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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shanghai Port Prediction: 18.06.2025 Chinese Super League

16.06.2025, 11:44

The mid-June Chinese Super League fixture sees twelfth-placed Henan Songshan Longmen welcome title-challengers Shanghai Port to Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium. With Henan recently hitting a purple patch in form and Shanghai Port eyeing a push toward the top three, this encounter takes on added significance. The last meeting ended narrowly in Shanghai’s favour can Henan exact revenge, or will Port’s attacking artillery prove decisive?

Two players to keep a keen eye on: Henan’s Bruno Nazário, a creative midfielder who’s pressed for goals and assists within a new-look 4-3-3 under Daniel Ramos, and Shanghai Port’s Gabriel Airton de Souza, whose pace and technical ability have made him a real handful on the wing, recently chipping in with both goals and assists. Both can unlock a tight game with a single touch.

Hot stat: Shanghai Port have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches averaging over 1.5 per game while conceding just 5 yellow cards, showing both attacking verve and discipline in equal measure.

07:35Finished18.06.2025
🏆 Tournament: Chinese Super League 2025 Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
🗓️ Date: 18.06.2025
⏰ Time: 14:35 CEST

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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shanghai Port prediction

The best value, in my view, lies with a Shanghai Port win either outright or on the safer end, via Draw No Bet. Shanghai Port’s superior goal tally (28 in 13 matches this season), offensive discipline, and recent head-to-head supremacy tip the balance their way. Henan have improved lately, notably in their 3-2 win against Chengdu, but Shanghai Port’s depth and consistency across midfield and attack make them the favourites.

Henan are playing a bold 4-3-3, but their defence has wobbled they’ve shipped 22 goals this season and conceded 4 against Tianjin not long ago. Their pressing is high, and they’re not shy from a midfield battle, as reflected by their 17 fouls and 8 yellows in the last five outings. Shanghai Port, meanwhile, display both structure and flexibility a calculated build-up (pass accuracy of 84 percent in recent matches, 28 shots in their last five), and yet manage to stay disciplined with noticeably fewer cards and fouls.

In matches featuring these two sides, expect fast transitions, but also a risk of tempers flaring given both sides’ willingness to put a boot in. The forecast is for goals at both ends but ultimately a tilt in Port’s favour.

🔥Hot Tip: Shanghai Port Draw No Bet
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Henan Songshan Longmen come into this match riding a wave of recent confidence. Their last match, a thrilling 3-2 victory over Chengdu Better City, showed their willingness to attack and press high up the pitch. Goals from Huang Zichang, Wanderson, and Frank Acheampong punctuated a vibrant attacking display, but question marks remain over their defensive transitions. Earlier, they bested Chongqing Tongliangloong 2-1, though leaked a costly equaliser late on against Zhejiang Professional (2-2). Daniel Ramos’s men are finding a cutting edge, yet vulnerability at the back persists. Their 4-3-3 has aided offensive output (20 goals in 13), but at the risk of increased exposure in defence.

07:35Finished14.06.2025

Shanghai Port have not lost in their last three matches, drawing 2-2 with Zhejiang Professional before comfortably dispatching Suzhou Dongwu 6-2 and managing a 1-1 stalemate against Shandong Taishan. Under Kevin Muscat, Port rotate fiercely in midfield, moving the ball swiftly out wide especially to Gabriel and Gustavo. Crucially, their balance between attack and rearguard action is improving, with only 11 fouls across the last five matches, and with stalwart Zhang Linpeng marshaling at the back. Their shape (also a 4-3-3) keeps opponents guessing, but sometimes they can be overrun in transitions as seen in that 2-2 draw with Zhejiang.

03:30Finished14.06.2025

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Henan Songshan Longmen Shanghai Port
Total shots 7 12
Free kicks 14 12
Corner kicks 4 6
Total fouls 16 14
Pass accuracy (%) 78 84
Interceptions 11 13
Offsides 2 1

🚨Read our full Henan Songshan Longmen vs Shanghai Port stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Shanghai Port the favourite

  • Moneyline Henan Songshan Longmen 2.90-3.10 | Shanghai Port 2.03-2.17
  • Draw 3.85-4.20
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.79 | Under 2.5 1.92
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.62 | No 2.10

An average of 45 percent win probability is given to Shanghai Port by the bookmakers, with 32 percent for Henan and a 23 percent chance for the draw. Shanghai Port’s slightly shorter odds reflect their superior attacking options and current league position. The relative closeness of the odds, however, nods to Henan’s recent firepower and home advantage. Over 2.5 goals is a popular market, and both teams have shown an affinity for offensive football and leaky moments at the back making goals here look likely. BTTS is favoured as well, with both defences susceptible to pace and movement.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Henan Songshan Longmen possible starting eleven

  • GK: Wang Guoming
  • DF: Iago Justen Maidana Martins, Lucas Jaques Varone Maia, Niu Ziyi, Liu Yixin
  • MF: Wang Shangyuan, Bruno dos Santos Nazário, Huang Ruifeng
  • FW: Huang Zichang, Wanderson Felippe Cardoso dos Santos, Frank Acheampong

Henan are expected to retain their 4-3-3 formation, banking on the creativity of Nazário in midfield and the direct running of Wanderson and Acheampong up top. Guoming is the likely pick in goal for his steady performances, and the defensive duo of Maidana and Maia supply much-needed muscle and aerial presence. Key to watch: Wanderson’s wide play and Nazário’s link-up between defence and attack. Expect a side eager to prove their recent resurgence is no fluke.

Shanghai Port possible starting eleven

  • GK: Yan Junling
  • DF: Zhang Linpeng, Jiang Guangtai, Li Ang, Li Shuai
  • MF: Xu Xin, Mateus Vital, Ming Tian
  • FW: Gabriel Airton de Souza, Gustavo, Leonardo Nascimento Lopes de Souza

Shanghai Port should deploy their familiar 4-3-3, building play through Vital in midfield and seeking width via Gabriel and Gustavo, with Leonardo finishing the moves. Veteran Yan Junling anchors the defence, protected by the experienced Linpeng and Guangtai. The midfield trio’s ball retention (over 400 passes in last five games) will be central to Port’s chances here. Leonardo is the one to watch the Brazilian forward has developed an eye for goal and is due a big performance.

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Henan Songshan Longmen. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo

Henan Songshan Longmen. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo


The Verdict

Given both sides’ recent form, this fixture promises attacking moments and defensive lapses. My main pick is Shanghai Port to emerge with either a narrow win or at least not to lose (Draw No Bet). Their offensive edge, mix of youth and experience, and better discipline are likely to swing the momentum in their favour. Still, with Henan buoyed by back-to-back wins and a boisterous home support, there’s ample scope for goals from both camps. Don’t be surprised to see 2-1 or 2-2 as a final score so consider both teams to score and over 2.5 goals for a bit of extra value!

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