Liam Duckstein
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Dordrecht welcome Almere City to the GN Bouw Stadion on the back of a torrid run, and honestly, the gap between these two sides right now is difficult to ignore. Dordrecht sit rock bottom of the Eerste Divisie with four points from seven games, while Almere City occupy second spot, just two points off the pace. There’s an interesting wrinkle here too: the reverse fixture last season also ended in an away win for Almere, and the visitors have simply carried that momentum into this new campaign.
Keep an eye on Ferdy Druijf for Almere City. He has scored three goals in his last three appearances and leads both squads in shots on goal, a genuine threat in behind a shaky Dordrecht backline. On the other side, Nicolas Rossi is Dordrecht’s most productive attacker of late with a goal and two assists in his last four matches, and he might be the home side’s only realistic outlet.
Hot stat: Dordrecht have shipped 18 goals across their last five matches while scoring just five, a horrendous defensive record for a side that now has to face the second-best attack in the division.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Eerste Divisie 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | GN Bouw Stadion, Dordrecht |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Dordrecht vs Almere City prediction
We predict Almere City to win this one, and comfortably at that. Dordrecht have lost every single match in the last thirty days, a stretch that includes conceding six goals twice, while Almere have won four of their last five and sit second in the standings for a reason. The value, to be hones, is not just in backing the away win but in expecting goals at both ends, since Dordrecht have found the net in three of their last five outings despite the awful results.
Style-wise, Almere City are the tidier side by a distance. Their squad has picked up just four yellow cards across the last five matches compared to Dordrecht’s eight, and Almere have also committed noticeably fewer fouls, suggesting a team playing with more control and confidence. Dordrecht’s higher foul count and two red cards in the sample point to a side that is chasing games and losing discipline as results pile up against them. Almere’s better ball retention should let them dictate tempo from the opening whistle, and that control tends to translate into set-piece chances, hence our lean toward a corner-heavy affair.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ferdy Druijf to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Dordrecht’s recent form makes for grim reading. Their last outing ended in a 0-3 defeat to Oss, continuing a run in which they have failed to win a single match in five attempts. Before that they lost 1-2 to Eindhoven and shipped six goals in back-to-back games against AZ Alkmaar (Youth) and Volendam, a 3-6 and a 1-6 respectively. The defense has simply stopped functioning, and with only five goals scored across that stretch, the attack hasn’t offered much of a counterbalance either.
Almere City, by contrast, look like a side building real momentum. Their most recent result was a tight 1-0 win over Heracles, the division’s current leaders, which speaks volumes about their ability to grind out results against strong opposition. Before that they thrashed Maastricht 4-0 and beat both De Graafschap and Vitesse comfortably. The only blemish in that run was a narrow 0-1 loss to Jong Ajax, but four wins from five tells its own story.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Dordrecht | Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Dordrecht vs Almere City stats page for more info.
Dordrecht. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Almere City the favourite
- Moneyline Dordrecht 2.95 | Almere City 2.08
- Draw 3.85
The odds line up neatly with the form both sides have shown. Almere City’s price around 2.08 reflects their status as clear favourites, backed by a five-point cushion in the standings and a much healthier goal difference. Dordrecht’s price near 2.95 looks generous on paper, but given they haven’t won in a month, we’re not touching the home side straight up. Our team at TipsGG sees the draw price as poor value too, since Almere’s attacking numbers suggest they should be able to break Dordrecht down.
Possible Starting Lineups
Dordrecht possible starting eleven
- GK: Tim Coremans
- DF: Jaden Pinas, Jurre van Aken, Lucas Woudenberg, Beni Christophe Mpanzu
- MF: Senne Vugts, Robin van Asten, Martin Vetkal, Lorenzo Riccio, Nicolas Rossi
- FW: Nick Venema
Coremans keeps his spot after starting all five recent matches, and Pinas anchors a back four that has leaked goals but still logs heavy passing minutes. In a 4-2-3-1 shape, Vugts and van Asten sit deep while Vetkal, Riccio and Rossi look to create in the final third. Rossi is the one to watch given his direct involvement in three of Dordrecht’s last five goals.
Almere City possible starting eleven
- GK: Wessel Speel
- DF: James Lawrence, Teun Bijleveld, Damian van Bruggen, E. van de Blaak
- MF: Job Kalisvaart, Mees Hoedemakers
- FW: Emanuel Poku, Marley Dors, Enzo Cornelisse, Ferdy Druijf
Speel’s 13 saves across the sample suggest he has been busy but reliable between the posts. Almere line up in the same 4-2-3-1, with Kalisvaart and Hoedemakers screening the back four while Poku, Dors and Cornelisse rotate behind lone striker Druijf. Poku’s ten shots and two assists in five games make him just as dangerous as Druijf himself, and Dordrecht’s makeshift defense may struggle to track both.
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Almere City. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Almere City to leave Dordrecht with all three points, most likely by a two-goal margin. Dordrecht’s defense has been porous all month, and Almere’s attack has generated enough quality across the last five games to punish that. Our team leans toward a scoreline in the region of 1-3 or 1-2, with both sides finding the net given Dordrecht’s habit of scoring even in defeats. Perhaps the only surprise on the night would be Dordrecht keeping it tight for an hour, but the numbers say that’s unlikely to last.
