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Football Tips Monthly Digest (March 2026): Biggest Upsets, Consensus Flops, League Volatility, Most Tipped Clubs, Tipster ROI Leaders

01.04.2026, 08:42

In March 2026, we collected 85,637 football tips from 576 active tipsters. These tips are monitored 24/7 by our professional team of data managers.

This report is strictly for informational and educational purposes. It serves as a statistical showcase of market trends and historical performance within the sports betting niche and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to place specific bets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We encourage all readers to view this data as a retrospective market analysis rather than a call to action. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Upset top 20

This list highlights the 20 most unexpected results of the month. We looked at every football match and identified where the winner had the highest odds—meaning they were the least likely to win according to the bookmakers. The higher the odds in the ‘Winner Odds’ column, the bigger the surprise.

Tournament Match Score Winner Odds
Primera Divisió 2025/26 Regular Season Inter Escaldes vs Esperanca 0-2 30
International Friendly 2026 March Tanzania vs Liechtenstein 0-1 18
Cypriot First Division 2025/26 Relegation Omonia Aradippou vs Paralimni 1-2 17
Turkish Cup 2025/26 Group C Beyoglu Yeni Carsi vs Kocaelispor 1-0 17
Icelandic Cup 2026 Round 2 Alftanes vs Kari Akranes 5-1 11
Regionalliga Nordost 2025/26 Regular Season Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Zehlendorf 0-2 11
Cymru Premier 2025/26 Relegation Flint Town United vs Llanelli 1-2 11
Liga MX Women 2025/26 Clausura Queretaro (w) vs Juarez (w) 2-1 10
EFL Championship 2025/26 Regular Season Middlesbrough vs Charlton 0-1 10
National League North 2025/26 Regular Season AFC Telford vs Leamington 1-2 10
2. Liga 2025/26 Regular Season Banska Bystrica vs OFK Malzenice 1-3 10
UEFA Conference League 2025/26 Round of 16 AEK Athens vs Celje 0-2 10
A-League Women 2025/26 Regular Season Wellington Phoenix (w) vs WS Wanderers (w) 0-1 10
Super League 1 2025/26 Regular Season Volos vs PAOK 2-1 9.8
Cymru North 2025/26 Regular Season Denbigh vs Airbus 3-2 9.8
La Liga 2025/26 Regular Season Real Madrid vs Getafe 0-1 9.2
Stars League 2025/26 Regular Season Al-Sadd vs Umm Salal 2-5 9
Africa Cup of Nations 2027 Preliminary round South Sudan vs Djibouti 0-1 8.99
UEFA European U19 Championship 2026 Elite Round Group 2 England U19 vs Serbia U19 0-2 8.6
Super League 2 2025/26 Promotion South Olympiakos B vs Panionios 2-1 8.6

Consensus Flops

The wisdom of the crowd isn’t always wise. This table highlights the Top 20 ‘Traps’ of the month—matches where an overwhelming majority of our tipsters (at least 85%) backed one team, only to see that bet fail. These results serve as a reminder: just because ‘everyone’ is betting on a favorite, it doesn’t guarantee a win. Use this to see which teams let the public down the most.

