Verona vs Como Prediction: 18.05.2025 Serie A Preview

The Serie A campaign edges towards an exciting conclusion at Marc’Antonio Bentegodi as struggling Verona host a surging Como side on 18 May 2025. While Verona fight to steer clear of the relegation threat, Como arrive full of belief, buoyed by a five-match winning streak that’s thrust them comfortably into mid-table. An intriguing subplot? Newly installed coaches at both camps: Paolo Zanetti for the hosts and Cesc Fàbregas—ever the midfield maestro—guiding the visitors. How will their tactical preferences shape this encounter, and can Verona quell Como’s momentum, or will Fàbregas notch another impressive result to his burgeoning managerial CV?

Key players to watch? For Verona, versatile defender Diego Coppola has recently found the net and is crucial to their defensive structure. For Como, Gabriel Strefezza stands out, having contributed three goals and an assist in his last four games, his attacking drive pivotal for Fàbregas’ game plan.

The “hot stat” belongs to Como: five wins in five matches, with eight goals scored and just two conceded—a form that makes them the division’s most in-form side outside the top four.

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Verona vs Como prediction

Given both teams’ current trajectories, the best value lies with backing Como for at least a draw, with “Como Draw No Bet” standing out as a prudent market. Como’s remarkable form—five wins from five, a potent attack and solid recent defensive numbers—contrast sharply with Verona’s winless five-game stretch.

Stylistically, Como under Fàbregas utilises a 4-2-3-1 fueled by high pass completion (84.6%) and measured build-up play, as shown by their 1,894 passes over the last five games (compared to Verona’s 1,479). They also win more corners (20 vs Verona’s 14) and generate more shots (56 vs 26), suggesting sustained attacking pressure. Verona, meanwhile, have shown discipline but struggle up front, notching a solitary goal in five games and struggling to convert possession into clear chances—a critical weakness against Como’s energetic midfield trio led by Paz and Caqueret. However, Verona tend to play with urgency and physicality, racking up 59 fouls and 11 yellow cards in five games. That aggressiveness could either unsettle Como or cost them dearly in set-piece situations.

Team Analysis

Verona recent games: Verona’s last five matches have been a catalogue of frustration: two draws and three losses, scoring just once. Their 1-1 draw with Lecce showed defensive organisation, but toothlessness in front of goal. They mustered just four shots on target and lost the midfield battle; Coppola’s goal was a rare highlight for a side overly reliant on set pieces and battling for every point.

Como recent games: In stark contrast, Como have claimed five consecutive wins, including a 3-1 triumph over Cagliari and a 3-0 masterclass against Lecce. Their attacking trio of Strefezza, Cutrone, and the versatile Paz have contributed directly to eight goals, while defensively Como have kept things tight with Jean Butez commanding in goal and Goldaniga and Kempf marshalling the backline. Their 1-0 win versus Parma typified their style: patient ball retention, crisp forward lines, and decisive moments in transition.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Verona vs Como stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite

• Moneyline Verona 3.50 | Como 2.16
• Draw 3.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.81
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.05 | No 1.75

These odds reflect the clear momentum shift toward Como, who have been made favourites by bookmakers despite being away from home—a rarity in Serie A when facing a traditional club like Verona. Verona’s anaemic attack and porous defence (just one goal scored and seven conceded in their last five matches) justify the long odds, while Como’s blend of creativity and steel, plus their 44 percent win probability, underpins their price. The smart money leans towards Como safely escaping with at least a draw, if not a narrow win.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

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The Verdict

With momentum firmly with Como, I tip the visitors to come away with a hard-fought win, but Verona’s desperate need for points might tighten things up. Como’s class and form in midfield should gradually wear down a plucky but limited Verona side. Expect a cagey start, but if Como assert their tempo, a 2-0 or 1-0 away victory feels most probable. For those hedging their bets, Como “Draw No Bet” is value, but all the statistics—and current trajectory—point in Fàbregas’ direction. Could Como’s run continue to sneak them towards European contention? With their style under Fàbregas, don’t write them off just yet!

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