Rafael Nogueira
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Londrina PR host Atletico Goianiense at Estadio do Cafe in a Série B clash that carries real urgency for the home side. Sitting 18th with just 13 points from 16 games, Rogério Micale’s team faces a must-win situation, yet they arrive on the back of four defeats in their last five outings. Atletico Goianiense, 12th with 23 points, are not flying either, but their recent form is considerably steadier. The pair already met once in this edition of the Série B, with Atletico winning 2-1, which adds an extra edge to Wednesday’s contest.
Two players to track: Paulo Roberto Moccelin (Londrina) is the midfielder who provides the most creative threat in this Londrina setup, having scored once and generated six shots across his last three appearances. For Atletico, Marrony da Silva stands out with one goal and two assists in just two matches, making him the most dangerous attacking option Roger Silva can call upon.
Hot stat: Londrina have scored just three goals across their last five matches while conceding nine, a ratio that underlines how badly their defensive shape has broken down in recent weeks.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série B 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio do Cafe, Londrina |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:30 CEST |
Londrina PR vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction
Atletico Goianiense are the better-placed side on every measurable front right now. They carry a 40% win rate across the last 30 days against Londrina’s zero wins in five, and their 4-1-4-1 structure has given them more control in midfield than Londrina’s 4-2-3-1 typically generates. The head-to-head result from earlier in this season — a 2-1 Atletico win — only reinforces the direction the value points. We predict an Atletico Goianiense win as the primary selection.
Londrina accumulate fouls at a high rate (56 across five matches) while their pass accuracy sits at a modest 1,294 accurate passes from 1,568 attempts. Atletico are similarly foul-prone (57) but their interception count of 38 versus Londrina’s 24 shows they win the ball back far more effectively. That defensive pressure, combined with Londrina’s goal drought, makes an Atletico clean sheet plausible, though not certain given the hosts’ need to attack from the first whistle.
- We predict: Atletico Goianiense to win
- Total goals: Under 2.5
- Both Teams to Score: No
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Atletico Goianiense to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Londrina PR have been in sharp decline. They have lost four of their last five, conceding two goals in three of those defeats. The most recent fixture saw Sport Recife — currently second in the table — edge them 2-1, and before that Goias claimed a 1-0 win at Londrina’s expense. The only positive result was a 0-0 draw with Botafogo SP five matches ago. Mauricio Kozlinski in goal has made 10 saves across four appearances, which tells its own story about the pressure the backline is under. Gabriel Lacerda scored once from defence, but the attacking returns from the forward line remain thin, with Gilberto, Rai Nascimento, and Pablo Dyego combining for zero goals across the sample.
Atletico Goianiense are not in outstanding form either, but they are clearly the more functional side. Their last match was a 0-2 home defeat to Vila Nova, which interrupted a sequence that included wins over Operario PR (3-1) and Cuiaba (1-0). The draw with Nautico and the goalless result against Athletic Club show they can be contained, but their ability to produce multi-goal performances — as they did against Operario — is something Londrina’s defence has no answer for right now. Paulo Vítor has made 10 saves in goal across four games, showing Atletico are not impenetrable, but their outfield output is far superior to Londrina’s.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Londrina PR | Atletico Goianiense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Londrina PR vs Atletico Goianiense stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Goianiense the favourite
- Moneyline Londrina PR 2.85 | Atletico Goianiense 2.50
- Draw 3.05
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The bookmakers give Atletico a 36% implied probability of winning, with Londrina at 33% and the draw at 30%, making this closer on paper than the underlying form suggests. Atletico at 2.50 represents decent value given Londrina’s current state: winless in 30 days, bottom-three in the table, and leaking goals. The draw odds at 3.05 are not unattractive if you believe Atletico’s recent inconsistency continues, but backing the visitors to win outright is the cleaner play here.
Possible Starting Lineups
Londrina PR possible starting eleven
- GK: Mauricio Kozlinski
- DF: Wallace Reis da Silva, Yago Lincoln Rocha Santos, Nino Paraíba, Heron, Kaue Leonardo De Souza Prado
- MF: Lucas Marques, Paulo Roberto Moccelin
- FW: Gilberto, Pablo Dyego, Rai Nascimento
Londrina’s likely 4-2-3-1 keeps Kozlinski in goal, with Yago Lincoln and Nino Paraíba providing the defensive spine. Heron’s assist contribution from the left flank makes him a key outlet. Paulo Roberto Moccelin remains the most dynamic central option, and Rai Nascimento’s seven shots across four matches make him the most active forward even without a goal return.
Atletico Goianiense possible starting eleven
- GK: Paulo Vítor
- DF: Adriano Fonseca, Ewerthon Diogenes da Silva, Guilherme Lopes, Yuri
- MF: Leandro Vilela, Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira, Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos, Guilherme Costa Marques
- FW: Bruno José, Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes
Roger Silva’s 4-1-4-1 places Adriano Fonseca as the most reliable defensive presence, having completed 202 passes across four matches. Guilherme Lopes contributes from left back with one assist and strong ball retention. Up front, Bruno José and Gustavo Coutinho each have a goal to their name in this run, with Marrony potentially coming off the bench to change the game if needed.
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Londrina PR. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Atletico Goianiense arrive with a clear edge in form, squad depth, and head-to-head record in this Série B campaign. Londrina’s 31% annual win rate, zero wins in 30 days, and a goal tally of just three in five matches paint a difficult picture for the hosts. Atletico’s 38 interceptions across five games versus Londrina’s 24 reflects a team that presses and recovers the ball with far more intent. With Londrina needing to push forward out of desperation, gaps will open, and Atletico’s forwards — particularly Marrony and Bruno José — are well-placed to exploit them. We back Atletico Goianiense to win, with the match likely to stay under 2.5 goals given both teams’ defensive solidity when not under extreme pressure.
