Celtic vs Hibernian Prediction: 22.02.2026 Scottish Premiership

Celtic and Hibernian face off at Celtic Park in this key Scottish Premiership clash, with stakes high as both teams aim to solidify their standing in the upper echelons of the table. Celtic sit third and are pushing to close the gap on the leaders, while Hibernian hover in fifth, eager to consolidate their place among the top six. An interesting subplot to this contest is the contrasting recent form and discipline: Celtic’s high pressing style meets Hibernian’s physical approach, as reflected in their disciplinary stats over the last five matches.

Key players to watch include Celtic’s prolific winger Benjamin Nygren, netting three goals in his last five outings, and Hibernian’s versatile forward Ante Suto, who has contributed two goals despite sporadic starts. With both sides deploying a similar 4-2-3-1 formation, individual battles in midfield could prove decisive.

A notable stat heading into this matchup: Celtic have taken an impressive 98 shots in their last five matches, illustrating their relentless attacking output, while Hibernian have managed 50 interceptions in that span — the highest between these two, highlighting an assertive defensive stance.

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Celtic vs Hibernian prediction

The odds strongly favor Celtic (average 1.44), reflecting their significantly better form and superior squad depth. Celtic have won five of their last eight matches and boast a 67% win rate this campaign, compared to Hibernian’s three wins from eight matches and a 38% win rate. The Hoops’ home advantage and attacking firepower, led by Nygren and supported by the energetic Sebastian Tounekti, will likely pose multiple problems for Hibernian’s backline.

Hibernian, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, evidenced by their patchy away form and higher foul count (63 vs Celtic’s 53 in the last five). Their reliance on transitional play tends to invite pressure, as reflected by their lower pass accuracy (77.7%), and while they’ve picked up more yellow cards, their interceptions tally (50) suggests defensive resilience that could slow Celtic down.

Celtic’s high-volume attacking approach, averaging nearly 20 shots and over eight corners per game, is backed by disciplined build-up (pass accuracy 87.8%). Expect Celtic to control possession, limit Hibernian’s time on the ball, and create a flurry of set-piece opportunities. However, with both teams accumulating a notable number of fouls, a busy match for the referee seems likely.

Team Analysis

Celtic’s last five games showcased dominance in attack, with a total of 10 goals scored and only a single loss, albeit a heavy 1-4 setback to Stuttgart. Their recent narrow wins against Kilmarnock (3-2), Livingston (2-1), and Dundee (2-1) illustrate an ability to grind out results even when not at their clinical best. Nygren’s uptick in goal involvement and the wing play from Maeda and Tounekti have been key, while the defense, led by Kieran Tierney, generally keeps the structure compact. Still, the volume of shots taken (98 in five matches) also hints at some inefficiency in finishing.

Hibernian’s form reads uneven, with just two wins in their last six. Their latest 2-0 win over Saint Mirren was a much-needed boost, but preceding losses to Hearts (0-1) and Falkirk (1-4) exposed defensive vulnerabilities when pressed by well-organized sides. Ante Suto and Thody Elie Youan supply pace and directness in attack, while Daniel Barlaser attempts to control tempo from midfield. Disciplinary issues (10 yellow cards in five games) and an average of 12.6 fouls per match reflect the challenges Hibernian face in maintaining composure under pressure.

Possible Starting Lineups

Celtic possible starting eleven

Expect Martin O’Neill to stick with the established 4-2-3-1 formation, providing balance and width. Schmeichel offers leadership from between the posts while the defensive core remains largely unchanged. Nygren’s movement and Tounekti’s dynamism on the flanks will stretch Hibernian, with Čvančara providing a target. Tierney’s overlapping runs could be a source of additional threat, making him a key player to watch.

Hibernian possible starting eleven

Manager David Gray should keep faith in the 4-2-3-1, maximizing defensive solidity through Bushiri and Iredale at the heart of defense. Sallinger has shown shot-stopping ability in recent weeks, while Obita and Boyle bring energy to transitional play. Up front, Youan and Suto offer mobility and finishing, though their output will rely heavily on service from the flanks and Barlaser’s distribution.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Celtic vs Hibernian stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celtic the favourite

• Moneyline Celtic 1.44 | Hibernian 6.20
• Draw 4.70
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.60 | Under 2.5 2.25
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.07

Celtic are clear favorites with odds hovering around 1.44 for the home win, reflecting not just home advantage but a superior statistical profile. The over 2.5 goals market (1.60) is attractively priced given both sides’ penchant for open games and high shot counts. Odds for both teams to score (Yes at 1.73) are justified considering Celtic’s scoring prowess and occasional lapses at the back, plus Hibernian’s ability to find goals even when losing. Bookmakers are giving Hibs a puncher’s chance, but the disparity in squad quality and recent finishing means upsets are unlikely.

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The Verdict

My main pick is Celtic -1 Asian Handicap. The Hoops’ multi-faceted attack, depth of midfield options, and consistency at home strongly suggest they’ll take three points and potentially win by multiple goals. Hibernian have the tools to trouble Celtic on the break and are capable of snatching a goal, but their defensive frailty, indiscipline, and inconsistent form are likely to be punished by a team eyeing a title challenge. Expect a fast-paced game, with Celtic’s relentless shot output eventually breaking through Hibs’ resistance.

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