Liam Duckstein
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Venezia welcome Inter to the Penzo sitting bottom of Serie A, a full 19 points behind the league leaders after eight rounds. Cristian Chivu’s side arrive unbeaten in the league and have scored 23 goals already, a tally that dwarfs the six Venezia have managed all season. The gap between these two clubs looks almost comical on paper, and yet Venezia did find a way to beat Napoli earlier this month, proving they are not completely without bite at home. We predict a lopsided affair, but the home crowd at the Penzo has shown it can lift this squad when the occasion calls for it.
Marcus Thuram has been the standout attacking weapon for Inter in recent weeks, scoring three goals in his last five appearances while racking up 17 shots, numbers that put him among the most dangerous forwards in the league right now. On the Venezia side, keep an eye on Simon Sohm in midfield, who has quietly contributed an assist and leads his side’s engine room in passing volume, a rare bright spot in an otherwise struggling squad.
Hot stat: Inter have outshot opponents by a combined 112 to 47 across their last five matches compared to Venezia, more than double the attempts, a gap that explains why Chivu’s side have scored 12 goals in that stretch against Venezia’s two.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Venezia vs Inter prediction
Our value lean sits with Inter to win and cover a comfortable margin. The table gap tells most of the story here, Inter sit top with 22 points from eight games while Venezia prop up the division with just three. Chivu’s men have won five of their last six matches and have not lost away from home in recent memory, and against a side shipping 17 goals in eight league fixtures, the quality gap should show early.
Venezia’s defensive numbers are rough reading, conceding at a rate approaching two goals per match this season. Their fouling and discipline figures do not suggest a side built to frustrate a possession-heavy opponent either, with 24 fouls across their last five games against Inter’s 52, a figure that actually reflects Inter’s higher involvement and pressing intensity rather than Venezia’s aggression. Inter’s pass accuracy sits comfortably above Venezia’s in recent matches, and that control of the ball usually translates into control of the scoreline against weaker Serie A sides.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Inter -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Venezia have lost seven of their eight league matches this season, and their most recent outing away to Genoa ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat. In our preview of Genoa vs Venezia we called a home win for the hosts by a tight margin, and the 0-1 scoreline delivered exactly that outcome. Before that, Nicola’s side did manage a 1-0 win over Napoli, their only league victory so far, but the overall form line of one win in their last five tells a clear story of a team struggling to find consistency at either end of the pitch.
Inter have won five of their last six matches and arrive off the back of a 2-1 win over Fiorentina. In our preview of Inter vs Fiorentina we called a dominant home win with a comfortable margin, and while Inter did win as expected, the final 2-1 scoreline meant the bigger handicap cover we leaned toward did not quite come through. Chivu’s side still looked sharp in front of goal, and their underlying shot numbers from that game and the matches before it continue to point toward a team that should have no trouble breaking down a struggling Venezia backline.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Venezia | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Venezia vs Inter stats page for more info.
Venezia. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Inter the favourite
- Moneyline Venezia 8.00 | Inter 1.30
- Draw 5.80
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.75 | Under 2.5 2.05
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.68
The market gives Inter roughly a 72% implied chance of winning, and the numbers back that view up. Venezia’s odds sitting near 8.00 reflect how little faith bookmakers have in a side that has won only once in eight league games. We agree with the market lean here, though we think the goals markets offer slightly better value than the straight moneyline given how often this Inter attack has found the net lately.
Possible Starting Lineups
Venezia possible starting eleven
- GK: Filip Stankovic
- DF: Matias Moreno, Redouane Halhal, Juan Jesus
- MF: Ridgeciano Haps, Richie Sagrado, Simon Sohm, Toma Bašić, Enrique Pérez Muñoz
- FW: Akor Adams, Albion Rrahmani
Nicola is likely to stick with his preferred 3-5-2 shape, leaning on Sohm and Bašić to control midfield tempo while Haps and Sagrado push forward from wingback positions. Adams carries the main goal threat up top, and his 12 shots across five games mark him as Venezia’s most direct outlet against a side that will dominate possession.
Inter possible starting eleven
- GK: Josep Martinez
- DF: Alessandro Bastoni, Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji
- MF: Federico Dimarco, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Petar Sučić, Carlos Augusto
- FW: Marcus Thuram, Lautaro Martínez
Chivu tends to favour the same 3-5-2 setup, with Dimarco and Carlos Augusto providing width from wingback slots while Barella and Çalhanoğlu dictate play centrally. Thuram remains the player to watch given his scoring form, and Lautaro’s return to the front line alongside him gives Inter two genuine finishers to exploit Venezia’s leaky defense.
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Inter. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Inter to win comfortably against a Venezia side that has struggled all season to keep opponents out. The gap in shot volume, passing accuracy and recent form all point one direction, and Inter’s attack looks sharp enough to find goals even away from home. Perhaps the scoreline lands somewhere around 0-2 or 1-3, with the handicap and over 2.5 goals markets standing out as the safer angles for backing the favourites here. To be honest, Venezia’s only route to a result would come from a disciplined defensive showing paired with a bit of luck on the counter, and little in their recent numbers suggests that is likely against this Inter team.
