Everton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction: 06.12.2025 Premier League 2025/26

In the heart of the Premier League’s winter grind, Everton welcome Nottingham Forest to the newly-named Hill Dickinson Stadium for a fixture that brims with significance in the context of both clubs’ ambitions. With both teams coming off morale-boosting wins, the intrigue here runs deeper than league position—Everton are searching for stability under David Moyes, while Sean Dyche’s Forest side hope to turn a patch of promising form into a true resurgence. Given Forest’s controversial victory over Liverpool just weeks ago—and the Toffees’ gritty response to their Newcastle defeat—this meeting could prove decisive in shaping momentum as the festive period approaches.

Two key men in the spotlight: Everton’s midfield dynamo Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, who has chipped in 2 goals and an assist in his last 4 appearances, will be central to the Blues’ attacking thrust. Nottingham Forest’s Morgan Gibbs-White, a perennial live wire, has matched Dewsbury-Hall’s direct goal tally in his recent run and remains pivotal for the Tricky Trees’ creativity.

And for the “hot stat”? Across their last five matches, Nottingham Forest have rattled in 10 goals—double Everton’s return over the same span—indicating a marked increase in attacking verve for Dyche’s side.

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Everton vs Nottingham Forest prediction

Given Everton’s resilience at home and Forest’s recent scoring streak, the best value prediction appears to be a Draw No Bet on Everton. The Toffees have tightened up defensively, collecting three clean sheets in their last five outings, including a stout 1-0 win over Bournemouth. Forest’s own attacking improvement cannot be disregarded, but questions remain over their ability to break sides down on the road, as reflected in their most recent 0-2 away loss to Brighton.

Looking deeper into their playing styles, Everton’s preferred 4-2-3-1 shape lends itself to a disciplined, counter-attacking approach, with an average of just 7.6 shots per match over their last five. While only 5 yellow cards hint at control, the Blues do average almost 8 fouls per game, showcasing a willingness to disrupt play when needed. Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, are bolder going forward—80 shots from their last five is illustrative! Yet, their 54 fouls and 8 yellow cards across the same period suggest defensive vulnerabilities that Everton’s creative trio can exploit. Expect a tense but open contest, with Everton’s structure likely to edge Forest’s adventurous—but potentially exposed—approach.

Team Analysis

Everton’s recent games have highlighted a newfound defensive mettle, punctuated by their 1-0 shutout of Bournemouth last time out. Jordan Pickford’s command in goal, flanked by the likes of Tarkowski and Vitalii Mykolenko, has resulted in three wins from five for Moyes’ men. They did suffer a blip—a bruising 1-4 home loss to Newcastle—but replied in style against Manchester United before outplaying Fulham. Everton’s steady passing (averaging 1265 passes at 80% accuracy over five matches) reflects a commitment to ball control, while only one red card in the same period proves they’re equal parts robust and disciplined.

Nottingham Forest’s recent games suggest a side on the rise. Forest dismantled a desperate Wolves 1-0 in their latest outing and prior to that, posted a thumping 3-0 over Liverpool, turning heads and silencing doubters. Gibbs-White and Igor Jesus have been front and centre, with support from wide man Neco Williams—who even chipped in with an assist. However, inconsistency remains a concern: a 0-2 reversal against Brighton underlined defensive frailties, alongside a style that sometimes leaves them susceptible on the break. What cannot be overlooked is their marked attacking intent (80 shots and 10 goals), underpinned by superior passing volume but slightly lower accuracy compared to Everton (1783 passes, 83%).

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Everton vs Nottingham Forest stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Everton the favourite

• Moneyline Everton 2.19 | Nottingham Forest 3.54
• Draw 3.22
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.73
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.90 | No 1.88

The bookmakers tip Everton as slight favourites, largely a reflection of their improved resilience under Moyes and Forest’s patchy away record. Odds for a draw are notably competitive, suggesting even the market feels this is no straightforward contest! With under 2.5 goals trading at shorter odds, the expectation is for a tightly contested battle—just what you’d expect with both sides set up in variations of 4-2-3-1.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Everton possible starting eleven

Expect Moyes to opt for the trusted 4-2-3-1, using Pickford’s experience to marshal a back four featuring a blend of physicality (Tarkowski, Keane) and width (Coleman, Mykolenko). The midfield’s heart is Dewsbury-Hall—on a rich vein of form—while Grealish and Alcaraz provide thrust either side of James Garner. Ndiaye will likely spearhead the attack, supported by Grealish’s incisive runs. My eyes are on Dewsbury-Hall, whose ability to break lines and shoot from range could swing this tussle!

Nottingham Forest possible starting eleven

Dyche will persist with his own version of 4-2-3-1, with Sels in goal and a well-organised back four led by Milenković and Morato. Wing-backs Williams and Murillo love to bomb forward, adding width to the midfield trio of Sangaré, Anderson, and Domínguez—plenty of pressing power there. Gibbs-White is Forest’s wildcard in the ten, with Jesus and Hudson-Odoi looking to stretch Everton’s full-backs. Key here is Gibbs-White—if he finds space, he’ll cause havoc!

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My take on the Match

Taking all strands into account—the home advantage, Everton’s new-found defensive resolve, and Forest’s ruthless streak in attack—my principal pick is Everton Draw No Bet. While the Toffees haven’t exactly set pulses racing in front of goal, their organisation (especially at home) has paid dividends, and Dewsbury-Hall’s threat is immense. Forest are more explosive, but their tendency to overcommit and pick up bookings may play right into Moyes’ hands. If Everton can stamp their authority early, they have the nous to manage the tempo, frustrate Forest, and edge a narrow, hard-earned win—or, at worst, avoid defeat. Does this kickstart a serious push toward the top half for Everton? Only time will tell, but momentum is everything as we stride deeper into the season. Let’s see where this journey takes us!

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