Sofia Quijada
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Girona welcome a struggling Albacete side to Estadi Montilivi with the gap between the two clubs looking wide on paper. Girona sit eighth after six rounds with 10 points, while Albacete prop up the table with a single point from six games, only goal difference keeping them off the very bottom. The interesting wrinkle here is Albacete’s away form: zero wins, four losses and a draw in their last five outings, a run that includes conceding to sides both above and below them in the standings.
Yaser Asprilla has been Girona’s spark plug, netting three goals across his last four appearances and carrying most of the creative load out wide. On the other side, Mario Soberon Gutierrez leads Albacete for shots with ten in his last four games, but has yet to find the net, and his ability to convert chances will decide whether Albacete can trouble Girona at all.
The hot stat from the recent data belongs to Girona, who put five goals past Las Palmas just two games back, the highest single-match tally of any side featured here in the last five rounds. That kind of firepower at home is exactly what a leaky Albacete defense, which has conceded in four of its last five, does not want to face.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadi Montilivi, Girona |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:30 CEST |
Girona vs Albacete prediction
We predict Girona win comfortably here, and the value sits in backing them to win by two or more goals rather than just picking the moneyline. Girona have scored ten goals across their last five matches against Albacete’s two, and Albacete have won nothing away from home in their recent run. Girona’s home comfort at Montilivi, paired with Albacete’s inability to keep games tight on the road, points toward a one-sided scoreline.
Girona commit fouls at a moderate rate, 51 across their last five games, and have picked up 12 yellow cards in that span, numbers that suggest a side happy to press without heavy discipline problems. Albacete foul slightly less at 49 but have taken fewer bookings, six, which fits a team sitting back and conceding possession rather than getting stuck in. Girona’s passing volume, over 1,575 attempted in five games, dwarfs Albacete’s output, and that control of the ball should translate into more shots and corners on the night.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Girona to win by 2+ goals (Asian Handicap -1.5) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Girona arrive off a 2-1 win over Cadiz, their third victory in the last five games, sandwiched between a 5-2 demolition of Las Palmas and a narrow 2-0 win over Sporting Gijon. The one blemish, a 1-2 loss to leaders Castellon, came against the division’s strongest side, so it hardly dents confidence. Quique Álvarez’s men have scored in every one of their last five matches, a pattern of consistent attacking output that should hold up against a defense as porous as Albacete’s.
Albacete’s most recent outing ended in a 1-2 defeat to Cordoba, extending a wretched sequence that includes just one draw and four losses in their last five. Before that they were held 1-1 by Granada, lost 0-2 to Castellon, fell 0-1 to Real Oviedo and dropped 1-2 to Real Sociedad B. Alberto González’s side has managed only two goals across those five matches while shipping nine, a defensive record that offers little hope of containing Girona’s front line at Montilivi.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Girona and Albacete have no recent competitive meetings on record between them, so there is no head-to-head trend to lean on for this fixture. Both clubs are effectively meeting fresh, with current form and league position doing all the talking.
🚨Check out our dedicated Girona vs Albacete stats page for more info.
Albacete. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Girona the favourite
- Moneyline Girona 1.51 | Albacete 5.72
- Draw 4.55
Odds across the board price Girona around 1.44 to 1.52, reflecting the bookmakers’ clear expectation of a home win, roughly 62% implied probability. Albacete’s price sits close to 5.72 with some books pushing past 6.00, a fair reflection of a side without an away win all season. The draw hovers near 4.30 to 4.60, a price we think is short given how rarely Albacete have taken points from stronger opposition this term.
Possible Starting Lineups
Girona possible starting eleven
- GK: Paulo Gazzaniga
- DF: Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz, Alejandro Francés, Abdul Mumin, Álex Moreno
- MF: David López Silva, Fran Beltran, Izan González, Donny van de Beek
- FW: Yaser Asprilla, Vladyslav Vanat
Girona should line up in their usual 4-4-2, with Asprilla and Vanat combining for four goals between them in the last four games and expected to lead the line again. Fran Beltran and Izan González both carry a goal and an assist in this run and give the midfield an attacking edge, while Álex Moreno’s two assists from the back make him worth watching on set pieces and overlaps.
Albacete possible starting eleven
- GK: Diego Mariño
- DF: Fran Gámez, Carlos Neva, Lluís Lopez, Javi Moreno
- MF: Sergio Ortuno Diaz, José Corpas, Antonio Pacheco Ruiz, Javi Villar
- FW: Mario Soberon Gutierrez, Higinio Marín
Albacete stick with their own 4-4-2, and Diego Mariño’s nine saves across four games suggest he will be busy again at Montilivi. Mario Soberon Gutierrez is the one player with genuine end product in this squad, leading the team in shots and chances created, and Higinio Marín’s single goal in three appearances gives them at least a route back into the game if Girona switch off.
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Girona. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a routine home win for Girona, likely by two or more goals. The numbers make a strong case: Girona have scored ten times in their last five matches against Albacete’s two, and Albacete have not won away from home in their recent run of five. Perhaps Albacete grab a consolation goal given Girona’s habit of conceding in four of their last five, but we do not see enough in this Albacete side, sitting 21st with one point, to keep pace with a Girona attack in form. Our lean is Girona win and over 2.5 total goals, with BTTS No as the value angle given how rarely Albacete have troubled opposition keepers this season. To be honest, this looks one of the more straightforward calls on the La Liga 2 card this round.
