Everton vs Arsenal Prediction: 20.12.2025 English Premier League

When Everton host Arsenal on 20th December 2025 at Everton Stadium, the city of Liverpool will brace itself for a clash that looks straightforward on paper but is laced with intrigue beneath the surface. While the Gunners sit pretty at the peak of the Premier League table, Everton, steered by a resurgent David Moyes, find themselves in a mid-table scrap but with fresh confidence after some inspired home performances this term. This match carves out its own narrative: can Arsenal’s slick possession play overcome Everton’s direct and physical approach, or is an upset brewing by the Mersey?

Watch out for Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, who’s been Everton’s midfield engine and scoring threat with three goals in five matches, and Mikel Merino of Arsenal, who’s forged a powerful partnership in midfield and contributed decisively in attack and transition. The spotlight, of course, cannot ignore the impact of defenders, with James Tarkowski marshalling Everton’s back line and Declan Rice orchestrating play for Arsenal.

The hot stat? Arsenal’s away form is nothing short of exceptional, boasting a 71 percent win rate in their last seven matches — that’s title-contending quality in arguably Europe’s toughest league.

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Everton vs Arsenal prediction

For value and realism, the best bet leans heavily towards an Arsenal win. Here’s why: Mikel Arteta’s men have been a model of consistency all season, topping the table with 36 points from 16 games and maintaining an impressive goal difference of +20. Their recent form is dazzling (six wins and a draw from the last seven) and the level of control they impose, averaging over 500 completed passes per match with high accuracy (nearly 86 percent), is a real separator. Everton, fighting valiantly, have shown grit at home but lack the same firepower and midfield control, especially against top-six sides.

Analytically, Arsenal enjoy dominating possession (over 65 percent in recent matches), while Everton lean on a direct approach and high pressing but record fewer shots and passes. Disciplinary stats are noteworthy — Arsenal’s ten yellows in the last five matches suggest a proactive midfield duel, but Everton’s seven, along with more conceded fouls, could leave them exposed, especially under intense Arsenal pressure. Corners could be close (Everton 28, Arsenal 23 in the last five), reflecting both teams’ ability to create from wide areas. Expect Arsenal’s fluency to dictate play and score at least twice, though Everton’s bite means a goal at the blue end is not off the table.

Team Analysis

Everton’s recent trajectory is marked by home resilience but vulnerability against superior attacking sides. Their last match, a sobering 0-2 defeat to Chelsea, underscored defensive lapses and a lack of cutting edge, but convincing wins against Nottingham Forest (3-0) and Bournemouth (1-0) show their capability to punish mistakes. In these games, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry have shone in attack, while Jordan Pickford has maintained his customary composure between the posts. Moyes insists on an organised 4-2-3-1, relying on quick transitions and set-piece threat, but the defensive line sometimes gets stretched against mobile attacks.

For Arsenal, recent form is a showcase in consistency. Their latest outing, a 2-1 win against Wolves, brought out their resilience, with Bukayo Saka and Mikel Merino starring as attacking catalysts. Before that, a comprehensive 3-0 win over Club Brugge in Europe cemented their big-match credentials. Their only recent blip came in a 1-2 loss to Aston Villa, a match where they struggled to find rhythm against a well-structured defence. Arteta’s 4-3-3 hums when Martin Odegaard, Declan Rice, and Merino work in tandem, providing both security and offensive dynamism.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Everton vs Arsenal stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the favourite

• Moneyline Everton 5.70 | Arsenal 1.62
• Draw 3.84
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.80 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.85

The market heavily favours Arsenal, as does the formbook. The 1.62 average odds for an away win reflects their status as Premier League leaders with excellent recent form and vast squad depth. Everton’s long 5.70 odds are justified by inconsistent results and fewer match-winners, though their home pedigree means they can never be fully discounted. Punters looking for value might eye the total goals market — over 2.5 looks temptingly priced, especially given Arsenal’s goal output and Everton’s ability to nick a goal on home turf.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Everton possible starting eleven

David Moyes is likely to stick with a robust 4-2-3-1 setup, anchoring Pickford in goal and fielding his most reliable defenders in Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko, and O’Brien. Dewsbury-Hall, pivotal for both ball recovery and supporting attacks, is joined by all-action Garner and creative Charly Alcaraz in midfield. Forward spots are occupied by Ndiaye’s movement, Grealish’s intuition on the left, and Barry’s tenacity up top. If Everton are to trouble Arsenal, the Dewsbury-Hall/Barry axis will need to be at their best; Grealish’s ability to drift inside could open spaces Arsenal must be wary of.

Arsenal possible starting eleven

Mikel Arteta’s blend of flair and discipline comes to life in his 4-3-3. Raya is the undisputed number one, shielded by the energetic quartet of White, Hincapié, Timber, and Lewis-Skelly. Arsenal’s midfield trio is arguably the league’s best, with Rice dictating tempo, Odegaard conducting play, and Merino bursting forward. On the flanks, Saka and Martinelli provide pace and incisiveness, while Madueke is tipped to start up front following strong recent displays. Saka’s one-on-one ability and Rice’s calming presence will be key, and the usual interchange between midfield and forwards makes Arsenal devilishly tough to pin down.

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My take on the Match

This Premier League fixture pits a workmanlike Everton against the artistry and relentless pressure of Arsenal — and while home support will drive Everton, Arsenal’s quality, depth, and tactical flexibility should see them emerge victorious. My main pick: Arsenal to win, and convincingly so — a two-goal margin isn’t beyond reach with the firepower at Arteta’s disposal. Everton may find the net, but keeping the Gunners at bay for 90 minutes looks a tall order. Expect an open contest, with moments of drama and quality that reinforce Arsenal’s credentials as genuine title contenders.

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