Liam Duckstein
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Napoli welcome Bologna to the Maradona on matchday four of Serie A 2026/27, and both sides arrive in shakier shape than their reputations suggest. Allegri’s men sit twelfth after three straight defeats across competitions, while Tedesco’s Bologna have gone five games without a win, drawing one and losing four. The interesting wrinkle here is history: Napoli have won three of the last five meetings between these clubs, including a comfortable 2-0 win over Bologna in the Supercoppa Italiana final, so there’s a psychological edge sitting with the hosts even as their current league form wobbles.
Kevin De Bruyne remains the player who can unlock a stubborn Bologna backline through sheer craft, already contributing a goal and an assist in his four appearances so far. On the other side, Artem Dovbyk carries Bologna’s hopes up top, and any service he gets from wide will be worth watching given how blunt his side has looked in front of goal recently.
Hot stat: Napoli’s 6-2 demolition of Aris Thessaloniki stands out as their most ruthless attacking display of the season, six goals in a single fixture, a number that dwarfs Bologna’s total output of just two goals across their entire last five matches combined.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Maradona Stadium, Naples |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Napoli vs Bologna prediction
We predict a Napoli win here, and to be hones, the value sits with the hosts even at short odds. Bologna have not tasted victory in five outings, and their away record this season offers little confidence going into a stadium where Napoli have historically dominated this exact fixture. Allegri’s side may be wobbling, but a mid-table Champions League slump against Arsenal and Inter is a different challenge than facing a Bologna side struggling to score at all.
Style-wise, the numbers tell an interesting story. Bologna have racked up 56 fouls and 22 corners across their last five matches compared to Napoli’s 36 fouls and 12 corners, showing a side that presses higher and commits men forward without the finishing touch to show for it, just two goals in five games. Napoli, by contrast, foul less and keep the ball with 85.6% pass accuracy, using possession efficiently rather than territorially. Expect a physical midfield battle with Bologna picking up more cards, while Napoli look to strike on the break through wide combinations.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Napoli to win & BTTS No |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Napoli’s form graph has dipped sharply. After thrashing Aris Thessaloniki 6-2 and beating Genoa 2-0, Allegri’s side dropped three in a row, losing 1-2 to Como, 2-3 to Inter, and most recently 0-1 away to Arsenal. That run shows a team still capable of scoring goals but leaking them just as easily at the back, a concerning trend heading into a home fixture where defensive solidity will matter against a Bologna side hunting for any sign of life on the road.
Bologna’s recent run reads even rougher. Four straight losses against Pisa, Brighton, Lazio and Atalanta preceded a 2-2 draw with Sassuolo that snapped the skid without really solving the underlying problem, a lack of cutting edge in the final third. Tedesco’s side controlled long spells against Sassuolo with strong pass accuracy and set-piece volume, but converting territory into goals remains their biggest issue this season.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Napoli | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 8 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Napoli vs Bologna stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Napoli the favourite
- Moneyline Napoli 1.61 | Bologna 5.50
- Draw 3.70
The market leans heavily on Napoli here, with bookmakers giving the hosts around 56% implied probability against just 19% for Bologna. That gap feels fair given the head-to-head trend and Bologna’s inability to find the net in recent weeks, though the draw price at 3.70 offers some cover for punters wary of Napoli’s own defensive dip.
Possible Starting Lineups
Napoli possible starting eleven
- GK: Alex Meret
- DF: Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Rafael Marin Zamora, Leonardo Spinazzola
- MF: Stanislav Lobotka, Frank Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne
- FW: Matteo Politano, Rasmus Hojlund, Alisson Santos
Allegri sticks with his trusted 4-3-3, with Lobotka anchoring the base and De Bruyne given license to roam ahead of him. Hojlund leads the line as the club’s top scorer in this sample with two goals, and Di Lorenzo’s leadership at right-back will be important against Bologna’s wide threats.
Bologna possible starting eleven
- GK: Łukasz Skorupski
- DF: Torbjørn Heggem, Eivind Helland, Emil Holm, Juan Miranda
- MF: Lewis Ferguson, Tommaso Pobega, Nadir Zortea
- FW: Nicolo Cambiaghi, Roberto Piccoli, Federico Bernardeschi
Tedesco also favours a 4-3-3 shape, with Ferguson controlling tempo from midfield after logging the most minutes among his peers. Piccoli gets the nod up top over Dovbyk on recent playing time, while Cambiaghi’s shot volume on the wing makes him the man most likely to trouble Napoli’s back line.
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Bologna. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Our punters team backs Napoli to get back on track at home, perhaps not with the swagger of their 6-2 rout earlier this season, but enough control to see off a Bologna side that simply cannot find goals right now. We predict a tight, low-scoring win for the hosts, somewhere around 1-0 or 2-0, with Bologna’s set-piece volume the closest thing to a genuine threat on the night. The head-to-head record and current form gap both point the same direction, and we’re happy to side with Napoli here.
