Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction: 23.11.2025 English Premier League

The North London derby returns with Arsenal hosting Tottenham at the Emirates Stadium on 23 November 2025 in what feels like a pivotal clash even at this stage of the Premier League season. Arsenal, riding high at the summit with an imperious run, enter as clear favourites – but form often counts for little in this age-old rivalry.

One insight to keep an eye on: Thomas Frank’s Tottenham have struggled for consistency on the road, yet their tendency to press high could pose intriguing tactical questions for Arteta’s in-form Arsenal. How will Spurs adapt their approach away at fortress Emirates?

All eyes will naturally turn to Bukayo Saka, whose creativity and directness can unhinge any defence, while Micky van de Ven’s recent goal-scoring burst from centre-back stands out for Tottenham. These individuals could shape the narrative in both boxes.

Hot stat? Arsenal have only conceded twice in their last five league matches, underlining a remarkable defensive solidity that’s contributed decisively to their title credentials.

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Arsenal vs Tottenham prediction

The best value match prediction here is Arsenal to win and under 3.5 total goals. Arsenal’s sparkling home record, paired with the robust nature of their back line, makes them firm favourites. Tottenham, meanwhile, offer sporadic attacking flurries but haven’t been able to string together consistent away results this term. Expect the Gunners to control possession with their typical discipline and press, limiting Spurs’ forays forward.

Both teams average similar numbers in fouls and set pieces, but there’s a telling stat: Tottenham have picked up more yellow cards (13 in their last five) and often look susceptible under pressure, particularly when forced to chase the game. Arsenal’s superior pass accuracy (nearing 90% for key midfielders) should help them command midfield exchanges, while Tottenham’s transition play could become unraveled if they lose their shape. Corners could be plentiful given Arsenal’s attacking intent down the flanks.

Team Analysis

Arsenal’s recent games reflect a well-oiled machine humming in high gear. Their last outing saw them draw 2-2 at Sunderland – perhaps a minor blip, given their preceding run of four straight wins including a European triumph over Slavia Prague (3-0). Arsenal’s average of two goals per game over the last five, combined with just six yellow cards in that period and 27 corners amassed, sets a benchmark for balance and discipline. Bukayo Saka continues to make decisive contributions from wide areas, supported ably by Leandro Trossard and Mikel Merino’s driving runs from midfield. In defence, Gabriel Magalhães and William Saliba offer both composure and aerial solidity.

Tottenham’s fortunes have been patchier. Their most recent match, a dramatic 2-2 draw with Manchester United, showcased both their attacking spark and defensive frailties. Prior to that, a 4-0 rout over Copenhagen in Europe provided a welcome confidence boost, but consecutive stumbles against Chelsea (0-1) and Newcastle (0-2) hint at deeper issues. With just two wins from their last seven, and a tendency to rack up cards (13 yellows, 1 red in the last five), controlling the tempo and maintaining a disciplined shape could prove challenging. Micky van de Ven has chipped in crucial goals from the back, while Richarlison and Pape Matar Sarr remain dynamic if inconsistent threats.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Arsenal vs Tottenham stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the favourite

• Moneyline Arsenal 1.41 | Tottenham 7.80
• Draw 4.70
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 2.10
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.75

The bookies reflect Arsenal’s formidable form and Tottenham’s inconsistency. With odds as low as 1.41 on a home win, it’s clear where the weight of expectation lies. Under 2.5 goals is slightly longer but intriguing, given Arsenal’s strong defence and Tottenham’s patchy attack. BTTS ‘No’ offers decent value if you expect Arsenal to keep things tight at the back. Overall, punters fancy an Arsenal win – and with good cause.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Arsenal possible starting eleven

This Arsenal side is a picture of balance. Raya’s consistency between the sticks gives confidence to a back four that combines White’s versatility, Saliba’s composure, Timber’s energy, and Gabriel’s physicality. Declan Rice shields the defence adeptly, with Merino and Zubimendi pulling strings in midfield. The front three, led by Saka’s trickery and Trossard’s movement, supported by the emerging Nwaneri, ought to stretch Tottenham’s back line. Expect Arteta to maintain his favoured 4-2-3-1, ensuring plenty of support on the flanks and swift transitions from defence to attack.

Tottenham possible starting eleven

Thomas Frank will likely persist with his own 4-2-3-1, asking van de Ven and Danso to anchor the centre of defence, flanked by the energetic Porro and Spence. Kinsky has become preferred in goal of late. Bentancur, Sarr, and Palhinha offer athleticism and a touch of industry in midfield, but ball retention could be the challenge. In attack, Johnson’s speed, Richarlison’s battling instincts, and Muani’s link-up play are Tottenham’s best bet for unsettling the Gunners if they can break the press. Watch for van de Ven’s set-piece threat – the big man has a habit of popping up in key moments.

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My take on the Match

My main pick: Arsenal victory. With home advantage, a clear edge in both defensive and attacking metrics, and a squad brimming with confidence, all roads point towards an Emirates triumph. Tottenham are not short on attacking options, and van de Ven’s knack for clutch contributions remains a worry, but the gulf in form is too pronounced to ignore. Could it be closer than the odds suggest? Perhaps – this is the derby, after all! But we fancy Arsenal to dictate tempo and claim a professional win in a match where discipline and tactical sharpness may prove decisive. Supporters on either side: this rivalry rarely disappoints.

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