Besiktas vs Rizespor Prediction: 20.12.2025 Süper Lig 2025/26

On 20 December 2025, Tüpraş Stadyumu in Istanbul sets the stage for a potentially pivotal Süper Lig fixture, as Besiktas host Rizespor. Though both sides sit far apart in the table, the context is anything but casual: Besiktas chase Champions League ambitions from 5th place, while Rizespor, placed 11th, aim to turn their recent attacking spree into a statement against one of Turkey’s established giants. What stands out ahead of this clash isn’t just the difference in pedigree, but the intriguing trajectories shown by both teams in recent matches—Besiktas have proved tough to beat but struggled to finish matches off, whereas Rizespor are fresh from an electrifying scoring run.

Amidst a field of notable talents, keep an eye on Besiktas’s Václav Černý — a forward whose blend of pace and technical craft has recently delivered goals and assists at key moments. For Rizespor, Halil Dervisoglu stands as a genuine game-changer; his four-goal burst in the last five matches offers the kind of attacking spark that Besiktas’s back line must handle with acute caution. A further layer of intrigue lies in the teams’ historical duels, with equilibrium not uncommon in their recent meetings.

For a “hot stat”, few can look past Rizespor’s astonishing 15 goals in their last five fixtures — a tally only Galatasaray can rival in recent Süper Lig rounds. They’ve found a rhythm in the final third that could trouble any Turkish defence on their day.

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Besiktas vs Rizespor prediction

Expect fire in Istanbul! Besiktas, under Sergen Yalçın, have displayed a gritty resilience at home this term — unbeaten in the last four, but with three draws pointing to a slight lack of cutting edge late in matches. Rizespor, coached by Recep Uçar, might be outsiders, but their bullish goal return and a recent demolition of Gaziantep (5-2) suggest they’re a side in full attacking flight. With both sides favouring a 4-2-3-1 and enjoying plenty of possession, the midfield battle will likely be decisive.

Given the stats, a Besiktas win remains the most probable outcome — not least due to home advantage and stronger squad depth. Yet, the “both teams to score” market resonates loudly here, considering Rizespor’s 15 recent goals and Besiktas’s defensive leaks (eight conceded in five). These numbers point to a game full of chances, with plenty of set-piece opportunities: Besiktas and Rizespor combined have earned 46 corners in their last five matches and accumulated a fair number of yellow cards — 21 between them — a sign physicality won’t be lacking.

Foul counts (Besiktas 50, Rizespor 48 in the last five fixtures) indicate tenacious pressing and potential for plenty of free-kicks, while overall pass numbers and accuracy (Besiktas averaging ~80 percent) highlight technical quality. Discipline could be vital: especially with Rizespor’s on-the-break pace and Besiktas’s quality in transitions.

Team Analysis

Besiktas remain a curious mixture: strong at home, with a technical and high-tempo style, but occasionally lacking clinical finishing. Their most recent clash – a frenetic 3-3 draw against Trabzonspor – typifies their season: loads of chances created (79 shots in the last five matches), but key moments lacking composure or defensive control. Tammy Abraham and Václav Černý continue to be focal points, each having netted two in their previous four runouts; El Bilal Toure has also chipped in, offering mobility up front. Besiktas hold meaningful territorial dominance (see their high pass completion), but a concession of eight goals in their last five games, plus a haul of 11 yellows, show frailties that Rizespor will eagerly seek to exploit.

Rizespor approach this trip in tantalising form, having thrashed Gaziantep 5-2 and netted 15 times across their last five—a transformation from their goal-shy early season. Halil Dervisoglu has led the charge, ably supported by Mithat Pala (3 assists), Altin Zeqiri’s link play, and the progressive work of Muammet Taha Sahin at wing-back. However, the discipline question mark lingers: four yellows in the last five and a tendency to give up possession under pressure (pass accuracy notably below their hosts at ~75 percent). Set-pieces remain a potential weakness, as corners and free kicks have led directly to goals conceded against lower-ranked sides.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Besiktas vs Rizespor stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Besiktas the favourite

• Moneyline Besiktas 1.68 | Rizespor 4.52
• Draw 4.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 2.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.73 | No 2.05

It comes as no surprise Besiktas lead the market — their squad depth, home record and higher technical level set a clear foundation for these odds. Still, Rizespor’s 21 percent win probability isn’t outlandish, given their recent attacking surge. The even odds on Over 2.5 mirror both sides’ open, forward-thinking style, while the BTTS market being close to 1.7 marks bookie respect for Rizespor’s new threat. We’d argue the best value lies in combining a home win with goals, but the draw can’t be entirely ruled out if Rizespor’s counter-attacking plan clicks.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Besiktas possible starting eleven

This selection mirrors Besiktas’s recent line-up and Sergen Yalçın’s preferred 4-2-3-1. Abraham leads the line as a traditional No.9, flanked by Černý (watch his movement between the lines) and El Bilal Toure — a blend of pace and technique. Ndidi shores up midfield defensively, with Kökçü and Uçan managing transitions. The defensive four blends experience (Paulista) with youthful dynamism (Topcu, Jurasek). Given the increase in conceding late goals, this unit’s concentration will be under the microscope, but their attacking threat is undeniable.

Rizespor possible starting eleven

Recep Uçar is likely to stick to a similar 4-2-3-1: Sahin and Hojer provide the width, Akaydin marshals the backline, and the energetic Pala/Laci pair facilitate box-to-box coverage. Dervisoglu, in outstanding form, slots as the focal point, with Augusto and Sowe either side ready to exploit any gaps in Besiktas’s defensive shape. Akaydin (three goals in the last five from defence) is a clear set-piece threat, so Besiktas must be wary whenever Rizespor get a dead ball.

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My take on the Match

Given the blend of home strength and recent Rizespor resurgence, this has all the makings of a high-octane Süper Lig encounter. My main pick is Besiktas to win with both teams to score — the numbers point to attacking intent, defensive gaps, and recent xG trends reinforce the likelihood of both netting. Abraham’s physicality and Černý’s guile ought to be decisive, but Rizespor’s direct approach and Dervisoglu’s purple patch cannot be discounted. Don’t be shocked by fireworks at both ends; ultimately, Besiktas’s squad depth and sustained pressure should prevail, but expect discomfort before the finish.

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