England vs Costa Rica Prediction: June 10, 2026 International Friendly Preview

England host Costa Rica in Bergen on June 10 in what looks like a comfortable evening’s work for Thomas Tuchel’s side on paper. England arrive off the back of a narrow 1-0 win over New Zealand in their last outing, while Costa Rica have lost their most recent match 3-1 to Colombia. The gap in quality is clear, but the interesting angle here is that England have only managed one win from three matches this year, and their attack has been far from prolific. Harry Kane remains the focal point of England’s forward line and carries the biggest scoring threat, while Manfred Ugalde is the player Costa Rica will rely on to cause problems, having registered five shots in his last appearance.

Hot stat: England produced 23 shots in their last match against New Zealand and still only won 1-0, pointing to a team that creates volume but lacks cutting edge in front of goal.

England vs Costa Rica Prediction

The bookmakers have England as overwhelming favourites at around 1.15, and the data supports that view. England’s overall form across their last 15 matches reads strongly, with only a handful of defeats mixed in. Costa Rica, by contrast, have not won a single match this year in three attempts, and their recent run of results shows a team that is struggling to find consistency, with draws and losses dominating their form line.

The best value here is an England win with a handicap attached. Costa Rica’s attack is limited, averaging just nine shots in their last match and recording zero passes in tracked data, which points to a very passive, low-possession style. England’s 4-2-3-1 setup under Tuchel is built to press and dominate territory, and Costa Rica’s 4-1-4-1 defensive block is unlikely to hold for a full 90 minutes against a squad with this much individual quality.

England commit relatively few fouls at ten per match and keep yellow cards to a minimum, which suggests a disciplined and structured side. Costa Rica average 12 fouls and have picked up two yellow cards in recent matches, meaning they tend to play with an edge that could hand England set-piece opportunities. With eight corners in their last game, England’s delivery from wide areas is another avenue worth watching.

• We predict England to win this match comfortably, with the best market being England -1 on the Asian handicap line.
• Total goals: Over 2.5 is worth considering given the quality gap, though England’s recent efficiency in front of goal gives some pause.
• Both teams to score: No, given Costa Rica’s attacking output has been minimal across their recent fixtures.
• Corners: Over 8.5 total corners, with England likely to dominate territory and force repeated wide situations.

Team Analysis

England’s most recent match, a 1-0 win over New Zealand, was a controlled if underwhelming performance. They generated 23 shots and eight corners, yet only found the net once through Harry Kane. The volume was there but the finishing was not, and that theme has run through their 2026 campaign so far. Their three matches this year have produced just one win, with a draw against Uruguay and a loss to Japan also on the books. The Japan defeat, a 0-1 result, was particularly notable as it came against a well-organised side. England’s pass accuracy sits at 610 out of 658 attempted passes in their last match, showing they move the ball with confidence and structure.

Costa Rica come into this fixture with serious confidence issues. Their 1-3 defeat to Colombia was the latest in a string of poor results, and their 0-5 thrashing by Iran earlier in the June window was alarming. They drew 2-2 with Jordan and have failed to win any of their three 2026 matches. Across their last five matches, the trend is clear: Costa Rica struggle to contain better sides and lack the firepower to punish teams when they do get chances. Patrick Sequeira in goal made three saves in the Colombia match, and he will need to be at his best to keep this scoreline respectable against England.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated England vs Costa Rica stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: England the Favourite

• Moneyline England 1.15 | Costa Rica 14.00
• Draw 6.50
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — check your bookmaker | Under 2.5 — check your bookmaker
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — check your bookmaker | No — check your bookmaker

The odds tell a clear story. England at around 1.15 reflect the 80% win probability assigned by the market, and that feels accurate given the form gap. Costa Rica at 14.00 or higher is a reflection of just how poor their recent results have been. The draw at 6.50 to 8.00 is not worth chasing given England’s dominance in territory and chance creation. To be honest, the moneyline on England offers little value at those short prices, which is exactly why the Asian handicap route makes more sense for punters looking for a meaningful return.

Possible Starting Lineups

England Possible Starting Eleven

Tuchel is expected to set up in his favoured 4-2-3-1, with Jordan Pickford as the clear first choice between the sticks. John Stones and Marc Guehi form a reliable central defensive partnership, with Reece James providing energy and delivery from right back. Jude Bellingham is the engine of this team in midfield and the player most likely to break lines and create in dangerous areas. Harry Kane leads the line and, as the only scorer in England’s last match, carries the weight of expectation up front. Kobbie Mainoo adds composure and structure in the double pivot alongside Bellingham.

Costa Rica Possible Starting Eleven

Fernando Batista is likely to set up in a 4-1-4-1 designed to absorb pressure and hit on the counter. Patrick Sequeira will be busy in goal and is perhaps Costa Rica’s most important player in this match given what he will face. Manfred Ugalde is the most dynamic attacking option available, having registered five shots in the Colombia match, and he will look to use his pace against England’s defensive line. Josimar Alcocer, who registered an assist in that same game, provides some creativity in the middle. The squad data available is limited, but the shape will prioritise defensive organisation over ambition.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

England should win this match. The stats across recent games show a team that controls possession, generates high shot volumes, and defends with discipline. Costa Rica have been beaten heavily in this window, conceding five to Iran and three to Colombia, and their attacking output has been minimal. We predict England to win by at least two goals, with Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham the most likely contributors. The Asian handicap on England at -1 is the pick we back with confidence, and we lean toward under both teams scoring given Costa Rica’s inability to convert in recent fixtures. Eight corners for England in their last match suggests territory dominance will be the theme again, making the over on total corners a solid secondary option.

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