Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Pohang Prediction: 14.06.2025 K League 1 2025

The K League 1 regular season brings a pivotal match-up as Gimcheon Sangmu FC host Pohang at Gimcheon Stadium. Both sides sit close in the league standings, with Pohang just three points ahead in fourth position. Despite a recent dip in form for Gimcheon, their track record against Pohang in past meetings hints at a tightly contested affair. One interesting aspect is Gimcheon’s resilient home displays; they have lost only once at home to Pohang in their last five head-to-heads. With both teams utilizing the 4-4-2 formation and stacked midfield talent, this clash could be decided by creative sparks and transitional play. Among the key figures to watch, midfielder Lee Dong-Kyeong for Gimcheon has contributed vital goals recently, while Jorge Luiz for Pohang — fresh off a two-goal performance last month — can be a difference-maker if left unchecked. Notably, Gimcheon’s high shot volume (74 in the last five games) compared to their conversion rate gives food for thought on their finishing quality.

Hot stat: Pohang have registered three wins from their last four games, outscoring opponents 8-4 in this spell. This attacking boost signals a team arriving in strong form.

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Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Pohang prediction

This match offers excellent intrigue for punters. Given Pohang’s recent attacking form paired with Gimcheon’s strong home record in direct encounters, the most value lies in a Double Chance on Pohang (Draw or Pohang). Gimcheon have only one win in their last seven outings and have struggled to convert chances into goals, despite registering 74 shots over their last five matches. Pohang, on the other hand, boast a 57 percent win rate over the last month and have hit multiple goals per match regularly.

Both teams display physical, direct styles. In the last five matches, Gimcheon amassed 51 fouls and eight yellow cards, while Pohang committed 56 fouls with seven yellows — suggesting an aggressive midfield battle. Ball possession remains fairly even (Gimcheon: 1303/1635 completed passes; Pohang: 1568/1890), underlining the likelihood of an open contest. High numbers of corners for Gimcheon (29 in the last five) and a combined total of 137 shots for both sides bolster expectations for a lively match with plenty of action at both ends.

Team Analysis

Gimcheon Sangmu FC recent form: Their last five games have produced three draws, including a 1-1 result against Suwon last week in which they failed to capitalize on a dominant 15-shot effort. Despite promising ball progression and sustained pressure, the finishing touch evaded them in recent games — reflected in only five goals from 74 shots (conversion rate below 7 percent). Lee Dong-Kyeong stepped up as a central attacking threat, scoring twice with an 80 percent pass accuracy in this span. Defensively, Gimcheon protect their box efficiently but frequently concede goals from set-pieces. Their lack of red cards supports disciplined defensive structure, although a growing tally of yellow cards points to tactical fouls in midfield transitions.

Pohang recent form: Pohang come into this clash riding the momentum of three wins and an improved goal tally (eight scored in last five). Last time out, they dispatched Gangwon 2-1, led by Jorge Luiz’s decisive attacking runs and Ho-Jae Lee freshening up the frontline with creative movement. Pohang’s 4-4-2 setup enhances fluidity, with the team excelling at quick transitions from defense to attack. They have only lost twice in their past seven, underlining their consistency and adaptability against various opposition setups. Despite a comparable number of fouls to Gimcheon, Pohang tend to spread play wider, reducing the pressure on central defenders and resulting in a lower interception count but fewer opportunities conceded through the middle.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Pohang stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Gimcheon Sangmu FC the favourite

• Moneyline Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2.12 | Pohang 3.35
• Draw 3.35
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.75 | No 2.00

The average odds position Gimcheon Sangmu FC as a slight home favourite, yet the margin is modest given their lack of recent wins. Odds on Pohang are generous due to their away status, even though their form suggests greater value than the bookies provide. Over 2.5 goals is priced closely, reflecting both teams’ capacity for open play and plenty of shot creation. The “both teams to score” market is attractive as both have shown defensive vulnerability recently but are offensively capable. Overall, bookmakers anticipate a tight contest, but statistics hint toward goals and little to choose between the sides.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Gimcheon are expected to maintain their familiar 4-4-2 structure. Kim DongHeon brings stability between the posts, while the defensive quartet — notably Park Seung-Wook and Chan-yong Park who lead the side in interceptions and completed passes — offer organizational strength. In midfield, Lee Dong-Kyeong is the pivotal link; his recent attacking output and set-piece delivery could prove vital. Up front, Sang-Hyeok Park and Seung-seob Kim look set to continue as a duo, with both regularly featuring and Kim providing recent assists. Maintaining midfield discipline and utilizing overlapping fullbacks will be key for Gimcheon’s success.

Pohang will likely adopt a mirrored 4-4-2, focusing on width and rapid transitional attacks. Hwang In-jae is their ever-present in goal, supported by Jeong-Won Eo and Min-Gwang Jeon marshalling the backline. Jorge Luiz is the creative talisman, consistently among the goals and assists, while Oberdan Alionço offers control at the base of midfield. The forward pair of Ho-Jae Lee and In-Sung Kim combine clever movement with strong finishing, making them a constant threat on the break. Their tactical flexibility and ability to stretch play could unsettle Gimcheon’s defense.

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My take on the Match

This match tilts ever so slightly toward Pohang, despite bookies marking Gimcheon Sangmu FC as slight favorites at home. Recent evidence suggests Pohang’s aggressive pressing and quickfire counter-attacks could overwhelm a Gimcheon side still working to find consistency. However, Gimcheon’s structure and home resilience cannot be underestimated. The likeliest outcome is a closely fought contest with both sides finding the net and a result that could swing on set-piece execution or a late defensive lapse. My primary pick is for Both Teams To Score — Yes; value also lies in backing Pohang on the Asian Handicap (+0.25).

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