Liam Duckstein
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Crvena Zvezda welcome Copenhagen to the Rajko Mitić Stadion in a League Phase fixture that already carries weight for both clubs. Zvezda sit near the bottom of the 36-team table after an opening loss, while Copenhagen climbed to second spot thanks to a tidy 3-0 win. The interesting wrinkle here is timing: Zvezda needed just three days to bounce back from a continental defeat with a 5-1 domestic thrashing, a response that says plenty about Albert Riera’s dressing room. Copenhagen, meanwhile, have been far streakier at home and away this month, and that inconsistency is exactly what Zvezda’s crowd will look to exploit.
Marko Arnautović has scored twice in his last three outings for Zvezda and remains the focal point of their attack, dropping deep to link play before arriving late in the box. For Copenhagen, Mohamed Elyounoussi has matched that tally with two goals in three games and brings the kind of direct running that can punish a high defensive line, something Zvezda occasionally leave exposed with their three-man back line.
Hot stat: Zvezda have fired 69 shots across their last five matches, nearly 50% more than Copenhagen’s 47, despite playing fewer total passes than the Danish side. That directness, paired with their 15 corner kicks in the same stretch, points to a team built to create chances in bursts rather than control games through possession.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Conference League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
Crvena Zvezda vs Copenhagen prediction
We lean towards Crvena Zvezda picking up the win here. Home advantage matters a lot in Belgrade, the crowd at Rajko Mitić is famously loud, and Zvezda’s response to their opening League Phase loss, a 5-1 demolition of Mladost, suggests confidence rather than panic. Copenhagen’s form has been choppy, a draw followed by wins followed by losses, and that lack of rhythm tends to show up against hungrier home sides.
Zvezda’s numbers back the attacking case too. They’ve racked up 10 goals and 69 shots across their last five matches compared to Copenhagen’s 5 goals and 47 shots. Copenhagen do defend with more bite in midfield, 34 interceptions to Zvezda’s 17, and they commit fewer fouls per game, but their pass accuracy advantage hasn’t translated into consistent results away from home recently. We expect a physical, open match with cards shown on both sides, given Zvezda’s eight yellows and Copenhagen’s six over the last five games, but we think the hosts have enough quality up top to edge it.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Crvena Zvezda’s last match was about as emphatic a response as a coach could ask for. After losing 2-3 to Lugano in their League Phase opener, they went out and beat Mladost 5-1, with Arnautović and Dieng both getting on the scoresheet. That kind of scoreline tells us the squad didn’t dwell on the European setback, and their recent form, three wins in their last four outings overall, backs that up. In our preview of Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda we leaned on their defensive solidity and backed a double chance plus BTTS combination, but the 2-3 scoreline meant the double chance side of that call missed, even though BTTS landed as expected.
Copenhagen’s most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw away to AGF Aarhus, a result that fits their pattern this autumn of alternating strong and flat performances. Before that they beat Braga 3-0 at home, a far more convincing display built on control and clinical finishing. In our preview of Copenhagen vs Braga we backed Copenhagen on the Draw No Bet line, and the eventual 3-0 win delivered that call comfortably, even if our secondary Under 2.5 pick missed given the three goals scored.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Crvena Zvezda and Copenhagen have no recent competitive meetings on record ahead of this fixture. The two sides are effectively starting fresh in continental terms, so there is no head-to-head pattern to lean on for this preview.
🚨Check out our dedicated Crvena Zvezda vs Copenhagen stats page for more info.
Copenhagen. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Crvena Zvezda the favourite
- Moneyline Crvena Zvezda 2.22 | Copenhagen 2.95
- Draw 3.56
The market gives Zvezda a 42% implied chance of victory against Copenhagen’s 32%, with the draw priced at around 26%. That gap feels fair to us. Home advantage in Belgrade is real, and Zvezda’s attacking output over the last month outstrips what Copenhagen have shown on the road. We wouldn’t be shocked by a draw given Copenhagen’s defensive organisation, but value sits with the hosts at these prices, to be honest.
Possible Starting Lineups
Crvena Zvezda possible starting eleven
- GK: Savo Radanović
- DF: Franklin Tebo Uchenna, Yuta Nakayama, Derrick Luckassen
- MF: Rade Krunić, Timi Elsnik, Muhammed Cham Saracevic, Kristiyan Balov, Vasilije Kostov
- FW: Marko Arnautović, Bamba Dieng
Riera has stuck with his 3-1-4-2 shape across the last five matches, and the personnel above reflects the players with the most minutes in that system. Krunić sits just in front of the back three to shield the defense, while Arnautović and Dieng lead the line together. Watch Arnautović closely, he’s directly involved in goals at a high rate and tends to drift wide to combine with Elsnik.
Copenhagen possible starting eleven
- GK: Diant Ramaj
- DF: Akos Markgraf, Felix Beijmo, Asger Sørensen, Junnosuke Suzuki, Marcos López
- MF: Alex Král, William Clem, Thomas Delaney, Hunor Nemeth
- FW: Robert Silva
Bo Svensson’s 5-4-1 setup relies heavily on a packed midfield four to control space before releasing the lone striker. Silva leads the line on shot volume from recent games, but Elyounoussi could easily rotate into that role given his goal record. Markgraf and Beijmo have barely missed a minute at the back, giving the side real defensive continuity heading into Belgrade.
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Crvena Zvezda. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Crvena Zvezda to win this one, perhaps by a 2-1 scoreline. Their response to the Lugano defeat was decisive, their home form this year sits at a 69% win rate, and their attacking numbers over the last five matches, 10 goals and 69 shots, simply outstrip what Copenhagen have managed on the road lately. Copenhagen will create problems, their defensive interception numbers and pass accuracy are strong, but their recent dip in form, including a draw against AGF Aarhus, suggests they aren’t quite firing on all cylinders right now. Expect goals at both ends, a handful of cards, and a tight battle for corners given both sides’ set-piece habits, but the hosts should have enough in Belgrade to take the points.
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