Liam Duckstein
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Bologna welcome Torino to the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara for a fixture that neither club wanted to see on the calendar this early in the season. Both sides sit inside the bottom five of Serie A after four rounds, and both arrive having lost their most recent outing by an identical scoreline. Here is the interesting wrinkle though: Bologna have gone winless in five straight matches across all competitions, yet the bookmakers still make them favourites simply because they are at home. That gap between form and market price is exactly the kind of situation our punters team likes to pick apart.
Keep an eye on Che Adams for Torino. He has already scored twice in his last four appearances and remains the visitors’ most direct route to goal. On the other side, Nicolo Cambiaghi has been Bologna’s busiest attacker over the last five matches with eight shots, and he will need to convert some of that volume into actual goals if the hosts want to end their drought.
Hot stat: Bologna have managed just two goals across their last five matches combined, half of what Torino have scored (four) in the same span, despite both clubs racking up almost identical fouls and corner counts. That says everything about where Bologna’s problem currently sits, it is not effort, it is finishing.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Renato Dall’Ara, Bologna |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Bologna vs Torino prediction
We predict a tight, low-scoring affair that ends in Bologna’s favour by the smallest of margins, or a draw if their finishing struggles continue. Bologna’s home tag and the fact Torino have won only twice in their last six matches tip the value slightly toward the hosts, but backing them outright feels risky given they have not tasted victory in five games. A Bologna Draw No Bet ticket protects against that recent slump while still following the underlying quality gap suggested by the standings.
Neither team plays a particularly aggressive style right now. Bologna have committed 55 fouls and picked up cards sparingly over their last five games, while Torino sit close behind at 53 fouls with only two yellows shown across the same stretch. Pass accuracy for both sides hovers in a similar range, around 90 percent for Bologna and Torino alike on the raw completion figures, which points to two teams comfortable holding possession without necessarily hurting each other in the final third. Expect a cagey match with few clean chances, which supports a lower goals total than the season average.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Che Adams to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Bologna’s slide has been steep. Across their last five matches they have lost four and drawn one, failing to score in three of those games. Their most recent match away at Napoli ended 0-1, a result that continued a pattern of tight defeats rather than heavy beatings. In our preview of Napoli vs Bologna we backed the hosts to grind out a narrow win over a Bologna side unable to find the net, and the 0-1 final score delivered exactly that call. That same inability to score is the single biggest concern heading into this Torino match, and it explains why Bologna sit second-from-bottom despite generally competitive underlying numbers.
Torino have not fared much better on paper, but their form carries a touch more variety, with two wins mixed into their last six games. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 home defeat to Roma, a result we saw coming. In our preview of Torino vs Roma we predicted a comfortable two-goal Roma win built on the visitors’ attacking numbers, and the final 0-2 scoreline landed exactly on that margin. Torino’s defense has now conceded in four of their last five matches, which is a worry against a Bologna side that, however blunt in attack, still generates plenty of shots and set pieces.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Bologna | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 7 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Bologna vs Torino stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bologna the favourite
- Moneyline Bologna 1.94 | Torino 3.93
- Draw 3.44
- Over/Under Over 2.5 not available | Under 2.5 not available
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes not available | No not available
Bookmakers price Bologna as clear favourites at around 1.94, which lines up with the 49 percent implied probability from the market average. That price looks generous to us given Bologna’s five-match winless run, but it also reflects how poor Torino have been on the road this season. Draw odds sitting near 3.44 look fair, perhaps even slightly short, considering how similar both attacks have looked in recent weeks. We lean toward value on the draw or a Bologna Draw No Bet play rather than a straight moneyline bet on either side.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bologna possible starting eleven
- GK: Łukasz Skorupski
- DF: Lorenzo De Silvestri, Martin Vitik, Juan Miranda, Emil Holm
- MF: Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Nicolo Cambiaghi, Federico Bernardeschi, Jens Odgaard
- FW: Roberto Piccoli
Palladino appears set to keep the 4-2-3-1 shape that has featured in each of Bologna’s last five outings. Skorupski remains the automatic choice in goal, and the back four picked here has started together most often over that stretch. Ferguson and Pobega look the likely double pivot, freeing Cambiaghi and Bernardeschi to work the flanks behind Piccoli, who leads the squad among available strikers with a goal already on the board. Cambiaghi is the one to watch given his shot volume this season.
Torino possible starting eleven
- GK: Diego Mascardi
- DF: Saúl Coco, Ardian Ismajli, Pietro Comuzzo
- MF: Niccolo Fortini, Gvidas Gineitis, Kian Fitz-Jim, Eray Cömert
- FW: Nikola Vlašić, Alessio Cacciamani, Che Adams
Abate has leaned on a back three all season, and Coco, Ismajli and Comuzzo have logged the most minutes in that role. Fortini and Cömert push up as wing-backs in the 3-4-2-1, with Gineitis and Fitz-Jim holding the middle. Vlašić and Cacciamani should support Adams, who is the man to watch after netting twice in his last four league games and giving Torino their clearest route to goal on the road.
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Torino. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a low-scoring match that leans slightly toward Bologna without much confidence in a comfortable margin. Both sides have struggled defensively and offensively in different ways this season, Bologna cannot score, Torino cannot keep clean sheets, and that combination points to a match around 1-0 or 1-1 rather than anything open. To be honest, the safest angle here is Under 2.5 goals paired with a Bologna Draw No Bet, since home advantage and Torino’s poor away record still carry some weight even in a fixture between two struggling sides. Piccoli or Adams getting on the scoresheet feels like the most realistic route to settling this one.