Event Date (UTC) Tournament Match Score Failed Consensus Consensus Tips Outcome Odds
2026-03-21 CONCACAF Champions Cup 2025/26 Quarterfinals Wydad vs Olympique de Safi 2-2 Home (100.0%) 13 4.3
2026-03-14 Chance Liga 2025/26 Regular Season Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina 2-2 Home (100.0%) 17 3.3
2026-03-20 Bundesliga 2025/26 Regular Season 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen 3-3 Away (100.0%) 39 4.06
2026-03-20 Challenger Pro League 2025/26 Regular Season Francs Borains vs Kortrijk 4-1 Away (100.0%) 11 4.3
2026-03-12 Championnat National 2025/26 Regular Season Chateauroux vs Villefranche 0-1 Home (100.0%) 12 3.05
2026-02-28 Chance Liga 2025/26 Regular Season Zlin vs Viktoria Plzen 3-0 Away (100.0%) 15 4.6
2026-03-08 Azerbaijan Premier League 2025/26 Regular Season Zira vs Kapaz 2-2 Home (100.0%) 20 4.35
2026-03-01 Argentine Primera Division 2026 Apertura Group B Argentinos Juniors vs Barracas Central 1-1 Home (100.0%) 25 4.1
2026-03-14 Azerbaijan Premier League 2025/26 Regular Season Kapaz vs Turan 1-1 Away (100.0%) 10 3.55
2026-03-07 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 Regural Season Hannover vs Greuther Furth 1-2 Home (100.0%) 20 7.8
2026-03-04 1. liga 2025/26 Regular Season Aluminij vs Celje 2-1 Away (100.0%) 15 4.4
2026-03-20 3. Liga 2025/26 Regular Season Schweinfurt vs Stuttgart II 3-1 Away (100.0%) 12 4.5
2026-03-11 Argentine Primera Division 2026 Apertura Group B Atletico Tucuman vs Aldosivi 1-1 Home (100.0%) 14 3.1
2026-03-20 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026 Regular Season Ceara vs Sao Bernardo 1-1 Home (100.0%) 11 3.75
2026-03-08 1. MFL 2025/26 Regular Season Shkendija vs AP Brera Strumica 1-1 Home (100.0%) 14 4.5
2026-03-12 Algerian Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/26 Regular Season Constantine vs Ben Aknoun 0-0 Home (100.0%) 18 3.65
2026-03-19 2. Liga 2025/26 Regular Season Admira vs Rapid (Youth) 0-3 Home (100.0%) 22 7.2
2026-03-20 1st Division 2025/26 Regular Season Koge vs Lyngby 3-3 Away (100.0%) 10 4.1
2026-03-06 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 Regural Season Paderborn vs Braunschweig 1-1 Home (100.0%) 20 4.7
2026-03-10 CONCACAF Champions Cup 2026 Round of 16 Los Angeles vs Alajuelense 1-1 Home (100.0%) 14 8.5

League Voaltility

This section analyzes which tournaments were the most unpredictable this month. We rank them based on the Average Winning Odds – the higher this number, the more often the ‘less likely’ outcome occurred. We also show the Upset Rate (how often the favorite failed to win) and Draw Rate to give you a complete picture of why these specific leagues were so difficult to forecast.

Tournament Matches Analyzed Average Winning Odds Upset Rate Draw Rate
Jordanian Pro League 2025/26 Regular Season 16 3.45 68.8% 31.3%
UEFA Conference League 2025/26 16 3.42 56.3% 18.8%
English Premier League 2025/26 Regular Season 32 3.20 62.5% 31.3%
A-League Men 2025/26 Regular Season 18 3.19 66.7% 33.3%
Scottish Premiership 2025/26 Regular Season 16 3.17 56.3% 31.3%
Regionalliga Nordost 2025/26 Regular Season 28 3.10 57.1% 21.4%
Super League 1 2025/26 Regular Season 27 3.10 48.1% 37.0%
Premier League 2 Division 1 2025/26 Regular Season 16 3.06 56.3% 18.8%
2. Liga 2025/26 Regular Season 20 3.06 45.0% 10.0%
CONCACAF Champions Cup 2026 Round of 16 16 3.05 50.0% 31.3%

Most Tipped Clubs

This table lists the 20 clubs that generated the most betting action this month. We break down their activity to show you how often they were tipped (Total Tips), the average odds offered on their matches, and most importantly, the success rate. You can easily compare the club’s actual form (Team Wins) with the success of the predictions made on them (Tip Win %), helping you identify the most reliable teams to back.

