Everton vs Palestino Prediction: 13.06.2026 Chilean Primera Division

Everton and Palestino meet at Sausalito in Viña del Mar in a Chilean Primera Division clash where both sides are fighting for the upper half of the table. Palestino sit three points clear of Everton in sixth place with 21 points from 14 games, making this a direct six-pointer for positioning behind the top five. What makes this fixture particularly interesting is that these two sides already met twice in the Copa de la Liga 2026 group stage earlier this year, splitting results with a 2-1 Everton win and a 2-2 draw, meaning familiarity runs deep and neither side will hold many tactical surprises for the other.

For Everton, Alan Medina has been the most active attacking presence in recent matches, leading the team with 11 shots across four games and contributing a goal. In Palestino’s camp, Nelson Da Silva stands out with 14 shots in five appearances and a goal-assist contribution, making him the most dangerous player Guillermo Farré can call upon going forward.

Hot stat: Palestino have attempted 67 total shots across their last five matches compared to Everton’s 46, yet they have scored only four goals to Everton’s seven, pointing to a significant efficiency gap that Walter Ribonetto’s side has been exploiting.

Everton vs Palestino Prediction

Everton’s form over the last 30 days is the strongest argument in their favour. Three wins and a draw from four matches, including a 3-2 win over O’Higgins and a 1-0 victory against Limache, shows a team building real momentum. Palestino, by contrast, have won just two of their last six, losing twice and drawing twice. Playing at home in Viña del Mar, Everton have the conditions and the form to take all three points.

Palestino commit significantly more fouls, 57 across five matches versus Everton’s 36, and carry nine yellow cards alongside two reds. That disciplinary record, combined with 52 free kicks conceded, creates set-piece opportunities that Everton can exploit. Everton’s pass accuracy is lower in raw numbers, but their ball use has translated into more goals, suggesting they play more directly and with greater purpose in the final third. Palestino’s higher possession and pass volume has not produced results, and against a compact Everton 4-2-3-1 that defends with discipline, that trend is likely to continue.

Team Analysis

Everton have looked sharp in recent weeks under Walter Ribonetto. Their last five league matches show a team capable of grinding out results, with a 2-0 win over D. Concepcion, a 1-1 draw with Coquimbo, and back-to-back results against O’Higgins that include both a defeat and a convincing 3-2 win. The most recent match, a 1-0 victory over Limache, was controlled and disciplined. Everton’s defensive structure has held firm, conceding just 14 goals in 14 league games overall, and their interception numbers across five matches, 44 in total, show an active defensive unit. Santiago Londono has drawn eight fouls across four matches, making him a constant irritant for opposition defences, and Julian Alfaro has contributed a goal and an assist while being booked twice, which is a risk factor to watch.

Palestino’s recent run has been patchy. A 2-1 win over Union La Calera was followed by a 0-2 loss to Gremio in a Copa Sudamericana fixture, then a 1-1 draw with Deportivo Riestra, a 0-0 draw with Audax Italiano, and most recently a 1-2 defeat to O’Higgins. Gonzalo Tapia leads the attack with two goals in five appearances, and Nelson Da Silva adds energy and volume in front of goal, but the team’s finishing remains inconsistent. Palestino’s 4-1-4-1 shape gives them width and midfield presence, but the defensive line has conceded in four of their last five matches. Sebastian Perez in goal has made 14 saves across those five games, which tells its own story about the pressure the backline is placing on him.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

The head-to-head record between these sides from the last five meetings is fairly balanced, with Palestino winning two of the last three Primera Division encounters. The Copa de la Liga meetings this year, both played in 2026, ended with shared spoils across the two legs. Everton’s only recent dominant display came in the 2024 league season with a 4-1 win.

🚨 Check out our dedicated Everton vs Palestino stats page for more info.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Palestino Slight Favourite

• Moneyline Everton 2.60 | Palestino 2.45–2.60
• Draw 2.95–3.10

The bookmaker consensus gives Palestino a marginal edge at 37% implied probability versus Everton’s 36%, which is essentially a coin flip. The available moneyline odds from Everygame and Bovada reflect that, with both teams priced at 2.60. We find value on Everton at home given their superior recent form, better goal conversion rate, and the home advantage at Sausalito. The draw at 2.95–3.10 is the most overpriced outcome given how often these two sides produce a result rather than a stalemate, as only one of their last five head-to-head meetings ended level.

Possible Starting Lineups

Everton Possible Starting Eleven

Ribonetto has settled on a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Kirkman Porta as the first-choice goalkeeper after making 11 saves across four appearances. Valentin Vidal has played every minute of the last four matches in defence and provides composure in build-up. Lucas Soto is the most complete midfielder in the squad, contributing a goal, an assist, and consistent passing volume. Alan Medina leads the line and is the primary threat, while Julian Alfaro offers movement and directness from a wider forward role. Joaquin Moya must manage his discipline after two yellow cards in three games.

Palestino Possible Starting Eleven

Farré’s 4-1-4-1 has been consistent across all five recent matches, with Sebastian Perez as an undisputed starter in goal. Vicente Espinoza has played every minute across five games and anchors the left side of defence. Sebastian Gallegos is the engine in midfield, leading the team with nine shots and 179 passes across five appearances. Gonzalo Tapia is the most dangerous forward with two goals, and Nelson Da Silva provides the highest shot volume. Jason León has accumulated 85 lost balls and carries a yellow card, making him a weak link defensively that Everton’s forwards will target.

🏅Tips.GG Premium Subscription Brings You Even Closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

The Verdict

We predict an Everton home win in a match that stays under 2.5 goals. Everton’s 75% win rate over the last 30 days, combined with their superior goal conversion across the last five matches, seven goals to Palestino’s four, gives them a clear edge. Palestino’s foul-heavy and card-prone style of play tends to break their own rhythm, and that is a problem away from home against a side in form. The head-to-head record is close, but recent momentum sits firmly with Everton. We also like the over 8.5 corners market, as both teams generate significant corner activity, 22 and 25 respectively across five matches, and a tight, physical game is likely to produce plenty of wide play. To be honest, the odds on Everton at 2.60 represent real value given what the last month of football tells us about these two sides.

More Useful Links for Football Fans

• Gamble Responsibly
• Best Football Betting Websites
• How to Bet On Sports
• Sports Betting Glossary
• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current Football Tournaments
• Football Betting Guide by Tips.GG