Celtic vs Livingston Prediction: 11.02.2026 Scottish Premiership

The Scottish Premiership returns to Celtic Park, where Martin O’Neill’s Celtic side, hot on the heels of the league leaders, host Livingston in a clash that speaks volumes about the contrasting fortunes and ambitions of both clubs. For Celtic, the stakes are clear — keep pace with Hearts and Rangers or risk losing ground. Livingston, for their part, are fighting a very different battle at the foot of the table, desperate to avoid the drop and add some respectability to a season marked by adversity. Yet, hidden beneath the surface statistics is a battle of resilience versus expectation, a match-up always ripe for drama in the Scottish football calendar.

Among the names set to draw the eye are Benjamin Nygren for Celtic, the Swedish forward whose sharp movement and three goals in his last five matches have made him a constant menace, and Robbie Muirhead of Livingston, whose knack for fashioning chances from the fringes of play belies his team’s struggles. Both are poised to play pivotal roles, especially with the form table and playing styles giving much to ponder.

A particularly hot stat? Celtic are unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions, scoring an impressive 18 goals in that spell—a testament to their relentless offensive intent and squad depth.

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Celtic vs Livingston prediction

Given both form and squad quality, the value lies firm with Celtic to cover the Asian Handicap. They have racked up six wins and two draws in their last eight, while Livingston have found just two draws from their last six. It’s not simply the strength of the lineups; Celtic’s 4-3-3 press channels energy through the wings, creating a steady stream of shots and set-piece chances (averaging 12 shots and nearly 7 corners per game). Meanwhile, Livingston’s leaky defence has conceded 52 goals in 25 matches and tends to allow pressure in wide areas, a dangerous flaw against Celtic’s overlapping full-backs.

What’s striking from the discipline side: both clubs have picked up 13 yellow cards in their last five matches, but Celtic’s superior control in midfield (with roughly 70% passing accuracy and more successful passes) should help them dominate possession and ease the threat of fast counters. Foul counts are similar, but Celtic commit fewer in dangerous positions—something viewers will want to track as it might limit Livingston’s set-piece joy. The edge in ball retention, coupled with their high pressing, tilts the forecast toward a routine home win, possibly with a clean sheet if defensive concentration endures.

Team Analysis

Celtic’s recent run has been especially commanding. Most recently, they claimed a solid 2-1 victory over Dundee, building on a 2-0 win over Falkirk and a 4-2 attacking show against Utrecht. The balance between their midfield dynamism and wide play was clear; Arne Engels’ surging runs and Nygren’s poaching instincts have consistently delivered. Even when challenged, as against Hearts and Bologna (both 2-2 draws), the Bhoys showed a dogged refusal to be beaten, a trait typically defining title challengers. Defensive cohesion has improved as well, particularly with Kieran Tierney back contributing both in defence and attack.

For Livingston, optimism is understandably scarcer. Their last outing was a narrow 1-2 home defeat to Falkirk, capped by a spirited, if ultimately fruitless, effort from Robbie Muirhead. Earlier, they fell 0-2 to Motherwell and 2-6 to Aberdeen—results symptomatic of their chronic issues at both ends of the pitch. Defensive lapses, a struggle to dictate tempo, and limited shot conversion haunt their matchdays; only two draws in six games reflect that. Still, in matches like the dramatic 4-5 against Saint Mirren, flashes of attacking flair remind us this side is not wholly without threat.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Celtic vs Livingston stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celtic the favourite

• Moneyline Celtic 1.15–1.17 | Livingston 13.00–17.00
• Draw 6.50–8.79
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.65 | Under 2.5 2.20
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.60 | No 1.42

The markets make it clear—Celtic are firm favourites, with odds hovering around 1.15 for the home win and Livingston out at 13.00 or longer. The draw sits at high values, reflecting a low expectation for Celtic to falter at home. Value remains thin unless stacking outcomes (such as Celtic win combined with Over 2.5 goals or a handicap), but the disparity is justified by recent form, squad depth, and stark contrast in attack and defence. Bookmakers back goals, anticipating Celtic to press relentlessly against a side that has conceded over two per match. The ‘No’ for BTTS looks a smart choice given Livingston’s woes in front of goal.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Celtic possible starting eleven

Drawing on O’Neill’s recent selections and the squad’s fitness, Celtic should line up in their favoured 4-3-3. Schmeichel’s leadership in goal and Tierney’s marauding runs offer balance between solidity and enterprise. Engels provides tactical discipline, while Nygren is the player to keep an eye on for his finishing and link-up play. This set-up maximises width and ball circulation—expect another high-energy pressing performance.

Livingston possible starting eleven

Martindale should continue with the 4-2-3-1, which attempts to shield a susceptible backline while hoping for counter-attacking sparks from Muirhead and McLennan. Tait and Pitman bring industry, but the defence must avoid lapses under Celtic’s press. Prior is expected to face a barrage of shots — he’ll need to marshal the back four decisively. If Livingston are to snatch anything, rapid transitions and tactical discipline will be essential.

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My take on the Match

All things considered, this looks tailor-made for another dominant Celtic display. My main pick: Celtic to win with at least a two-goal cushion (Asian Handicap -1.5), most likely coupled with a clean sheet. The blend of tactical clarity, momentum, and markedly superior quality—especially in transition and final third—gives them all the tools for a convincing home victory. Livingston’s resilience may keep things competitive for spells, but unless they can drastically tighten up at the back, a turnaround appears unlikely. This fixture should buoy Celtic’s confidence for the title run-in, while Livingston must regroup and target more winnable matches ahead.

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