Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Songshan Longmen Prediction: 26.06.2025 Chinese Super League Preview

Midway through the Chinese Super League season, the clash between Yunnan Yukun and Henan Songshan Longmen offers more than just points—it’s a meeting between two sides searching for consistency and upward momentum. Yunnan Yukun, newly perched in the league’s upper mid-table, host a Henan outfit who have only begun to rediscover their spark after a rocky spell. With both managers, Jorn Andersen and Daniel Ramos, renowned for their tactical astuteness, there’s intrigue surrounding how each will approach the contest—especially considering recent gains and stumbles from either side.

Eyes will naturally settle on Oscar Maritu for Yunnan Yukun, whose energy up front has unsettled defences even when goals haven’t always flowed, and on Henan’s Frank Acheampong—a player whose recent form has been the driving force behind their two most recent victories. No less important in the midfield battle are Alexandru Ionita’s distribution and Bruno Nazário’s playmaking—a subplot likely to shape both rhythm and outcome.

Hot stat: In the last five matches, Henan Songshan Longmen have bagged seven goals—an attacking surge compared to Yunnan Yukun’s two over the same stretch.

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Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Songshan Longmen prediction

The odds are as tight as the table positions, with both teams showing flashes of form but also hints of vulnerability. Henan’s recent upturn in front of goal offers plenty to admire, yet Yunnan Yukun have only dropped one in their last five and have been stubborn defensively at home, illustrated by a 1-0 win over Tianjin not long ago. Both tend to play combative football—Henan leading the way with 29 fouls in their last five, Yunnan not far behind with 14.

Expectations are for a close, possibly scrappy affair—Yunnan’s likely sticking with their 4-3-3, pressing for wide overloads, while Henan’s 4-4-2 could see them outnumbered in midfield but lethal on the counter. Yukun’s relatively low goal output lately favours a cautious approach, but Henan’s attacking purple patch shouldn’t be ignored.

Yunnan are more stable at home and commit fewer fouls, helping them maintain structure. Henan, for all their recent goals, are prone to disciplinary lapses—five yellows in their last five matches compared to Yunnan’s two. Ball possession is expected to be fairly even, but given the direct styles on both sides, set-pieces and transitions may ultimately decide the day. Defences will dominate, with clearances and high balls the order of the afternoon.

Team Analysis

Yunnan Yukun: Their last five show a side tightening up—two wins, two clean sheets, and only two goals conceded. Their recent 2-1 victory against Shaanxi Union was a slugfest, edges found more in organisation than flashes of brilliance. Alexandru Ionita, deployed centrally, racked up five shots and played a key ball-winning role, and defensive stalwarts like Dilmurat Mawlanniyaz shielded well. However, the muted attack (two goals in five) is a concern, with Oscar Maritu working tirelessly but often isolated.

Henan Songshan Longmen: On the up after a difficult spell, Henan’s recent games brim with attacking intent—highlighted by a 3-2 win over Zhejiang Professional. Acheampong has found his scoring boots with two in two, while Bruno Nazário’s creative stats (71 pass accuracy and three fouls won) underline his influence. Still, the defensive line remains susceptible, as evidenced by the three goals shipped to Shanghai Port. The abundance of corners (18 in five) points to Henan’s reliance on width and crossing potency.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Yunnan Yukun vs Henan Songshan Longmen stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Yunnan Yukun the favourite

• Moneyline Yunnan Yukun 2.40 | Henan Songshan Longmen 2.70
• Draw 3.65
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.83 | No 2.00

The bookmakers are leaning oh-so-slightly toward Yunnan Yukun, owing largely to their home steadiness and Henan’s defensive frailties. Prices on a draw or a low-scoring game hold considerable value, considering Yunnan’s discipline and Henan’s penchant for both scoring and conceding in bursts. The probability spread highlights how difficult it is to split the sides—expect a tense, tactical chess match rather than end-to-end fireworks.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Yunnan Yukun possible starting eleven

This selection leans on chemistry and recent appearances, with Ma Zhen establishing himself as the go-to keeper after recent consistent outings. Mawlanniyaz and Martinez add steel at the back, while Ionita and Correia excel in disrupting opposition tempo. Maritu heads the line in the central role of the 4-3-3, supported by Henrique and Han Zilong. Yunnan’s emphasis is likely to be on compactness and sharp counters, with set-piece threats from the centre-backs and Ionita.

Henan Songshan Longmen possible starting eleven

Henan stick with the tried-and-true 4-4-2, having found a rhythm with Acheampong and Wanderson up top—a pairing responsible for direct attacking play and counter-pressing. Nazário’s distribution from midfield will be key, while Maidana and Shinar anchor the defence. Watch especially for Acheampong’s darting runs and Nazário’s set-piece deliveries, as Henan aim to capitalise on transition moments.

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My take on the Match

If recent form holds sway, neutrals could be treated to a game of margins rather than mayhem. Yunnan Yukun’s home form and cohesive, if unspectacular, defensive structure make them the safer bet not to lose, yet Henan’s upward curve—driven by a revitalised attack—adds tantalising jeopardy. Our main pick: Yunnan Yukun Draw No Bet, underpinned by their tactical compactness and home discipline. It may not dazzle, but it could prove decisive in their campaign. For those seeking bolder odds, the lack of open attacking play tilts the scales to ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ as a genuine alternative.

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