Sofia Quijada
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Aldosivi host Union de Santa Fe at the Estadio Jose Maria Minella in Mar del Plata on 21 August in a Clausura fixture that pits two of the division’s early stragglers against each other. Both sides sit at the bottom of the table, but Union arrive as the better-ranked team with 4 points to Aldosivi’s 2, making this a genuinely consequential six-pointer. Israel Damonte’s side are yet to win in the Clausura, and a home crowd that has seen just one win across their last six matches will be demanding a response.
Midfielder Lucas Menossi is the standout name in Union’s squad, contributing 2 goals and a team-high presence in central areas across the last five matches. For Aldosivi, winger Alan Sosa leads the hosts in total shots (14) and interceptions (13), combining defensive and attacking work in a way that makes him the engine of their 4-2-3-1 shape.
A hot stat worth flagging: Union de Santa Fe have conceded 8 goals in just 5 Clausura matches, averaging 1.6 per game, yet their attacking output of 5 goals in the last five fixtures shows they are capable of scoring at the other end. Aldosivi’s defense has shipped 6 in the same span, so goals from both sides are a real possibility here.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Argentine Primera Division 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata |
| 🗓️ Date: | 21.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Aldosivi vs Union de Santa Fe Prediction
The bookmakers price Union de Santa Fe as clear favorites at roughly 42% implied probability, and the underlying data supports that view. Union’s season winrate of 33% dwarfs Aldosivi’s 9%, and even accounting for home advantage, Damonte’s team has been strikingly inconsistent, picking up just 2 points in 5 Clausura games. Union’s form over the last 30 days (20% winrate) is marginally better than Aldosivi’s 17%, and their global club ranking is considerably stronger.
Both teams commit fouls at a moderate rate, with Union recording 73 total fouls across five matches against Aldosivi’s 67. Union also show slightly more yellow cards per game on average, suggesting they press higher and contest the ball more aggressively. Aldosivi’s pass accuracy in recent games sits lower than Union’s, pointing to a side that struggles to build through pressure. That style mismatch favors Union in a game where controlling tempo will matter.
We predict Union de Santa Fe to win or at least avoid defeat, with goals likely at both ends given the defensive fragility on show from both clubs. The best value market is Union de Santa Fe on the double chance (Draw or Union win), which covers the most probable outcomes at reasonable odds.
- Best Bet: Union de Santa Fe Double Chance (Draw or Away Win)
- Value Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes
- Longshot: Over 2.5 Goals
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Union de Santa Fe Double Chance (Draw or Away Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 1.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Aldosivi have been deeply inconsistent across recent weeks. Their last five Clausura matches produced zero wins, two draws, and three losses. The most recent result was a 0-0 draw against Tigre, a point that felt more like relief than progress for a team that managed just 67 total shots across five games. Before that, they fell 1-2 to Rosario Central and 1-2 to Gimnasia LP. Their lone Clausura draw before the Tigre game came against Defensa y Justicia (1-1). Scoring has been a persistent issue, with just 3 goals in 5 matches, and their pass accuracy of roughly 69% (1096 out of 1583 passes) is the lowest of the two sides here.
Union de Santa Fe arrive off a 0-1 defeat to San Lorenzo in their most recent outing, a result that continued a difficult run. Their last five matches show one win (2-1 vs Lanus), one draw (2-2 vs Platense), and three losses. The defeat to Central Cordoba (1-2) and the home loss to Gimnasia Mendoza (0-2) highlight defensive vulnerability, particularly against sides with direct forward play. To their credit, Union have created more chances (66 shots) and accumulated more passing volume (1759 passes, 73% accuracy) than Aldosivi, suggesting their underlying quality is higher even if results have not followed.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Aldosivi | Union de Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Aldosivi vs Union de Santa Fe stats page for more info.
The head-to-head record slightly favors Aldosivi historically, with two wins from three recent meetings including a 2-0 win in the 2025 Regular Season and a 2-1 win earlier that year. Union’s only H2H win came in the 2026 Apertura (1-0). That said, Aldosivi’s current form makes a repeat of those performances difficult to project.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Union de Santa Fe the favourite
- Moneyline Aldosivi 3.50 | Union de Santa Fe 2.20
- Draw 2.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The moneyline odds of around 3.50 on Aldosivi reflect their poor run accurately. Union at 2.20 is fair given their superior squad depth and global ranking, though their own recent form means this price is not a lock. The draw at 2.90 is interesting given that both teams have drawn frequently across recent fixtures, but we lean toward Union taking all three points given the quality gap on paper.
Possible Starting Lineups
Aldosivi possible starting eleven
- GK: Ignacio Chicco
- DF: Nestor Breitenbruch, Leonardo Sigali, Nicolas Zalazar, Federico Laurelli
- MF: Lucas Castro, Matias Godoy, Martín García
- FW: Alan Sosa, Nicolás Cordero, Tomás Fernández
Damonte has consistently relied on a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Ignacio Chicco as the first-choice goalkeeper despite Lucas Acosta splitting minutes. The back four of Breitenbruch, Sigali, Zalazar, and Laurelli has been the most consistent defensive unit. Lucas Castro and Matias Godoy anchor the double pivot, with Castro logging the most playing time of any outfield player (405 minutes). Alan Sosa is the key attacking threat, operating from a wide position with the highest shot count in the squad.
Union de Santa Fe possible starting eleven
- GK: Matías Mansilla
- DF: Juan Pablo Ludueña, Lautaro Vargas, Bruno Pittón, Joaquin Mosqueira
- MF: Julián Palacios, Lucas Menossi, Victor Malcorra, Emilio Giaccone
- FW: Cristian Tarragona, Marcelo Estigarriba
Madelón typically sets up in a 4-4-2, and Matías Mansilla (19 saves across five matches) is comfortably the first choice between the posts. Ludueña and Vargas are the most experienced defensive options, with Ludueña also contributing a goal from set pieces. The midfield four is built around Palacios and Menossi, the latter being Union’s top scorer with 2 goals. Cristian Tarragona leads the line with 1 goal and 1 assist, making him the focal point of Union’s attack alongside Estigarriba.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Aldosivi. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
This is a low-quality fixture between two sides struggling at the wrong end of the Clausura table, but Union de Santa Fe carry meaningfully better credentials. Their pass accuracy, shot volume, and season winrate all exceed Aldosivi’s, and their squad depth is greater. Aldosivi have not won in five Clausura games and have scored just 3 goals across that stretch, which is a serious concern at home. Union’s own defensive record is poor (8 goals conceded in 5 games), so Aldosivi may find the net, but we predict Union de Santa Fe to take the three points, with goals on both sides a likely subplot. The double chance on Union remains the safest entry point, and BTTS Yes adds value given both backlines’ recent frailty.
