Liam Duckstein
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Hull welcome Ipswich to the MKM Stadium with both clubs sitting level on 10 points in the bottom half of the table. Hull have gone five league games without a win, drawing three and losing two, while Ipswich arrive on the back of a messy run that includes heavy defeats to Manchester City and Arsenal sandwiched around a battling win over Fulham. Neither side has shown the consistency to pull away from the pack, which is exactly what makes this one tricky to call on paper. The quiet detail worth noting: despite similar shot numbers in recent weeks, Hull have won almost three times as many corners as Ipswich, a sign their game plan leans heavily on wide areas and set-piece pressure rather than through-the-middle football.
Mohamed Belloumi has been Hull’s most dangerous forward of late, leading the squad in shots over the last three matches and giving Jakirovic’s side a focal point up top. For Ipswich, Julio Enciso remains the creative spark, already on a goal this season from midfield and the player most likely to unlock a packed Hull defense with a late run or a direct pass.
Hot stat: Hull have racked up 14 corners across their last five matches compared to just 5 for Ipswich, a gap that hints at a territorial battle brewing on Friday rather than a free-flowing attacking contest.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | MKM Stadium, Hull |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
Hull vs Ipswich prediction
We lean toward Ipswich Double Chance combined with Both Teams to Score as the best value here. Ipswich have scored in four of their last five matches and carry a better underlying winrate for the season at 53% compared to Hull’s 38%, even though their recent form looks shakier on the surface. Hull, for their part, have not lost consecutive league games since August, and their habit of drawing tight contests suggests this one could easily finish level rather than swing clearly one way.
Hull sit on four yellow cards from their last five matches against Ipswich’s five, both relatively disciplined sides by Premier League standards, with fouls hovering around six to seven per game for each team. Ipswich complete noticeably more passes per match, pointing to a possession-based approach under Gary O’Neil, while Hull look more direct and set-piece reliant, backed up by that corner count gap. A game built on patient Ipswich buildup against a stubborn, physical Hull low block feels like the right read, and that usually produces goals from set pieces or moments of individual quality rather than open football.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw at Half-time, Ipswich to Win Full-time |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Hull’s winless run now stretches across five league fixtures, their last outing a 1-1 draw against Brentford that kept the streak alive without quite ending it. In our preview of Hull vs Brentford we called a tight affair with both teams scoring and leaned toward Brentford avoiding defeat rather than winning outright, and the 1-1 result backed that read up nicely. Before that, Hull lost 0-1 to Fulham and drew 2-2 with Everton, a pattern of conceding first and scrapping back that has become something of a signature for Jakirovic’s side this autumn.
Ipswich head into this one off a 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest, a result that followed heavier defeats to Manchester City (2-3) and Arsenal (2-4). In our preview of Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest we backed Ipswich to stay unbeaten with goals at both ends, and the eventual 1-1 draw landed that call even though the extra lean toward Over 2.5 goals fell short. The pattern since has stayed consistent: Ipswich keep finding the net, but their defense keeps handing opponents a way back into games.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Hull | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Hull vs Ipswich stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hull the slight favourite
- Moneyline Hull 2.55 | Ipswich 2.60
- Draw 3.40
The bookmakers have this one priced almost dead even, with Hull given a marginal edge at 37% implied probability against Ipswich’s 36%, and the draw sitting at 27%. That tight spread matches what the stats suggest: two sides of similar quality, neither fully in form, with home advantage doing most of the work to separate them. We wouldn’t rush to back the moneyline outright given how close the numbers run, and the double chance markets feel like the smarter route for anyone backing a side here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Hull possible starting eleven
- GK: Konstantinos Tzolakis
- DF: Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Semi Ajayi, Ryan Giles
- MF: Regan Slater, Tim Iroegbunam
- FW: Sorba Thomas, Elliot Stroud, Mohamed Belloumi, Oliver McBurnie
Jakirovic has stuck fairly close to a settled 4-2-3-1 in recent weeks. Tzolakis keeps his place in goal having played every minute available, and the back four of Coyle, Egan, Ajayi and Giles has racked up the most minutes among Hull’s defensive options. Belloumi and McBurnie carry most of the attacking threat up top, and both are worth watching if Hull are going to break their winless run.
Ipswich possible starting eleven
- GK: Christian Walton
- DF: Dara O’Shea, Issa Diop, Leif Davis, Abdoul Ouattara
- MF: Florentino Luís, Exequiel Palacios
- FW: Julio Enciso, Daizen Maeda, Jaden Philogene-Bidace, Emersonn
Gary O’Neil also favours a 4-2-3-1, and Ipswich’s back four of O’Shea, Diop, Davis and Ouattara have all played full minutes across their last three matches, a strong sign of a settled defensive unit. Enciso and Maeda both carry goal threat from deeper positions, while Emersonn leads the line and will look to stretch Hull’s back line on the counter.
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Ipswich. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a close, scrappy game that finishes level or edges narrowly toward Ipswich. Hull’s inability to win in five outings is a real worry, but their defensive resilience in draws against Everton and Chelsea shows they won’t simply roll over at home. Ipswich’s goal-scoring form against weaker underlying defensive numbers points toward a game where both teams find the net, perhaps in a 1-1 or 2-1 finish. Backing Ipswich Double Chance with BTTS feels like the honest value pick on our desk, with the draw itself holding real appeal given how evenly matched these two sides look right now.
