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Wigan vs Wycombe Prediction: 23.09.2025 EFL Cup 2025/26 Preview

22.09.2025, 10:13

This EFL Cup Round of 32 tie at the DW Stadium sees Wigan Athletic hosting Wycombe Wanderers, with both sides eager to push deeper into the competition. While neither side comes into the fixture in red-hot form, their comparable win rates and recent encounters suggest another closely fought affair. Both managers, Ryan Lowe and Mike Dodds, are likely to field strong lineups, recognizing the cup as a platform for momentum and the prospect of silverware. Notably, their head-to-head history from last season in League One saw only a single goal scored across two matches, emphasizing each club’s defensive mindset when matched up directly.

Key players to monitor include Paul Mullin for Wigan, whose two goals and consistent threat in recent appearances could tip tight contests, and Wycombe’s Daniel Harvie, a fullback with goal-scoring capability and high defensive work rate. These individuals might provide the difference in a game expected to hinge on moments of quality.

Hot stat: Wycombe have committed a high 71 fouls across their last five outings, indicating a physical approach that may result in suspensions or set-piece opportunities for the hosts—something to watch closely both for card markets and potential game tempo disruption.

14:45Finished23.09.2025
0WiganEngland
2WycombeEngland
🏆 Tournament: EFL Cup 2025/26, Round of 32
🏟 Venue: DW Stadium, Wigan
🗓️ Date: 23.09.2025
⏰ Time: 21:45 CEST

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Wigan vs Wycombe prediction

From a betting perspective, this cup tie is finely poised. The hosts are marginal favorites according to bookmakers, holding a 41 percent win probability compared to Wycombe’s 31 percent, reflecting a consensus that home advantage may be decisive. However, Wigan are winless in their last two matches, conceding five goals, while Wycombe picked up a confidence-boosting win over Northampton but have also lost three of their past seven. The value lies in a “Draw No Bet” on Wigan at around 1.65, offering insurance if this proves as closely contested as statistical trends indicate.

Tactically, both teams use similar 4-2-3-1 formations. Wigan’s attack leans on fluid midfield movement while their defense showed vulnerability in the heavy defeat to Bolton. Meanwhile, Wycombe’s high volume of fouls and yellow cards (nine in last five matches) point to a combative, sometimes risky style which could result in set plays for Wigan. With both sides averaging just above a goal per match recently, a lower-scoring contest is more probable, especially considering each club’s pass accuracy remains modest (Wigan 56 percent, Wycombe 65 percent) and neither side has hit double-digit corners in any of their last five matches.

🔥Hot Tip: Wigan Draw No Bet
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Under 10.5

Team Analysis

Wigan Recent Games:
Wigan’s last result, a 1-4 home defeat against Bolton, raised concerns about defensive depth and match control, particularly as their opponent was in strong form but not dominating possession in most fixtures. Prior to that, a 3-0 win over Doncaster signaled offensive promise, but the subsequent 2-2 draw with Lincoln and a 0-2 loss to Salford illustrated ongoing inconsistency. Across their past five, they’ve scored seven goals and conceded nine, suggesting a slightly leaky backline but enough attacking edge to challenge.

07:30Finished20.09.2025
4BoltonEngland
1WiganEngland

Wycombe Recent Games:
Wycombe’s most notable recent result is the 2-0 victory against Northampton, breaking a mixed run of results that included a 1-2 home defeat to Peterborough and a 2-0 success over Mansfield. Wycombe tallied six goals and conceded six in their last five, with their most consistent theme being physical matches—71 fouls and nine yellow cards across those fixtures highlights potential for disruption and defensive imbalance if officials take a strict view.

10:00Finished20.09.2025
2WycombeEngland
0NorthamptonEngland

Wycombe. Source: Official Website

Wycombe. Source: Official Website

Possible Starting Lineups

Wigan possible starting eleven

  • GK: Sam Tickle
  • DF: Morgan Fox, Will Aimson, Steven Sessegnon, Jason Kerr
  • MF: Fraser Murray, Matthew Smith, Babajide Adeeko, Ryan Trevitt, Callum Wright
  • FW: Paul Mullin

This lineup is based on player usage and contributions across Wigan’s recent matches. Paul Mullin anchors the forward line thanks to his scoring efficiency. The midfield blend of Murray, Smith, and Adeeko supports both sides of the ball, while Aimson and Fox provide production and passing stability at the back. Expect a 4-2-3-1 formation with Murray and Wright given license to create.

Wycombe possible starting eleven

  • GK: Mikki van Sas
  • DF: Daniel Harvie, Jack Grimmer, Connor Taylor, Finley Back
  • MF: Luke Leahy, George Abbott, Fred Onyedinma, Taylor Allen, Ewan Henderson
  • FW: Cauley Woodrow

Wycombe’s selection emphasizes strength in midfield, with Leahy and Abbott often dictating play. Daniel Harvie’s recent goalscoring from defense keeps him in the XI, while Woodrow is the key target man. The 4-2-3-1 system will rely heavily on Harvie and Onyedinma overlapping to support Woodrow, but also requires strict discipline given their foul count.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Wigan Wycombe
Goals 0 1
Total shots 8 9
Free kicks 14 16
Corner kicks 7 5
Total fouls 16 18
Pass accuracy (%) 57 63
Interceptions 12 13
Offsides 3 2

🚨Read our full Wigan vs Wycombe stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Wigan the favourite

  • Moneyline Wigan 2.36 | Wycombe 3.06
  • Draw 3.30
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.72
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.99 | No 1.75

Bookmakers rate Wigan as narrow favorites based on home advantage and marginally better underlying stats, while the over/under numbers signal an expectation for a tight, low-scoring game. The implied probability (~41 percent for Wigan) matches their recent home form, but Wycombe’s disruptive style and recent away record cut into their edge. Backing Wigan with draw protection appears to be the outcome with the most value given current price and trendlines.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Wigan. Source: Official Website

Wigan. Source: Official Website

My take on the Match

The main pick for this clash is Wigan Draw No Bet. Statistically, the match is likely to be tight and contested in midfield, with both sides showing similar scoring and conceding profiles through recent games. The key variables are home advantage for Wigan and Wycombe’s high foul count, which may result in bookings or dangerous free kicks. Wigan’s defensive inconsistencies are a concern but their overall squad balance at home makes them marginally more trustworthy. A low-scoring affair is anticipated; under 2.5 goals also holds value given the pragmatic approach of both teams and the recent head-to-head record.

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