Sofia Quijada
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World champions Argentina welcome Benin to El Monumental for a friendly that looks, on paper, as uneven as the fixture list gets. Lionel Scaloni’s side arrive on the back of a 7-0 demolition of Burkina Faso, their fourteenth win in fifteen outings, while Gernot Rohr’s Benin have won only one of their last four games and travel to Buenos Aires with a defense that has leaked goals against sides far weaker than the hosts. The gap in quality is the real story here, not the result itself.
Watch Lautaro Martínez, who has scored twice and set up another in his last two caps and tends to feed off the kind of space Benin’s back line is likely to offer. On the other side, Rodolfo Aloko carries Benin’s attacking hopes, having scored both of his team’s goals across their last five matches and representing almost their entire outlet on the counter.
Hot stat: Argentina have outscored their opponents 11-0 across their last two fixtures and attempted 48 shots to Benin’s 21 across their own last five games combined, a gap that says plenty about where this one is heading.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Friendly 2026 |
| 🏟 Venue: | El Monumental, Buenos Aires |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Argentina vs Benin prediction
Backing Argentina outright carries almost no value given the prices on offer, so our staff leans toward goal markets instead. Argentina have scored eleven goals without reply in their last two games and Benin have conceded in four of their last five, which points to a heavy home win rather than a tight affair. We predict Argentina to win comfortably and cover a high goal line, with the smart money sitting on the total rather than the result.
Argentina’s passing numbers, 1,595 attempted and a near elite accuracy rate across their last five games, dwarf Benin’s 579 attempts, and that gulf in possession tends to translate into territorial domination at home. Benin foul more (35 against Argentina’s 20) and pick up more cards, a pattern that often shows up when a weaker side is chasing the ball for ninety minutes. Expect Argentina to control tempo from the first whistle, with Benin forced into a deeper, more reactive shape that limits their own threat going forward.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Argentina to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Argentina’s rout of Burkina Faso extended an unbeaten run that now stretches to fourteen wins in fifteen, with only a single slip in that stretch. The 7-0 scoreline featured goals spread across the squad, Lautaro Martínez, Nico Paz and Giuliano Simeone among the scorers, and continued a trend of the first team squad putting weaker opposition away with minimal fuss. In our preview of Argentina vs Burkina Faso we called a routine home win with goals flowing at both ends, and the 7-0 result delivered the win and the goal avalanche, though Burkina Faso never got on the scoresheet themselves, so the both teams to score part of that call missed.
Benin’s most recent outing against Mauritania ended 2-1 in their favour, a result that stopped a run of mixed form but still showed defensive gaps, conceding against a side with modest attacking output themselves. Rohr’s team have alternated wins, losses and draws for most of this year, and a 43 percent winrate across fourteen matches this season underlines the inconsistency. In our preview of Benin vs Mauritania we called Mauritania to edge it or share the points on the back of cleaner recent form, and the 2-1 scoreline swung the other way, so that call went against us.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Argentina and Benin have no recent competitive meetings on record, this friendly marks a fresh fixture between the two sides with no direct history to draw from.
🚨Check out our dedicated Argentina vs Benin stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Argentina the favourite
- Moneyline Argentina 1.02 | Benin 47.94
- Draw 21.03
Bookmakers price Argentina at roughly 86 percent to win, and sharp books like Pinnacle back that up with a moneyline around 1.02 for the hosts against 47.94 for Benin. There is no realistic value on the match result itself, the gap between the sides is too wide, so our angle stays on the goal markets instead where the pricing still leaves room to find an edge.
Possible Starting Lineups
Argentina possible starting eleven
- GK: Emiliano Martínez
- DF: Cristian Romero, Lisandro Martínez, Leonardo Balerdi, Agustin Giay
- MF: Alexis Mac Allister, Exequiel Palacios, Nico Paz, Valentin Barco
- FW: Lautaro Martínez, Julián Álvarez
Scaloni tends to stick with his most used names in friendlies, and Mac Allister, Romero and Lautaro Martínez all remain central to the setup. Expect a 4-4-2 with Nico Paz given freedom to drift forward off the back of his two goals in the last two caps, while Lautaro and Álvarez rotate the central roles up top.
Benin possible starting eleven
- GK: Marcel Dandjinou
- DF: Yohan Roche, Mohamed Tijani, Tamimou Ouorou, Charlemagne Azongnitode
- MF: Junior Olaitan, Sessi D’Almeida, Imourane Hassane, Aiyegun Tosin, Yamirou Ouorou
- FW: Rodolfo Aloko
Rohr is likely to stick with the 4-1-4-1 shape used across the last five matches, with Olaitan sitting as the screen in front of the back four. Aloko leads the line as the side’s only reliable source of goals, with Yamirou Ouorou and Tosin tasked with supporting from wide areas on the break.
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Benin. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Argentina’s attacking numbers from the last two matches, eleven goals, zero conceded, nearly fifty shots, make a strong case for another lopsided scoreline at El Monumental. Benin have shown they can score against sides of similar level, but their defensive record against stronger opposition points to real trouble containing Lautaro Martínez and company. We predict a comfortable Argentina win, Over 3.5 total goals, and Benin failing to find the net, with the hosts settling things well before the hour mark.