Club Total Matches Total Tips Home Tips Away Tips Average Odds Team Wins Winning Tips Tip Win %
Chelsea 5 282 0 282 3.18 2 182 64.5%
Manchester City 4 262 0 262 2.37 2 63 24.0%
Bayer Leverkusen 4 240 0 240 5.11 1 151 62.9%
Nottingham Forest 4 232 0 232 5.02 2 66 28.4%
Liverpool 4 231 0 231 1.71 1 63 27.3%
Atalanta 4 229 0 229 4.68 0 82 35.8%
Tottenham 3 210 0 210 5.65 0 127 60.5%
Arsenal 3 203 0 203 1.51 2 122 60.1%
Lille 3 182 0 182 4.17 2 66 36.3%
Getafe 3 180 0 180 7.09 2 64 35.6%
Atletico Madrid 3 177 0 177 3.91 0 122 68.9%
Barcelona 2 176 0 176 1.99 1 104 59.1%
Bologna 3 166 0 166 3.33 2 86 51.8%
Fiorentina 3 163 0 163 2.25 2 68 41.7%
Inter Miami 5 163 0 163 2.35 3 77 47.2%
Porto 4 162 0 162 3.93 2 58 35.8%
Leyton Orient 4 159 0 159 3.67 2 41 25.8%
Lyon 3 157 0 157 3.48 0 42 26.8%
Crystal Palace 3 157 0 157 2.71 2 106 67.5%
Celta Vigo 3 154 0 154 3.44 2 26 16.9%

Tispter Leaderboards

This leaderboard ranks our top tipsters not just by total cash won, but by efficiency. The key metric here is ROI (Return on Investment), which tells you how much profit a tipster generates for every unit wagered. A high ROI means they are beating the bookies consistently, not just getting lucky with one massive bet. We also list their Average Odds alongside their Win Rate to reveal their style: notice how some ‘Sharpshooters’ maintain a high win rate on safer bets, while ‘Value Hunters’ might win less often but target much higher odds to generate massive profit. We have filtered this list to include only those with a significant number of bets to ensure these results are skill, not luck.

Tipster Total Bets Leagues Played Win Rate Average Odds Total Profit ROI %
Eduardo Almeida 16 1 50.0% 2.45 9.92 62.00%
Ben Sully 17 8 82.4% 1.85 10.25 60.29%
Dilpreet Singh 15 8 86.7% 1.66 6.32 42.13%
Ben Knapton 21 5 47.6% 2.06 8.58 40.86%
Joshua Cole 19 4 47.4% 2.33 6.50 34.21%
Henry Hardwicke 16 12 62.5% 2.03 5.27 32.94%
Football Tips 25 17 88.0% 1.47 7.20 28.80%
Christian Capponi 23 12 60.9% 1.75 6.48 28.17%
Joel Lefevre 30 7 56.7% 2.47 8.42 28.07%
Matthew Cooper 12 3 58.3% 2.58 3.28 27.33%
Adeyeye Oluwapelumi 33 9 54.5% 2.35 8.92 27.03%
Seye Omidiora 17 10 58.8% 2.43 4.56 26.82%
Katavasiya v CS2 12 6 83.3% 1.58 3.14 26.17%
Free Super Tips EU 62 31 79.0% 1.49 15.50 25.00%
Filip Tomic 17 1 82.4% 1.61 4.25 25.00%
Micre 15 3 46.7% 3.07 3.49 23.27%
Paulo Matuck 23 2 47.8% 2.33 5.16 22.43%
Pawel Watorski 13 5 53.8% 2.96 2.81 21.62%
Aaron Ashley 12 8 66.7% 1.81 2.55 21.25%
James Milton 12 9 41.7% 2.12 2.50 20.83%
Prediction Football 18 12 83.3% 1.44 3.63 20.17%
Odds2win 32 11 62.5% 1.86 6.42 20.06%
Sachin Bhat 45 20 51.1% 3.27 8.91 19.80%
Miguel Solomons 21 13 61.9% 1.72 3.74 17.81%
Steven Jackson 13 1 69.2% 2.31 2.29 17.62%

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