Alex MacQuoid
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There’s a strange mismatch sitting at the bottom of the Premier League table this week. Ipswich sit tenth with nine points, scrapping around mid-table respectability, while Nottingham Forest, a club that looked genuinely dangerous last season under Glasner, are nineteenth with just five points and only Sunderland below them. Bookmakers still make Forest favourites here at 42%, which tells you plenty about reputation carrying more weight than recent reality. Neither side has won in their last three outings and honestly, this one smells like a nervy, error-strewn afternoon rather than a showcase of quality.
Keep an eye on Dara O’Shea for the hosts. He scored in the recent sample of matches and his distribution out from the back (96 passes, 77% of them finding a teammate in that run) has been one of Ipswich’s few reliable outlets. On the other side, Dan Ndoye looks like Forest’s most dangerous individual right now, six shots and a goal in his last two appearances, the kind of directness Glasner badly needs from somewhere given how blunt his side has looked.
Hot stat: Nottingham Forest have fired 38 shots across their last five matches and scored just once. That’s a conversion rate that should worry Glasner more than any single result does… Ipswich, by contrast, needed only 19 attempts to score four in the same stretch. Chances created mean very little if nobody’s finishing them.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest prediction
We think the value here sits with Ipswich avoiding defeat rather than betting blindly on the favourite tag Forest still carry. The double chance on the home side (1X) covers both a home win and a draw, and given Forest have lost three straight and haven’t won on the road in ages based on current form, that feels like the smarter route than backing Forest outright at odds that barely reflect their stumble. Our team at TipsGG leans toward this being tighter than the market suggests, maybe even an Ipswich win if O’Shea and Jack Clarke combine the way they have lately.
Stylistically, both sides are fairly even in discipline, 24 fouls apiece in their last five, 4 yellow cards for Ipswich against 3 for Forest, nothing dramatic there. Where it gets interesting is the shot and corner volume split. Forest generate far more corners (16 to Ipswich’s 5) and more shots overall, but their passing control and final output haven’t matched the pressure they create. Ipswich complete fewer attempts yet convert at a far sharper rate. That contrast suggests a match where territory might belong to the visitors while the actual clear-cut chances and goals could still swing toward the hosts.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ipswich Double Chance (1X) & BTTS Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Ipswich arrive off the back of a 2-3 loss to Manchester City, a game where they actually scored twice against the champions-elect, which says something about their attacking resolve even in defeat. Before that there was a 2-1 win over Fulham, a 0-1 loss to Everton, a 2-4 defeat to Arsenal and a scrappy 3-2 win over Crystal Palace. It’s a genuinely mixed bag, two wins, three losses, but the pattern shows Gary O’Neil’s side scoring goals against anyone, even the very best. In our preview of Manchester City vs Ipswich we called City to win comfortably with a clean sheet likely, and while City did win, the 2-3 scoreline showed Ipswich’s attack cracked the door open twice, so the headline pick landed but the comfortable, clean-sheet angle didn’t quite hold up.
Nottingham Forest’s recent run reads far worse. Their last match was a 0-1 loss to Arsenal, following a 1-3 defeat to Crystal Palace, a 0-1 loss to Coventry, a win over Aston Villa and a goalless draw with Tottenham before that. Three straight losses now, and the underlying shot numbers suggest this isn’t bad luck so much as a side that can’t finish what it starts. In our preview of Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal we backed Arsenal -1.5 on the Asian Handicap alongside Under 2.5 goals. The Under landed cleanly with just one goal in the game, but Arsenal won by the bare minimum, 0-1, so the headline handicap pick went against us. That’s exactly the kind of thin-margin Forest performance that’s become a theme lately.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two have met three times recently across competitions, a 1-1 FA Cup draw, a 2-4 Premier League win for Forest, and a 0-1 Forest win before that. Forest have come out on top in the last two league meetings specifically, scoring five goals across those two games to Ipswich’s two.
| Statistic | Ipswich | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 3 meetings) | 3 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest stats page for more info.
Nottingham Forest. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Nottingham Forest the favourite
- Moneyline Ipswich 3.10 | Nottingham Forest 2.25
- Draw 3.30
The market still leans toward Forest despite their three-game losing run, which probably reflects squad quality on paper more than current form. We’re not fully convinced those odds price in just how blunt Forest have looked in front of goal lately. Ipswich at home, with sharper finishing in recent weeks, looks like a live underdog rather than a hopeless one here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Ipswich possible starting eleven
- GK: Christian Walton
- DF: Darnell Furlong, Dara O’Shea, Issa Diop, Leif Davis
- MF: Azor Matusiwa, Julio Enciso
- FW: Jack Clarke, Jaden Philogene-Bidace, Emersonn, Chuba Akpom
O’Neil should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that’s been used across the last five games. O’Shea’s goal threat from defence and Diop’s interception numbers (five already in limited minutes) give this backline some bite going both ways. Clarke remains the one to watch wide, his creativity has been Ipswich’s main source of chance creation when the game opens up.
Nottingham Forest possible starting eleven
- GK: Matz Sels
- DF: Murillo Santiago, Nikola Milenković, Ousmane Diomande
- MF: Neco Williams, Ibrahim Sangaré, Nicolás Domínguez, Ola Aina
- FW: James Mcatee, Dan Ndoye, Chris Wood
Glasner’s 3-4-2-1 shape relies heavily on Ndoye and Mcatee linking up behind Wood, but the striker has managed just two shots across his last two games, which explains plenty about Forest’s goal drought. Sels has kept them from total collapse at the back with four saves in recent action, and honestly, he might need another big performance here.
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Ipswich. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We’re leaning toward a messy, open contest where Ipswich’s home comfort and recent scoring sharpness carries them to an unbeaten result. Forest’s shot volume without end product is a real concern heading into this one, and three straight losses on the spin is the kind of slump that doesn’t just fix itself against a side fighting for points of its own. Our pick: Ipswich Double Chance combined with Both Teams to Score, backed by a lean toward Over 2.5 goals given how both defences have leaked recently. A 2-2 or 2-1 finish to Ipswich wouldn’t surprise anyone on our desk.
