Levi Rothermund
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Both sides arrive at the Ursapharm-Arena in form that looks shakier than their table position suggests. Augsburg sit sixth with eight points, Elversberg ninth with seven, and yet neither club has won a league match in October so far. Three of Augsburg’s last four outings ended level, which tells its own story about a team that keeps finding goals but can’t quite close games out.
The interesting wrinkle here: these two clubs have shared no competitive history worth mentioning before this weekend, so there’s no psychological baggage, no grudge, just two mid-table sides trying to arrest a stall before the international break lands.
Watch Robin Fellhauer for Augsburg. He’s scored twice in his last two appearances and tends to drift into pockets between the lines where Elversberg’s back three sometimes loses shape. On the home side, Łukasz Poreba has quietly become Elversberg’s main outlet, completing more passes than anyone else in midfield across the last two matches and drawing fouls at a decent clip.
Hot stat: Augsburg’s last five league matches have produced 22 goals combined, averaging 4.4 per game. That’s the kind of number that makes Over 2.5 markets worth a serious look this weekend.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg |
| 🗓️ Date: | 17.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:30 CEST |
Elversberg vs FC Augsburg prediction
We lean toward goals at both ends here, honestly. Elversberg have conceded in four of their last five and Augsburg have scored in every single one of theirs. Neither defense looks settled enough to keep a clean sheet, so Both Teams to Score Yes feels like the safer route into this match rather than picking a straight winner.
Elversberg’s 3-4-2-1 shape asks a lot of the wing-backs defensively, and Augsburg’s 4-2-3-1 tends to overload the half-spaces with Fellhauer and Rieder rotating. That mismatch, wide space against central overload, usually produces chances for the away side even on the road. Augsburg have committed more fouls (21 vs 19) and picked up more cards (5 vs 3) in the same stretch, which hints at a side willing to break up play physically when stretched, something Elversberg’s quick transitions could exploit.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Robin Fellhauer to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Elversberg’s form has gone cold at the worst time. A 0-1 loss to Union Berlin was their most recent result, following a goalless draw with Schalke and a 1-2 defeat to Bayern Munich. Before that stretch they looked lively, beating Gladbach 4-3 and Leverkusen 3-2, games that showed real attacking intent but also a defense prone to conceding freely. In our preview of Union Berlin vs Elversberg we leaned on Elversberg avoiding defeat while scoring themselves, and the 0-1 result went against us on both counts.
Augsburg’s recent run reads differently but ends up in a similar place. Three draws in four matches, including a 2-2 share with Bayern Munich last time out, point to a side that competes well but lacks the final edge to close games. The 2-3 loss to Werder Bremen a few weeks back remains their only defeat in this stretch, and the 4-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt shows the squad has firepower when the pieces click. In our write-up of FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich we called for a Bayern win with goals at both ends, and the 2-2 scoreline only partly backed that view since Bayern never actually won.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Elversberg and FC Augsburg have no recent competitive meetings on record between them. This weekend’s fixture is effectively a fresh page for both clubs.
🚨Check out our dedicated Elversberg vs FC Augsburg stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Elversberg the slight favourite
- Moneyline Elversberg 2.50 | FC Augsburg 2.60
- Draw 3.75
Bookmakers have this priced almost as a coin flip, giving Elversberg a 39% implied edge against 36% for Augsburg, with the draw sitting at 25%. The home side gets a small nudge purely from hosting rights, but honestly the numbers barely separate these two teams right now. Neither has won in weeks, so the market’s hesitation makes sense.
Elversberg. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Elversberg possible starting eleven
- GK: Nicolas Kristof
- DF: Maximilian Rohr, Lukas Pinckert, Felix Keidel
- MF: Lasse Günther, Łukasz Poreba, Maurice Krattenmacher, Luca Sirch, Noah Darvich, Lukas Petkov
- FW: Noel Futkeu
Vincent Wagner should stick with the 3-4-2-1 that’s featured in each of the last five matches. Kristof gets the nod in goal over Tim Boss based on recorded minutes and save data. Poreba is the key creative piece, pulling strings from deep, while Futkeu leads the line alone and needs service from the two attacking midfielders tucked behind him.
FC Augsburg possible starting eleven
- GK: Finn Gilbert Dahmen
- DF: Seol Young-woo, Chrislain Matsima, Hennes Behrens, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
- MF: Han-Noah Massengo, Yannik Keitel, Robin Fellhauer, Fabian Rieder, Arijon Ibrahimovic
- FW: Michael Gregoritsch
Manuel Baum’s 4-2-3-1 leans heavily on Fellhauer and Rieder operating just behind Gregoritsch. Dahmen has made far more saves than backup Labrovic in recent weeks and should keep his spot. Massengo and Keitel shield the back four, giving the front three license to roam and combine.
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Augsburg. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We think this ends with goals shared rather than a clean winner. Both defenses have leaked chances recently, and both attacks have found ways through even against stronger opposition than each other. Our pick leans BTTS Yes combined with Over 2.5 goals, with a slight preference for Elversberg to edge it on home turf given the small bookmaker advantage. Maybe a draw sneaks in if either goalkeeper has a big day, but the underlying numbers point to an open, back-and-forth match rather than a cagey one.
