Rafael Nogueira
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Vasco welcome bottom half rivals Remo to São Januário with momentum firmly on their side. Pedro Emanuel’s side have won four of their last five outings and sit just outside the relegation mess, while Remo arrive winless in three and mired in 19th place, only two points above the drop zone. The gulf in form is stark: Vasco have scored 11 goals in their last five matches, Remo have managed just 3. This fixture carries real weight for Remo’s survival hopes, but the numbers point one way.
Facundo Colidio has been Vasco’s sharpest attacking weapon lately, posting 2 goals, an assist and 14 shots across three appearances, a shot volume that outpaces almost every teammate. On the Remo side, Vitor Bueno stands out with 11 shots and a goal in three games, the clearest sign of attacking intent from an otherwise blunt squad.
Hot stat: Vasco have out-shot opponents 77-49 and out-intercepted them 65-26 across their last five matches, a defensive and attacking gap that mirrors exactly what separates these two sides in the table.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | São Januário, Rio de Janeiro |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:00 CEST |
Vasco vs Remo prediction
We predict Vasco to win comfortably, perhaps by a two goal margin or more. Pedro Emanuel’s men have won four of five, scored 11 in that span, and face a Remo defense that has leaked goals all season, 33 conceded in 29 games with only 5 wins to their name. Backing Vasco on the match result alone looks safe given the bookmakers price them around 1.27-1.31, but there is extra value in combining that with a goal line market given the attacking disparity.
Vasco’s discipline has improved too, just 4 yellow cards across their last five games against Remo’s 5, and their pass accuracy of 84% dwarfs Remo’s 86% raw completion rate once volume is considered since Vasco complete far more total passes per match (1945 vs 1423). Remo foul more relative to their possession share and have conceded a red card in the sample, a sign of a side chasing games under pressure. That profile suggests Vasco control tempo and territory, which should translate into a goal heavy afternoon at São Januário.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Vasco to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Vasco go into this one on a four match winning run punctuated by a single draw, and their last outing summed up the run perfectly. They edged Botafogo RJ 2-1 away from home, a derby result that kept their late season push alive. In our preview of Botafogo RJ vs Vasco we backed Vasco to win the game outright behind their sharper attacking form, and the 2-1 scoreline delivered exactly that call. Before that they thrashed Coritiba 5-0 and beat Santa Fe twice, scoring freely against sides of varying quality. The pattern is clear: Vasco create chances in bulk and are now converting them with real consistency.
Remo’s recent run tells the opposite story. Their last match ended 1-1 away at Gremio, a result that at least stopped the bleeding after back to back losses to Santos and Bahia. In our preview of Remo vs Gremio we predicted Gremio would leave Mangueirao unbeaten through a draw or narrow win, and the 1-1 draw landed that call. Remo have scored only once in three of their last five games and have lost to Coritiba and Flamengo in that stretch too, a run that leaves them with a single win in their last seven outings across all competitions.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Vasco and Remo have not met in a competitive fixture recently, there is no played head-to-head record between these two sides in the available data to draw statistics from.
🚨Check out our dedicated Vasco vs Remo stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Vasco the favourite
- Moneyline Vasco 1.30 | Remo 9.54
- Draw 5.57
The market leans heavily on Vasco, implying a win probability near 72%, roughly in line with their recent form and home advantage at São Januário. Remo’s price above 9.00 reflects their 0% winrate over the last 30 days and a defense that has not held firm in weeks. We see little value backing the draw at over 5.50 given how one sided the recent trends look, a Vasco win covers the most realistic outcome by a wide margin.
Possible Starting Lineups
Vasco possible starting eleven
- GK:Léo Jardim
- DF:Paulo Henrique, Jose Luis Rodriguez, Lucas Piton, Cuiabano
- MF:Jair, Thiago Mendes, Santiago Sosa
- FW:David, Adson, Bruno Duarte Da Silva
Pedro Emanuel should stick with the 4-2-3-1 shape that has brought four wins from five. Léo Jardim keeps his place after starting every match in the sample, while Sosa and Mendes anchor midfield behind a front line built around David’s two goals and Colidio’s sharper shot numbers off the bench. Watch Adson for width and Cuiabano’s overlapping runs from left back.
Remo possible starting eleven
- GK:Marcelo Rangel
- DF:Leonardo Andrade, Marllon, Matheus Alexandre, Marlon
- MF:Ze Ricardo, Vitor Bueno, Leonel Picco, Glaybson Yago, Antonio Galeano
- FW:Jáderson Flores dos Reis
Thiago Carpini likely sticks with the 4-1-4-1 setup, Ze Ricardo sitting as the single pivot in front of a back four that has struggled to keep clean sheets. Vitor Bueno carries most of the attacking threat with 11 shots in three games, and Marllon’s lone goal from defense shows where some of Remo’s rare chances have come from.
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Remo. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We predict a comfortable Vasco win, likely 2-0 or 3-1, built on their recent scoring burst and Remo’s inability to hold a clean sheet or create at the other end. Vasco’s territorial dominance, shown in the interception and pass volume gap, should produce enough chances to settle this inside the first hour. Remo’s away form offers little resistance, to be honest their 0% winrate in the last month makes this one of the more straightforward reads on the weekend card.
