Wolves vs Everton Prediction: 23.09.2025 EFL Cup 2025/26 Preview

A match under the Molineux lights always promises intrigue, and as Wolves host Everton in this EFL Cup Round of 32 encounter, both sides bring fresh challenges and undeniable ambition. Vitor Pereira’s Wolves have struggled for consistent form, but cup football often levels the playing field, especially when up against David Moyes’ revitalised Everton. The Toffees, buoyed by a recent uptick in results and a well-drilled 4-2-3-1 system, eye a deep cup run. With both teams deploying similar formations and each possessing spark in attack, the margins could be wafer-thin – especially considering the last meeting ended in a five-goal thriller!

It’s tempting to focus on big names, but eyes should be drawn to Rodrigo Gomes for Wolves, whose three goals in the last five matches reflect his ability to impact on big occasions, and Everton’s Beto, who has matched him strike for strike during the same period. These two men might just tip the scales.

The “hot stat”? Everton have netted 11 goals in their last 5 matches, an uptick in offensive efficiency that bodes well for neutrals craving entertainment.

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Wolves vs Everton Prediction

The best value pick for this match is Everton Draw No Bet. Although both squads are capable of producing moments of quality, Everton’s recent trend—three wins and a draw in their last five, including a gutsy victory over Wolves—suggests they possess slightly more stability through midfield and in the final third. Moyes’ side have also managed a goal surge without a significant loss of defensive discipline.

Both teams favour a 4-2-3-1, translating into packed midfields and plenty of duels. Wolves have amassed 11 yellow cards in their last five, slightly below Everton’s 12 – but total fouls (90 vs Everton’s 59) hint at a scrappier edge for the home side. Everton edge Wolves not just in goals, but in interceptions (65 to 54), suggesting an aggressive, ball-hunting approach likely to disrupt Wolves’ rhythm. Expect this physicality to produce chances at both ends, but also give Everton avenues for quick transitions.

Team Analysis

Wolves’ Recent Games

Wolves’ last outing ended in a 1-3 home defeat to Leeds—a performance that exposed their vulnerabilities in defence. Conceding three on home turf never sits comfortably, and while Rodrigo Gomes found the net, the wider malaise of four losses in five lingers. Previous matches included a tight 0-1 to Newcastle and a hard-fought but fruitless 2-3 loss to Everton, showing flashes in attack but ultimately lacking defensive solidity. Their only recent win came in a 3-2 scrap against West Ham, yet that chaotic contest did little to address their lack of structure at the back. The lack of draws over this period also underlines an all-or-nothing tendency—a style that could play into Everton’s hands if the Toffees remain disciplined and capitalise on Wolves’ openness.

Everton’s Recent Games

Everton’s 1-2 loss to Liverpool stung, but should be contextualised: the Reds have been in rampant form. Before that, Everton grabbed a creditable 0-0 at Villa Park, beat Wolves 3-2 in a rollercoaster, and showcased professionalism in dispatching both Mansfield and Brighton 2-0 at home. The Toffees have struck a healthy balance between offensive intent (11 goals in their last five) and measured ball retention, epitomised by Jack Grealish orchestrating build-up and Beto’s sharpness up front. Importantly, their defence shows signs of recovery, with Michael Keane and James Tarkowski increasingly solid, despite the odd lapse under pressure from elite pace.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Wolves vs Everton stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Everton the favourite

• Moneyline Wolves 2.86 | Everton 2.42
• Draw 3.35
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.93 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.93

While the bookies’ odds are relatively tight, the slight nod to Everton (2.42 vs Wolves’ 2.86) is justified by both recent form and the Toffees’ more balanced performances. Draws remain a distinct possibility given both sides’ tendencies for high-octane—sometimes error-prone—football, but Everton’s knack for edging close encounters sets them apart. Over 2.5 goals and BTTS both present value, echoing the attacking stats and recent head-to-heads.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Wolves possible starting eleven

Wolves are expected to set out in their favoured 4-2-3-1, with José Sá between the sticks. The backline relies on Emmanuel Agbadou for organisation, and Santiago Bueno’s ability to step into midfield. André and João Gomes provide dynamism, but all eyes will be on Rodrigo Gomes and Hwang Hee-Chan supplying pace and penetration from wide. Jörgen Strand Larsen could be the focal point up top, his two goals lately making him a threat. Rodrigo Gomes must be watched closely—the Portuguese attacker remains Wolves’ most likely match-winner.

Everton possible starting eleven

Moyes has leaned into a stable 4-2-3-1, and this likely continues. Jordan Pickford brings security in goal. James Tarkowski partners Michael Keane—a tandem that mixes strength and grit—while Séamus Coleman and Mykolenko offer width and defensive balance. In midfield, Idrissa Gueye and James Garner handle the dirty work, with the playmaking spark of Jack Grealish roaming in behind Beto and flanked by Dewsbury-Hall and Iliman Ndiaye. Beto and Ndiaye’s combined six goals in recent games show Everton’s intent, making them vital to any potential victory.

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My take on the Match

For all Wolves’ energy and set-piece threat, it’s Everton’s blend of defensive leadership and sharper finishing that claims the edge in this contest. Our main pick is Everton Draw No Bet, offering both value and a layer of safety given their more stable results and knack for big performances away from Merseyside. Expect Wolves to have their moments—and if Rodrigo Gomes sparks, anything is possible—but over the course of 90 minutes, Everton’s superior recent record tilts the balance in their favour. If they control midfield, the Toffees should progress, but brace for drama in a cup that rarely fails to surprise!

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