Liam Duckstein
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Torino host Roma at home in matchweek action with contrasting momentum on show. Gian Piero Gasperini has Roma flying, unbeaten across their recent outings and sitting second in Serie A after just three rounds. Torino, under new boss Ignazio Abate, have been shakier, sitting 13th with more losses than wins so far this season.
The interesting wrinkle here is history. Roma have won four of the last five meetings between these clubs, including a 4-0 demolition of a common opponent style that mirrors how they have blown out weaker sides recently. Torino have not beaten Roma in a Serie A fixture since early 2025, and that psychological weight matters heading into this one.
Watch for Che Adams up front for Torino. He has scored twice in his last five appearances and remains the club’s most direct attacking outlet when service arrives. On the other side, Donyell Malen has been unplayable lately, five goals in five matches, and he is the single biggest threat Torino’s back line will face on the night.
Hot stat: Roma have scored 13 goals across their last five matches combined, more than double the five Torino have managed in the same stretch. That gap in output tells you almost everything about the gulf in attacking quality between these two squads right now.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 14.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:30 CEST |
Torino vs Roma prediction
We predict Roma to win, and we think there is extra value in backing them to also cover the goals market. Roma’s away form has been ruthless, three wins from three in Serie A with ten goals scored and just one conceded, and Torino’s leaky defense has shipped goals in four of their last five games. To be honest, this looks like a mismatch on current form despite the home advantage.
Torino sit on just 60 fouls but only two yellow cards across their last five games, a surprisingly clean disciplinary record for a side fighting for points. Roma have committed slightly more fouls at 62 with seven bookings, and their high offside count of 15 in five matches shows an attack that pushes the line constantly, something Torino’s defenders will need to exploit rather than fear. Pass accuracy is close between the two sides, roughly 88% each, so this should not turn into a technical mismatch even if the scoreline does.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Roma -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Torino’s last outing brought a 2-1 win over Fiorentina, a much-needed result after three defeats in their previous four fixtures. Before that they lost to Monza 0-1 and to Sassuolo 1-2, results that expose a defense conceding too easily against mid-table opposition. The Fiorentina win offers a small positive, but the pattern of conceding first in most matches is a worry against a Roma side that punishes slow starts.
Roma arrive off a 1-1 draw with Fenerbahce, their only blemish in a run that otherwise reads win, win, win over Atalanta, Lecce and Fiorentina, scoring ten goals across those three matches alone. Donyell Malen and Matias Soule have carried the attacking weight, and Paulo Dybala continues to rack up assists rather than goals, five in his last five appearances. This is a team scoring freely against sides of every quality level.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Torino | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Torino vs Roma stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite
- Moneyline Torino 5.25 | Roma 1.65
- Draw 3.60
The market leaves little doubt here, with Roma priced as heavy favorites at odds close to 1.65 and Torino drifting past 5.00 in most books. That roughly matches the bookmakers’ 57% implied probability for a Roma win against Torino’s 18%. Given the recent form gap and the head-to-head trend, these prices look fair rather than generous, though a small stake on the goals markets could offer better returns than the straight moneyline.
Possible Starting Lineups
Torino possible starting eleven
- GK: Diego Mascardi
- DF: Saúl Coco, Ardian Ismajli, Pietro Comuzzo
- MF: Niccolo Fortini, Gvidas Gineitis, Nikola Vlašić, Cristiano Biraghi
- FW: Alessio Cacciamani, Zakaria Aboukhlal, Che Adams
Abate should stick with the 3-4-2-1 shape that has featured in each of the last five matches. Coco, Ismajli and Comuzzo have all started every game recently and form the defensive spine, while Che Adams leads the line as the club’s sharpest finisher this season. Cacciamani offers the creative spark behind him, and his numbers in chances created stand out among the squad.
Roma possible starting eleven
- GK: Mile Svilar
- DF: Gianluca Mancini, Mario Hermoso, Daniele Ghilardi
- MF: Nahuel Molina, Bryan Cristante, Manu Koné, Wesley Vinícius França Lima
- FW: Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule, Donyell Malen
Gasperini’s 3-4-2-1 mirrors Torino’s setup, and Svilar remains an automatic pick after 18 saves in his last five outings. Dybala and Soule operate just behind Malen, who should be the man Torino fear most given his five goals in five appearances. Cristante anchors the midfield and has chipped in with two goals himself, adding another layer to Roma’s threat.
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Torino. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a comfortable Roma win here, perhaps by a two-goal margin given how their attack has performed against sides ranked similarly to Torino this season. The numbers back it up: 13 goals scored in five matches, three straight league wins, and a road record that has yet to concede more than one goal in a game. Torino’s cleaner disciplinary record and home advantage are not enough to offset the class gap on show. Our punters team leans toward Roma to win and both teams to score, with the visitors doing enough defensively to also cover a -1.5 handicap.
