Sofia Quijada
Two of the Primera Nacional’s most struggling sides meet at the Padre Ernesto Martearena in Salta on June 14. Central Norte sit 35th with just 14 points from 16 games, while San Telmo are only marginally better at 32nd with 16. Both teams are deep in relegation trouble, which makes this a tense, low-stakes-on-paper but high-anxiety-in-reality clash. San Telmo have not scored in their last five matches, a run that tells its own story. Central Norte’s Matias Moravec has been one of the few creative outlets for the hosts, picking up an assist across four recent appearances and showing the most consistent involvement in build-up play. For San Telmo, Jerónimo José Porto Lapegüe leads the forward line in terms of playing time logged across the last four games, though goals have eluded him entirely in that stretch.
Hot stat: San Telmo have drawn a blank in all five of their most recent matches, scoring zero goals while managing 28 total shots, which points to a chronic finishing problem rather than a lack of attempt.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera Nacional 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:30 CEST |
Central Norte Salta vs San Telmo Prediction
Central Norte hold home advantage and the bookmakers back them at around 46%, which is reflected in odds averaging close to 2.00 across most books. San Telmo’s inability to score in five straight games is a decisive factor. Even with Central Norte’s poor form, 1 win in their last 5, they scored 4 goals in that span compared to San Telmo’s zero. At home, Central Norte have a psychological edge, and Jeff Strasser’s side will be motivated knowing that a loss deepens their relegation crisis. The head-to-head record also favors San Telmo on paper, with two wins in the last two meetings, but those results came before San Telmo’s current goalless collapse.
We predict a Central Norte Salta win. The hosts are far from convincing, but San Telmo are in a worse state offensively, and a home side desperate for points against a team that cannot score is a matchup that leans toward a narrow home victory.
Both teams play a 4-4-2, which typically produces an open midfield battle. Central Norte have picked up 11 yellow cards in their last 5 matches, suggesting a physical, aggressive defensive approach that San Telmo’s passive attack may struggle to bypass. San Telmo have 9 yellows in the same period, so referee intervention is a real possibility. San Telmo’s 15 corners in 5 games shows they do push forward and create wide situations, but their conversion rate near goal has been dismal. Central Norte’s 10 corners and 3 red cards in 5 games also signal a team that plays on the edge, which could open space for set-piece situations.
| 🔥 Hot Tip: | Central Norte Salta to win and under 2.5 goals |
| ⚽ Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥 Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯 Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Central Norte Salta come into this match having lost three of their last five, with their most recent outing ending in a 1-2 defeat to Acassuso. That result continued a pattern of close, low-scoring losses, and their only win in that stretch came against Racing Cordoba, a side similarly placed in the lower half of the table. César Monasterio’s charges did beat Deportivo Madryn 2-1 earlier in the run, showing they can produce when the pressure is on at home. Their red card tally of 3 in 5 games is alarming and reflects a side that is struggling to maintain discipline when results go against them.
San Telmo have not won in their last five matches and have not scored a single goal across that entire run. Their most recent game ended 0-0 against Deportivo Madryn, continuing a sequence of draws and losses that has stalled their season entirely. Prior to that, they fell 0-1 to both Defensores de Belgrano and Ciudad de Bolivar, and registered goalless draws against Almirante Brown and CA Mitre. With 28 shots across 5 games and zero goals, the conversion problem is severe. César Monasterio’s side clearly generates attempts but lacks the clinical touch to finish, making them a difficult team to back in any goalscoring market.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
🚨 Check out our dedicated Central Norte Salta vs San Telmo stats page for more info.
San Telmo. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Central Norte Salta the Favourite
- Moneyline Central Norte Salta ~2.01 | San Telmo ~4.27
- Draw ~2.73
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The odds across most books place Central Norte between 1.99 and 2.08, which is fair value given their home advantage and San Telmo’s complete offensive drought. San Telmo at 4.10 to 4.50 reflects their poor recent form accurately. The draw price around 2.70 to 2.80 is tempting given both teams’ tendency to grind out low-scoring results, but San Telmo’s inability to score makes a draw harder to justify. To be honest, the Central Norte win market around 2.00 offers reasonable value for a home side that, despite their struggles, at least still finds the net.
Possible Starting Lineups
Central Norte Salta Possible Starting Eleven
Enzo Vazquez is the undisputed starter in goal, appearing in all four recent matches. Pedro Sanz anchors the back line and has been consistent across the same period. Matias Moravec is the player to watch in midfield, with his assist tally and consistent involvement making him the most important creative figure for Jeff Strasser. Maximiliano Ribero carries a red card risk after picking one up recently, which could become a factor if the match turns physical. Central Norte will likely line up in their familiar 4-4-2 shape.
San Telmo Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Joaquín Conrado Enrico
- DF: Renzo Uriburu, Leonel Pollacchi, and two additional defenders
- MF: Elias Lisandro Brítez, and three additional midfielders
- FW: Jerónimo José Porto Lapegüe, Juan Zurbriggen, Matias Salerno
Joaquín Conrado Enrico has played every minute across the last four matches and is a guaranteed starter. Renzo Uriburu and Leonel Pollacchi both logged full 360 minutes in that stretch, forming the defensive spine. Elias Lisandro Brítez is the most prominent midfielder by playing time and will need to do more to support a forward line that has produced nothing in five games. Jerónimo José Porto Lapegüe leads the attacking options with 219 minutes played, and César Monasterio will hope he can finally convert one of San Telmo’s many attempts. The team will stick with a 4-4-2 setup.
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Central Norte Salta. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
This is a match between two sides fighting to avoid the drop, and the numbers point clearly in one direction. Central Norte have scored 4 goals in their last 5 games, San Telmo have scored none. At home, with the crowd behind them and a coach in Jeff Strasser who needs points urgently, Central Norte are the logical pick. San Telmo’s 28 shots and zero goals across five games is perhaps the most damning stat in this entire preview, and we see no reason to expect that changes against a physical Central Norte defense that is willing to concede fouls and play on the edge to keep a clean sheet.
We predict a narrow Central Norte Salta home win, with under 2.5 total goals and both teams not scoring as our strongest confidence picks. The corner market, with San Telmo generating 15 corners in 5 games and Central Norte 10, makes over 8.5 corners a reasonable side bet for this fixture.
