Levi Rothermund
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Augsburg sit 10th, Union Berlin are down in 17th, and on paper this looks like a routine home banker. The table doesn’t tell the whole story though. Last season’s reverse meeting at the WWK Arena ended 4-0 to Union Berlin, a result that still looks odd given where both clubs stand right now. Union have also won two of their last three in all competitions, even though their overall numbers remain grim. Augsburg, meanwhile, have gone three without a win heading into this one. Form and table position don’t always line up, and this fixture is a decent example of that.
Fabian Rieder has quietly become Augsburg’s main creative outlet, pulling strings from deep positions with close to 90 passes per two matches and a goal already to his name this spell. On the other side, András Schäfer keeps popping up as Union’s most dangerous set-piece and transition threat, and his movement between the lines could cause problems for an Augsburg back four that hasn’t always tracked runners well this season.
Hot stat: Union Berlin shipped seven goals in a single match against Bayern Munich this season, the heaviest defeat suffered by any side in their last five outings across this dataset. That’s the kind of number that should worry their travelling fans more than the standings do.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | WWK Arena, Augsburg |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:30 CEST |
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction
We think Augsburg edge this one, but not comfortably. Their home form carries more weight than their recent winless run suggests, and Union’s defense has leaked goals against sides far weaker than Bayern or Dortmund. A narrow Augsburg win, something like 2-1 or 2-0, feels like the realistic outcome. Union have shown they can nick points away, drawing 0-0 at a strong Dortmund side last time out, so writing them off entirely would be a mistake.
Augsburg have committed fewer fouls across their last five matches (24 against Union’s 27) and picked up slightly more cards, which hints at a side that presses higher and risks more contact. Union’s completed passes sit lower too, around 670 against Augsburg’s 754 over the same stretch, pointing to a team that cedes possession more readily. That gap in control should let Augsburg dictate tempo at home, though Union’s counter-attacking threat through Schäfer and Jeong keeps the door open for chances at the other end.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 3.5 Total Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Augsburg’s last three results read loss, draw, draw, a run that doesn’t match their position in the top half. Their most recent game away at Elversberg finished 3-4, a wild match where both sides traded blows and neither defense held firm. In our preview of Elversberg vs FC Augsburg we leaned toward goals at both ends with Elversberg edging it, and the 4-3 scoreline backed that read up almost perfectly. Before that, Augsburg drew with Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, both 2-2, showing a side that can score goals but struggles to see games out.
Union Berlin’s picture is messier. Their last outing was a 0-0 draw against Borussia Dortmund, a result that actually represents a decent defensive shift against a much stronger opponent. In our preview of Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund we backed Dortmund to win by more than a goal with the total going over 2.5, and the blank scoreline went firmly against that call. Before that match Union beat Elversberg 1-0 and edged Rijeka 1-0 too, suggesting their recent form, win-win-draw in the last three, is better than their season-long numbers suggest.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | FC Augsburg | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 4 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: FC Augsburg the favourite
- Moneyline FC Augsburg 1.85 | Union Berlin 3.96
- Draw 4.15
Bookmakers have Augsburg as clear favorites here, and honestly that tracks with home advantage and Union’s defensive issues this season. The gap between the draw and away price is small though, which tells us the market isn’t fully convinced Augsburg will cruise. Maybe that caution is fair given how often Union have scrapped for results lately.
Possible Starting Lineups
FC Augsburg possible starting eleven
- GK: Finn Gilbert Dahmen
- DF: Juma Bah, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima, Seol Young-woo
- MF: Han-Noah Massengo, Fabian Rieder, Robin Fellhauer, Anton Kade, Arijon Ibrahimovic
- FW: Michael Gregoritsch
Baum’s usual 4-2-3-1 should stay intact. Rieder pulling strings behind Gregoritsch is the key relationship to watch, with Fellhauer and Ibrahimovic offering width from the half-spaces.
Union Berlin possible starting eleven
- GK: Frederik Rønnow
- DF: Felix Uduokhai, Christopher Trimmel, Zeno Van Den Bosch
- MF: Tom Rothe, Rani Khedira, Michel Aebischer, Woo-Yeong Jeong, András Schäfer, Kastriot Imeri
- FW: Tim Skarke
Lustrinelli’s 3-4-2-1 leans on Khedira and Aebischer to shield the back three, while Schäfer and Imeri operate just behind Skarke. Rothe’s energy down the left could be the outlet Union need against Augsburg’s press.
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FC Augsburg. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We’re leaning Augsburg to win, but we wouldn’t put much confidence in them keeping a clean sheet. Both sides have conceded freely in recent weeks, and Union’s counter-attacking pace through Schäfer and Jeong gives them a route back into the game even if Augsburg take the lead early. Our pick is Augsburg to win with both teams scoring, and we think the total goals market leans over 2.5 more often than not in this fixture. A 2-1 finish feels like the most honest guess, though we’re not ruling out something messier given both defenses’ recent form.
