Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction: 24.05.2026 English Premier League

Season finale at Anfield. Liverpool chase a Europa League spot, Brentford seek to finish in the top half. Both teams have shown flashes of attacking promise, but the real intrigue? Neither manager, Arne Slot nor Keith Andrews, has managed this fixture before. Liverpool’s Cody Gakpo, when on his day, slices through defensive lines, while Brentford’s Dango Ouattara can erupt with pace and chaos in transition—expect both to play decisive roles. The pressure on both sides isn’t evenly distributed. Liverpool still have a mathematical chance at fourth if results elsewhere break their way; Brentford’s job is simpler, a positive result and they leapfrog Chelsea. The past month has exposed defensive fragilities for both, but in streaks, Liverpool’s Virgil van Dijk and Brentford’s Mikkel Damsgaard have delivered moments of calm or brilliance.

Hot stat: Liverpool have conceded 10 goals in their last four Premier League games—hardly title-contender form, but it sets the stage for another open clash.

Liverpool vs Brentford prediction

We think Liverpool will edge this, probably not comfortably, but the home advantage and attacking depth give them the edge. Most bookmakers back them at around 1.80 odds, and our punters don’t see a lot of value in a Brentford upset here. Both sides have been vulnerable defensively—Liverpool leaking goals, Brentford conceding plenty of shots. But Liverpool’s midfield, especially with Mac Allister and Szoboszlai pulling the strings, should give them more territory and final-third pressure. Brentford’s counterattacking remains sharp, but their pass accuracy has dropped in big matches and their yellow card count has crept up (8 in last five)—discipline could cost them when pressing.

Both teams average over 7 fouls per match in their last five outings, with Liverpool slightly more aggressive off the ball. Neither side is shy about committing men forward, so set-piece chances and corner totals should climb. Liverpool’s higher pass accuracy (85% last five) means more controlled possession, but Brentford’s 38 interceptions in the same span highlight how quickly they can break up play and flip the script. All of this leans toward a match with chances at both ends—goals on the cards.

Team Analysis

Liverpool come into this after a chaotic 2-4 loss to Aston Villa. Defensive shape collapsed under pressure, with van Dijk forced into desperate clearances and Mamardashvili unable to bail out his backline. The attack had bite—Robertson and Szoboszlai each found the net recently—but there’s a jittery edge in transition. Recent results (win-loss-draw-loss-win) show inconsistency, but also attacking intent: 8 goals in last five matches, 46 total shots. Gakpo, when given service, gets into dangerous spaces. But the side’s tendency to overcommit leaves gaps—witness the 10 conceded goals in four games. The midfield is creative but sometimes too loose; Jones and Mac Allister both drift and press, which can leave spaces behind.

Brentford, meanwhile, played to a 2-2 draw against Crystal Palace in their last outing. The attack, spearheaded by Ouattara and Igor Thiago, can be direct and punchy, but the build-up play sometimes sputters. Passing accuracy fell below 82% in that match. Defensively, they intercepted the ball 38 times over their last five, a testament to their disruptiveness, but they also commit silly fouls—38 in five matches, plus 8 yellows. This tendency sometimes hands the initiative to the opponent, especially away from home. Brentford’s last five games? Win-draw-win-loss-draw. Only one clean sheet. Midfielders like Mathias Jensen and Damsgaard do a lot of work breaking up play but can’t always dictate tempo.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Brentford stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite

• Moneyline Liverpool 1.80 | Brentford 3.80
• Draw 4.20
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 2.05
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.10

Bookies aren’t buying a Brentford shock. Liverpool’s 53% win probability matches the odds—decent but not overwhelming. Draw at 22% feels about right, with Brentford’s 25% a stretch unless Liverpool implode. Over 2.5 goals around 1.90 is attractive given both teams’ leaky defenses and willingness to go forward. BTTS at 1.73 isn’t a gift but with recent form, it’s more likely than not. The market expects goals and action, not a cagey chess match.

Possible Starting Lineups

Liverpool possible starting eleven

Freddie Woodman seems to have edged out Mamardashvili lately. Back four picks itself; Gomez and Robertson as fullbacks, van Dijk and Konaté central. Midfield triangle leans creative—Szoboszlai’s recent form warrants a start, Mac Allister brings poise, Jones gives energy. Up top, Gakpo and Salah are threats out wide or centrally, expect plenty of interchanging. Slot prefers a 4-2-3-1 but might morph into 4-3-3 in attack. Watch Szoboszlai and Gakpo—both can turn matches with a single flash.

Brentford possible starting eleven

Kelleher remains first choice in goal, especially against his old club. Collins and Ajer form the core at the back, Kayode and Hickey offer width. Midfield engine: Jensen and Janelt break up play, Damsgaard more advanced. Up front, Ouattara and Lewis-Potter flanking Igor Thiago—pacy, direct, not much subtlety. Brentford will stick to 4-2-3-1, but in transitions, it shifts to a fast 4-3-3. Ouattara’s directness, if unchecked, could punish Liverpool on the counter.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Liverpool should squeeze out a win, but we don’t expect it to be clean. Defensive fragility on both sides points to a shootout. Over 2.5 goals looks likely, both teams to score is almost a given, and corners will rack up as both attack down the flanks. We think Liverpool 2-1 or 3-2, with Gakpo or Salah on the scoresheet and Ouattara threatening for the visitors. We’re not putting the house on it, but this one feels made for goals.

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