Patryk Stachowiak
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander holds the top spot in the 2026 NBA Finals MVP odds market, and his grip on the board shows no signs of loosening. The Oklahoma City Thunder guard swept the Phoenix Suns in round one and remains the clear frontrunner heading into the second round. Behind him, San Antonio Spurs center Victor Wembanyama has shortened to +425 after a strong Game 2 showing against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
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SGA has led the Finals MVP odds board since the season opened, and with OKC standing as the clear NBA Championship favorites, that position is not shifting. New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson has moved to +900 after the Knicks took a 2-0 series lead over the Philadelphia 76ers, improving from +1100 following the Boston Celtics‘ elimination.
2026 NBA Finals MVP Odds (Round 2)
| Player | bets |
|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | -155 |
| Victor Wembanyama (Spurs) | +425 |
| Jalen Brunson (Knicks) | +900 |
| Cade Cunningham (Pistons) | +1800 |
| Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) | +3500 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks) | +4000 |
| Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | +4000 |
| Jalen Williams (Thunder) | +6000 |
| Luka Doncic (Lakers) | +6500 |
| Chet Holmgren (Thunder) | +8000 |
Odds updated as of May 7. Lines from bets.
Top Finals MVP Contenders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (-155)
The reigning regular-season MVP and 2025 Finals MVP did not ease into the 2025-26 season. Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 31.1 points, 4.3 rebounds, and a career-high 6.6 assists while guiding Oklahoma City to the best record in the league. He capped the first-round sweep with a 31-point performance, then opened the second round against the Lakers with an 18-point, six-assist outing that he himself described as below his standard. The Thunder won regardless. Seven turnovers in that game represent a minor fluctuation, not a trend, and his position on this board is as firm as any player’s in the league.
Victor Wembanyama (+425)
Wembanyama entered the playoffs around +500 and has done nothing to lose that second-place standing. He made playoff history with 12 blocks in a triple-double in Game 1 against the Timberwolves, though the Spurs dropped the opener. Game 2 told a different story: 19 points and 15 rebounds in just 26 minutes in a comfortable win. No team has given OKC more difficulty this season than San Antonio, and Wemby is the reason why.
Jalen Brunson (+900)
Brunson‘s odds have tracked upward with the Knicks‘ results. New York leads the 76ers series 2-0 after two home games at Madison Square Garden, and Brunson has been the driving force behind both wins.
2026 Finals MVP Prediction
| Bet | Odds | Bet Date | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | +130 | April 10 | 1.0 |
Gilgeous-Alexander is positioned to repeat as Finals MVP. He carried the Thunder through a dominant 2025 title run, averaging over 30 points per game in the Finals, and has been even sharper in 2026. He leads OKC in usage rate, operates as the primary decision-maker, and consistently delivers in high-leverage situations. The case for anyone else requires multiple OKC failures that have not materialized at any point this season.
NBA Finals MVP Opening Odds (Preseason)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander +130
- Victor Wembanyama +550
- Nikola Jokic +1000
- Jaylen Brown +1200
- Jayson Tatum +1200
- Donovan Mitchell +1600
- Cade Cunningham +2200
- Jalen Williams +5000
- James Harden +6000
- Anthony Edwards +7000
- Kevin Durant +8000
- Chet Holmgren +10000
- Karl-Anthony Towns +10000
- Derrick White +12500
- Evan Mobley +12500
- Joel Embiid +12500
- Jamal Murray +15000
Previous NBA Finals MVP Winners
| Year | Player | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2024 | Jaylen Brown | Boston Celtics |
| 2023 | Nikola Jokic | Denver Nuggets |
| 2022 | Stephen Curry | Golden State Warriors |
| 2021 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | Milwaukee Bucks |
| 2020 | LeBron James | Los Angeles Lakers |
| 2019 | Kawhi Leonard | Toronto Raptors |
| 2018 | Kevin Durant | Golden State Warriors |
| 2017 | Kevin Durant | Golden State Warriors |
| 2016 | LeBron James | Cleveland Cavaliers |
| 2015 | Andre Iguodala | Golden State Warriors |
NBA Finals MVP Betting Trends
- Only one player, Jerry West in 1969, has ever won Finals MVP on the losing team.
- Nikola Jokic‘s 2023 Finals MVP was the first by a center since Shaquille O’Neal in 2002.
- Forwards have won 10 of the past 12 NBA Finals MVPs.
- LeBron James is the only player in NBA history to win Finals MVP with three different franchises: the Miami Heat, Cleveland Cavaliers, and Los Angeles Lakers.
- Magic Johnson remains the only rookie to win Finals MVP and the youngest winner in history at 20 years and 276 days old.
- Three of the last five winners have been international players: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Greece), Nikola Jokic (Serbia), and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Canada).
- Over the last decade, nine of the 10 Finals MVPs were also the leaders on their team in usage rate during the playoffs.
Follow TipsGG for updated NBA Finals MVP odds, playoff analysis, and betting breakdowns as the 2026 postseason progresses.
Read also: Victor Wembanyama Wins Magic Johnson Award, Dominates NBA with Elite Defense