Jordan vs Mali Prediction: 18.11.2025 International Friendly 2025

The International Friendly between Jordan and Mali, set for November 18, 2025, at Brann Stadion, Bergen, promises a fascinating clash between two evolving teams eager to gauge their progress on a global stage. While friendlies often serve as platforms for experimentation, this encounter stands out due to contrasting forms—Jordan seeking morale after a tough run, and Mali riding a wave of confidence from recent victories.

Keep an eye on Moussa Doumbia for Mali, whose creativity and direct running have frequently unlocked defenses, and Mousa Al-Tamari of Jordan, whose attacking flair and leadership will be central if the hosts aim to cause an upset. While goalkeepers often go under the radar in friendly fixtures, both teams have relied heavily on their experienced men between the posts to keep matches competitive.

What’s the “hot stat”? Mali boasts a remarkable 100% win rate in their last two fixtures, while Jordan are still searching for their first win this month—a testament to the momentum each side brings into this tie.

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Jordan vs Mali prediction

Given the form book, Mali are the logical favourite for this contest. Their recent goal-scoring exploits and ability to keep clean sheets signal a side brimming with confidence and tactical discipline under Tom Saintfiet. In contrast, Jordan are winless in their last outing and have struggled to find consistency in both attack and defense under Jamal Sellami. The data tilts the scales towards a positive Mali result, but the unpredictable nature of friendlies, plus Jordan’s home support, can’t be ignored.

Jordan’s reliance on the 4-1-4-1 formation suggests a compact midfield aiming for counter-attacks, but an average win rate of just 21% this year implies struggles in transition and breaking down well-organized defenses. Statistically, Jordan have struggled to convert possession into meaningful attacking output, as evidenced by their low recent goals and shots tally. Mali, usually lining up in a 4-5-1, operate with high pressing intensity and quick ball recovery; their 57% yearly win rate mirrors a squad disciplined in both shape and execution. Mali’s attacking transitions have caused opponents real problems, and their midfield’s ability to win second balls could tip the balance here.

Team Analysis

Jordan’s recent games:

Jordan’s form has been inconsistent, marked by a 2-3 loss to Tunisia and a 0-1 defeat against Bolivia in their previous five. Although they put three goals past the Dominican Republic earlier, goal output since has dwindled. The most recent match—a narrow defeat to Tunisia—exposed defensive vulnerabilities and an inability to close out tight games, compounded by limited attacking options outside of Al-Tamari.

Mali’s recent games:

Mali enter this fixture in buoyant mood, winning 4-1 against Madagascar and dispatching Chad 2-0 back-to-back. Their last five matches highlight a team in fine goal-scoring form, with only a solitary loss to Ghana interrupting their winning rhythm. Mali’s midfield dominance and clinical finishing were on full display against Madagascar, where their ability to press, win balls high up, and capitalize on transitions brought tangible rewards.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Jordan vs Mali stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mali the favourite

• Moneyline Jordan 3.35-3.38 | Mali 2.25-2.27
• Draw 3.00-3.17
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.70
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.18 | No 1.62

The bookmakers reflect Mali’s status as the favourite, with the West Africans tipped at around 2.26 for the win against Jordan’s 3.35+. Draws are given just under a third chance—a reasonable reflection considering the experimental nature of friendlies. The odds on under 2.5 goals (1.70) and “No” for both teams to score (1.62) underline expectations for a cagey affair, likely dominated by Mali’s organized pressing and Jordan’s more defensive posture.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Jordan possible starting eleven

Jordan’s probable XI relies on a 4-1-4-1 setup, seeking midfield control and quick transitions. Expect an experienced back line to anchor the defense with Abu Layla’s shot-stopping abilities in goal. Al-Tamari will be the primary offensive outlet, supported by energetic midfielders like Noor Al-Rawabdeh and Baha’ Abdul-Rahman. The focus will be on staying compact and trying to pinch a goal on the break.

Mali possible starting eleven

Mali’s likely 4-5-1 configuration brings both width and steel to the midfield. The defensive pairing of Niakaté and Kouyaté lends solidity, while dynamic fullbacks like Sacko push forward to support attacks. In midfield, Camara and Samassékou are key in dictating tempo. Doumbia, on current form, will be the creative hub, and El Bilal Touré spearheads the attack, looking to exploit any defensive lapses from Jordan.

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My take on the Match

Based on current trends and the respective tactical approaches, Mali are well positioned to extend their winning run. Their midfield strength and speed on the break make them the side to back against a Jordan outfit still finding its feet defensively. My main pick is Mali Draw No Bet—this offers value with insurance against a potential draw, given the low-scoring, closely contested nature that international friendlies often bring. Expect Mali’s combination of discipline and athleticism to edge a narrow contest.

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