Al-Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq Prediction: 25.12.2025 Saudi Pro League

With both Al-Riyadh and Al Ettifaq jostling for crucial points mid-table in the Saudi Pro League, this 25 December clash at the Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium offers intriguing value for bettors. Despite the festive date, there’s little holiday spirit in the standings—Al-Riyadh sit in 14th after a challenging run, while Al Ettifaq enter ninth with a superior recent record and ambitions to climb higher. What makes this encounter compelling is the contrast in recent form: one side struggling for wins, the other riding a perfect December.

Two key players to watch: Moussa Dembélé (Al Ettifaq) is in red-hot form after a recent brace, while Álvaro Medrán’s midfield vision continues to orchestrate Al Ettifaq’s most dangerous moves. On the other side, Al-Riyadh’s attack will hope Fábio Abreu can rediscover his scoring touch for a side that’s found the net just 10 times in nine league appearances.

Hot stat: Al Ettifaq have scored three goals in each of their last two league wins, showing renewed attacking intent—a trend rarely seen from Al-Riyadh this season.

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Al-Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq prediction

The best value prediction is Al Ettifaq Draw No Bet. Their away form is outstanding, with a 100 percent win rate in the last 30 days and back-to-back 3-2 victories over Al-Fayha and Al Fateh. Al-Riyadh, in contrast, have registered only one win in their last nine league games and kept just one clean sheet. The logical conclusion is to side with the more consistent, prolific visitors—especially as Dembélé and Wijnaldum are both fit and in confident spirits.

Both teams play with attacking structures—Al Ettifaq typically opting for 4-3-3 and Al-Riyadh for 4-2-3-1. However, Al Ettifaq demonstrate superior ball retention (277 passes in their last five matches), while Al-Riyadh’s lack of goals and tendency to concede early leaves them vulnerable. Al Ettifaq do pick up more fouls (13 in their most recent game), indicating an aggressive pressing game that could draw cards and present opportunities for free kicks and counter-attacks. A moderate number of corners is likely given both sides’ direct approaches, but don’t expect fireworks—Al-Riyadh struggle to convert shots into goals. Key difference-maker: Al Ettifaq’s recent attacking efficiency and ability to capitalize on defensive lapses.

Team Analysis

Al-Riyadh Recent Games (focus: last match vs Al Ittihad 1-2):
Al-Riyadh’s form remains unpredictable. Their most recent fixture was a 1-2 loss to a strong Al Ittihad side. Despite holding the visitors scoreless in the first half, they couldn’t maintain momentum and conceded twice after the break. Statistically, Al-Riyadh have averaged only ten goals in nine matches, their lowest tally among the league’s bottom-four. The lack of creative spark and low shots on target have consistently limited their scoring opportunities. Defensively, the 4-2-3-1 hasn’t translated to stability—they continue to be outnumbered during transitional phases.

Al Ettifaq Recent Games (focus: last match vs Al Fateh 3-2):
By contrast, Al Ettifaq are on the up, notching consecutive high-scoring victories. In their 3-2 triumph over Al Fateh, Dembélé delivered two goals while Wijnaldum added another, demonstrating their attacking prowess. Their blend of experience and athleticism—displaying both clinical finishing and solid midfield play—helped overcome defensive lapses. Ball progression is notable, with Medrán and Hendry consistently posting pass accuracy rates above 85 percent. The 4-3-3 system is yielding tangible attacking results, and the new-found confidence is evident throughout the squad.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Al-Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Ettifaq the favourite

• Moneyline Al-Riyadh 3.05 | Al Ettifaq 2.17
• Draw 3.22
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.88 | Under 2.5 1.94
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.70 | No 2.05

The odds clearly reflect the confidence in Al Ettifaq’s recent form and firepower—bookmakers back them as favourites, notably on the road, even though historically away sides face a challenge in Riyadh. The value on Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score aligns with both squads showing recent defensive vulnerabilities but also the attacking capability to find the net. Al-Riyadh’s tough run justifies their underdog status, while Al Ettifaq’s uptick in results – especially Dembélé’s finishing – underpins their market edge.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Al-Riyadh possible starting eleven

Al-Riyadh are set to continue in a 4-2-3-1, built for defensive solidity but struggling to produce goals. With Hawsawi between the sticks and Calvo anchoring the backline, expect Abreu to lead the line in search of a breakthrough. The midfield trio need to support the attack more actively if Al-Riyadh hope to upset the odds. Player to watch: Fábio Abreu, who could be key to breaking their scoring drought.

Al Ettifaq possible starting eleven

Al Ettifaq’s high-performing 4-3-3 ensures balance between defense and offense. Rodák is reliable in goal, while Hendry and Al-Hindi provide a strong presence in defense. Medrán and Wijnaldum dictate midfield tempo, and Dembélé’s clinical finishing poses the main threat. The wide attacking options, supported by energetic midfield play, are likely to trouble Al-Riyadh’s back line for 90 minutes. Player to watch: Moussa Dembélé, in top form and looking to add to his goal tally.

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My take on the Match

My main pick is Al Ettifaq Draw No Bet. The visitors have shown genuine momentum in both results and attacking output, with Dembélé’s current hot streak and the creative force of Medrán and Wijnaldum underpinning their threat. Al-Riyadh, handicapped by a weak attack and leaky defense, will need something extraordinary to turn the tide. Expect goals at both ends, but the edge lies with the away side, making Al Ettifaq the value pick for punters.

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