitive meeting between these two was a lopsided 5-0 win for Lanus, a result that still lingers over this fixture and gives the visitors a psychological edge despite the tight league standings.
Matías Cóccaro carries most of Newells’ attacking threat, leading the squad with nine shots and the only goal from a forward in their last five matches. For Lanus, Eduardo Salvio has been the creative engine, contributing a goal and three assists while completing the most passes among the attacking group, a player Pellegrino will lean on to unlock a stubborn Newells defense.
Hot stat: Lanus have scored six goals in their last five matches, double Newells’ tally of three in the same stretch, a gap that lines up with the away side’s superior recent winrate of 60% against Newells’ 40%.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 22:00 CEST |
Newells Old Boys vs Lanus prediction
We lean toward Lanus here. Pellegrino’s side score more, concede fewer fouls and have won three of their last five compared to Newells’ two wins in the same span. Newells’ recent form reads safer than it plays, four draws out of five says a team that struggles to find a cutting edge rather than one building momentum. Perhaps Newells avoid defeat again, but backing Lanus to get over the line feels like the sharper call given the underlying numbers, and that history-laden 5-0 scoreline from the last meeting still sits in the back of everyone’s mind in Rosario.
Style-wise, Newells have picked up 8 yellow cards and committed 45 fouls across their last five games, against Lanus’ 6 cards and 33 fouls over the same period. That discipline gap suggests Lanus control tempo better and avoid giving away cheap free kicks, while Newells’ higher foul count hints at a side chasing the game more often than dictating it. Lanus also edge the shot count, 32 to 29, and their passing numbers point to a side more comfortable holding possession in midfield, which should let Salvio and company dictate the rhythm.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Lanus to win & both teams to score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9 |
Team Analysis
Newells go into this on the back of a 1-0 win over Platense, their only clean sheet win of the recent run, built on a disciplined defensive shape rather than a dominant attacking display. Before that, three straight draws, against Velez, Rosario Central and Estudiantes LP, show a side that competes well but lacks the final pass to turn level games into wins. In our preview of Platense vs Newells Old Boys we backed Newells to avoid defeat on the road given their unbeaten recent run, and the 1-0 away win delivered comfortably on that call.
Lanus arrive having beaten Estudiantes LP 2-1 in their most recent outing, a game where they conceded but still controlled enough of the match to come out ahead. That followed wins over Deportivo Riestra, 3-0, and Defensa y Justicia, 1-0, giving them three victories in their last three before a blip against Boca Juniors. In our preview of Lanus vs Estudiantes LP we tipped a tight home win built on Lanus’ defensive numbers, and the eventual 2-1 scoreline backed that read even though Estudiantes found the net as well.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Newells Old Boys | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 2 meetings combined) | 2 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Newells Old Boys vs Lanus stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lanus the favourite
- Moneyline Newells Old Boys 2.81 | Lanus 2.65
- Draw 2.91
The market barely separates the three outcomes, Lanus sit as marginal favourites at around 2.65 against Newells’ 2.81, with the draw priced close behind at 2.91. That tight spread reflects the near-identical league position of both sides, but we think the odds slightly undervalue Lanus given their sharper scoring form and tidier discipline numbers this season. Backing the away side at this price looks like value to us.
Possible Starting Lineups
Newells Old Boys possible starting eleven
- GK: Josué Reinatti
- DF: Lautaro Gianetti, Martin Ortega, Lucas Carrizo, Bruno Cabrera
- MF: Rodrigo Herrera, Facundo Samuel Guch, Luca Regiardo, Jerónimo Gómez Mattar, Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyra
- FW: Matías Cóccaro
Kudelka should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured in all five recent matches. Regiardo and Gómez Mattar support behind Cóccaro, who remains the main outlet up front and the player most likely to break the deadlock for the hosts.
Lanus possible starting eleven
- GK: Nahuel Hernan Losada
- DF: Sasha Julian Marcich, Carlos Izquierdoz, Tomás Guidara, Gonzalo German Perez Corbalan
- MF: Agustín Cardozo, Felipe Peña Biafore, Matías Sepúlveda
- FW: Eduardo Salvio, Allan Steven Wlk Duré, Lucas Agustín Besozzi
Pellegrino keeps faith in his own 4-2-3-1, with Cardozo anchoring midfield and Salvio pushed forward to link play with Wlk Duré and Besozzi. Salvio’s creativity numbers make him the player Newells need to contain most.
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Lanus. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Lanus to win this one, perhaps by a 2-1 margin that matches their recent scoring pattern against Estudiantes LP. Newells’ defense has been solid enough to avoid losing often, but their attack has gone quiet for three straight draws, and that lack of firepower should let Lanus’ sharper front three, Salvio, Wlk Duré and Besozzi, find a way through. To be honest, the discipline gap, Newells’ 45 fouls against Lanus’ 33 over the last five games, points to the home side chasing shadows for long spells, which usually ends with goals conceded late.
