Drita vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction: 14 July 2026 UEFA Champions League

Drita and Kauno Zalgiris meet again at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri in Prishtinë for the second leg of their UEFA Champions League First Qualifying Round tie. The first match ended 1-1 in Lithuania, which means this return fixture is wide open. Neither side can afford a passive display, and with the away goal rule no longer in play, a winner must emerge through extra time or penalties if the scores are level again after 90 minutes. Blerim Krasniqi has been directly involved in both of Drita’s goals across their last two matches, making him the standout creative force in Zekirija Ramadani’s setup. For Kauno Zalgiris, Amine Benchaab carries the attacking threat, having scored twice in his last two appearances while picking up two yellow cards, which points to an aggressive style that could prove costly in a tense knockout fixture.

A hot stat worth noting: Drita have conceded in four of their last five matches, including a 4-1 loss to CSKA 1948 Sofia and a 3-2 defeat to Malisheva. Their defensive record heading into this second leg is a real concern under the pressure of a home knockout game.

Drita vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction

The aggregate score is tied at 1-1, and Drita now have the advantage of playing at home. Their overall season record of 14 wins from 28 matches shows a competent side, but their form over the last 30 days tells a different story: zero wins, two losses, and one draw. Kauno Zalgiris arrive with better recent momentum, picking up two wins and three draws from six matches in the same period and carrying a 57% win rate across the full season.

Algis Jankauskas has his side playing a direct 4-4-2, and their willingness to press and disrupt suits an away tie where a draw would force extra time. Drita’s 4-2-3-1 setup gives them more control in midfield, but their inability to hold leads and their defensive fragility in recent weeks make backing them at full price a risk. The first leg showed both teams can score, and we predict goals in this one. Kauno Zalgiris have the structure to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, which is exactly what a balanced second leg demands.

Drita average 6 yellow cards accumulated across their recent team stats, while Kauno Zalgiris sit at 6 as well, with Benchaab and Joris Moutachy already booked. Both sides commit fouls regularly, and the tension of a knockout second leg will only push that further. Drita’s pass accuracy data is sparse but their shot volume in the last match was higher at 10 compared to Zalgiris’s 6, suggesting Drita will dominate territory but may struggle to convert. Both teams produced 8 corners in the last meeting, which signals set-piece activity will be high again.

Team Analysis

Drita’s recent run has been rough. They drew 1-1 with Kauno Zalgiris in the first leg, but before that they lost 1-2 to Lokomotiv Sofia and 1-4 to CSKA 1948 Sofia. Their domestic form also includes a 2-3 loss to Malisheva and a 0-2 defeat to Gjilani. That is four losses from five matches across all competitions. The first leg draw was arguably their best result in recent weeks, and they will need a significant improvement at home to progress. Ramadani’s side does create chances, registering 10 shots in the first leg, but their conversion rate and defensive discipline remain issues that have not been addressed.

Kauno Zalgiris come into this match with considerably better confidence. Their most recent result before the first leg was a 3-0 win over Panevezys, and they also beat BFA Vilnius 3-0 earlier in the month. The 1-1 draw with Drita was sandwiched between a goalless draw with Dziugas Telsiai and a 0-1 loss to Banga, but across six matches in 30 days they have been the more consistent side. The 4-4-2 shape under Jankauskas gives them defensive width and the ability to transition quickly, and their squad has enough depth across midfield to handle the physical demands of a second leg on foreign soil.

🚨Check out our dedicated Drita vs Kauno Zalgiris stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Drita the Favourite

• Moneyline Drita 2.20 | Kauno Zalgiris 2.90
• Draw 3.50
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

Drita are listed as narrow favourites at around 2.20, which reflects the home advantage at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri rather than their recent form. Kauno Zalgiris at 2.90 represents real value given their stronger momentum over the last month and their ability to score away from home. The draw at 3.50 is interesting for those expecting another tight affair, but with progression at stake, both managers will be pushing for a winner. We lean toward the Zalgiris side of the market as the better value option here.

Possible Starting Lineups

Drita Possible Starting Eleven

Drita are expected to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1. Faton Maloku is the clear first choice in goal with 180 minutes played across the last two matches. Blerton Sheji has accumulated two yellow cards recently, and another booking would rule him out, so he is a name to watch. Blerim Krasniqi is the player who matters most in the final third, having scored twice from midfield. Raddy Ovouka Hokemba has registered two assists from the defensive line, suggesting he pushes forward regularly and provides width in transitions.

Kauno Zalgiris Possible Starting Eleven

Tomas Švedkauskas takes the goalkeeper spot based on 180 minutes of playing time. Jankauskas will likely set up in the 4-4-2 shape that has been consistent across their recent fixtures. Joris Moutachy is already on a yellow card and faces a risk of suspension if he is booked again. Amine Benchaab is the name to watch, two goals in two games from central midfield with a physical edge that makes him both a goal threat and a disciplinary risk. Franco Baldassarra provides the engine in the middle, logging 180 minutes across the last two appearances.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

This second leg carries genuine tension. Drita have home support and the motivation of a European run, but their form over the past month has been poor. Four losses in five competitive matches, a leaky defence, and heavy defeats to sides ranked far below Kauno Zalgiris do not inspire confidence. Zalgiris arrive with better recent results, a more structured setup, and a striker in Benchaab who has shown he can deliver in these moments.

The first leg stats showed Drita creating more attempts, but Zalgiris were clinical enough to grab their goal. We predict both teams will score again, and the match will be tighter than the shots tally might suggest. The corner market is worth targeting given both sides generated 8 each in the first leg. To be honest, Kauno Zalgiris’s overall profile makes them the smarter pick to advance, whether in 90 minutes or beyond. We predict a 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris win on the night, with Benchaab involved in the decisive moment.

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