Liam Duckstein
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Como welcome bottom side Venezia to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Sunday with a top-four Serie A place on the line. Cesc Fàbregas’ side have been one of the division’s pleasant surprises this term, sitting fourth after nine rounds, while Davide Nicola’s Venezia prop up the table with a single win from nine outings. What makes this fixture interesting is the recent head-to-head record: both prior meetings between these clubs ended level, 1-1 and 2-2, a strange footnote given the gulf currently separating them in the standings.
Nico Paz has been the heartbeat of Como’s attack, contributing four goals and three assists across his last five appearances, and his movement between the lines should cause Venezia’s shaky backline real problems. On the other side, Akor Adams offers Venezia’s main out-ball, firing fourteen shots in his last five games even if the end product has been lacking. Keep an eye on both of them when the game opens up.
Hot stat: Como have scored fourteen goals across their last five matches, including a startling 4-1 romp over Manchester United, while Venezia have managed just two goals in the same span. That gap tells most of the story heading into Sunday.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🗓️ Date: | 01.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 13:30 CEST |
Como vs Venezia prediction
We predict a comfortable Como win here, and perhaps even a fairly wide margin given the gap in quality on show. Como have won four of their last six matches and sit fourth in Serie A, while Venezia have lost eight of their nine league games this season and have taken just one point from their last four outings. The bookmakers agree too, installing the hosts as overwhelming favourites at well below even money.
Como’s passing numbers back up the eye test, completing far more passes at a noticeably higher accuracy than Venezia across the last five matches, and their shot volume dwarfs what Venezia have managed. Venezia foul more rarely than Como in terms of total output, but concede possession constantly, which feeds directly into Como’s preferred patient build-up style. Expect Como to dominate territory, and expect Venezia’s discipline problems in defensive transitions to show up on the scoreboard.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Como to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Como arrive off the back of a 3-1 win away at Torino, their fourth victory in the last six games, and the win fit a pattern: goals from multiple sources, control of possession, and enough defensive solidity to see the job through. In our preview of Torino vs Como we backed Como to win with goals at both ends, and the eventual 3-1 scoreline delivered exactly that outcome. Fàbregas’ side have now lost only once in their last six, and their underlying numbers, particularly the shot and pass volume from Nico Paz and Anastasios Douvikas, suggest this run is built on substance rather than luck.
Venezia’s last match was a 0-2 home defeat to Inter, extending a miserable run that has brought just one win in their last nine Serie A fixtures. In our preview of Venezia vs Inter we predicted a comfortable Inter win with the score landing around 0-2 or 1-3, and the actual 0-2 result backed that call up. Nicola’s side have now lost five of their last six matches, and the defensive frailties that let Inter walk through them look just as exposed heading into a trip to Como.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Como | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Como vs Venezia stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite
- Moneyline Como 1.30 | Venezia 9.00
- Draw 5.90
The odds across every major bookmaker point in one direction, with Como’s price hovering around 1.30 and Venezia drifting well past 8.00 in several markets. That gap reflects the current form table perfectly: Como fourth, Venezia dead last. We see little value backing the draw at close to 6.00 given how rarely Venezia have held onto points away from home this season, though a cheeky small stake on the draw as an insurance bet is understandable given the odd history of 1-1 and 2-2 scorelines between these two clubs.
Possible Starting Lineups
Como possible starting eleven
- GK: Jean Butez
- DF: Marc-Oliver Kempf, Jacobo Ramón, Álex Valle, Yan Couto
- MF: Maximo Perrone, Samuele Ricci, Lucas Da Cunha, Nico Paz, Luis Milla
- FW: Anastasios Douvikas
Fàbregas tends to stick with his 4-2-3-1 shape, and the players above have featured in all or nearly all of Como’s last five matches. Nico Paz remains the player to watch, pulling strings behind Douvikas, who has scored in bunches lately. Ramón’s attacking output from the back line is also worth noting, with two goals and an assist from defence over the same stretch.
Venezia possible starting eleven
- GK: Filip Stankovic
- DF: Antoine Hainaut, Matias Moreno, Juan Jesus, Redouane Halhal
- MF: Simon Sohm, Toma Bašić, John Yeboah, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, Thorir Johann Helgason
- FW: Akor Adams
Nicola also leans on a 4-2-3-1, though his version looks far less threatening going forward. Stankovic has kept Venezia in games with 21 saves over his last four appearances, and he will need another big performance here. Akor Adams is the one player capable of hurting Como on the counter, but he has lacked support all season.
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Venezia. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Como should take this one comfortably. Their recent numbers, four wins in six, fourteen goals scored in five matches, and clean passing stats, all point toward a routine home win against a Venezia side short on confidence and quality. We predict Como to win and cover a -1.5 handicap, with the game staying mostly one-sided from the opening whistle. Venezia’s only route to a point would involve a near-perfect defensive shift paired with a rare clinical moment up top, and nothing in their recent form suggests that combination is likely on Sunday.
