Rafael Nogueira
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Belem hosts a nervy relegation-zone meeting as Remo welcome Gremio to the Mangueirao with just six points separating the two clubs near the foot of the table. Remo sit 19th with 23 points from 28 rounds, Gremio one place and six points better off in 17th. What makes this one worth a second look is the form gap underneath the table position: Remo have not won in their last five matches in any competition, while Gremio have managed only two wins from their last eight, a run that still edges out their hosts by a fair margin.
Antonio Galeano carries Remo’s attacking hopes as the only forward to start all five recent matches and log a game-high 248 minutes up front, though he is still searching for his first goal in that run. Carlos Vinicius does similar lone-striker duty for Gremio, racking up seven shots across his last five appearances, more than any other Gremio attacker in that sample.
Hot stat: Remo have lost five matches in a row heading into this one, scoring just two goals across that stretch while conceding ten, a number that explains why the home crowd in Belem has gone quiet.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Mangueirao, Belem |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:30 CEST |
Remo vs Gremio prediction
We lean toward Gremio avoiding defeat here, and the Double Chance market (Draw or Gremio) looks the sharper way to back that view rather than a straight away win. Remo’s home comfort is largely theoretical at this point, five straight losses strip away any confidence that the Mangueirao crowd can lift a side that has scored only twice in that run. Gremio, for all their own struggles, held Palmeiras to a clean sheet last time out and still boast more firepower in Carlos Vinicius and Tete than anything Remo can currently field.
Remo’s discipline numbers support a cagier read too. They have picked up just four yellow cards and thirty fouls across their last five matches, noticeably calmer than Gremio’s fourteen cards and fifty-nine fouls in the same span. Gremio’s higher foul count combined with Erick Noriega’s thirteen fouls alone in that stretch suggests referees will be busy in midfield, which could open space for quick Remo counters even if their final product remains blunt. Gremio’s pass accuracy and shot volume (45 shots to Remo’s 33 over five games) still point to the visitors controlling territory, even if they have not always converted that into points.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Half-Time Draw / Full-Time Gremio |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Remo’s losing run reads 1-2 to Santos, 1-2 to Bahia, 0-1 to Flamengo, 2-3 to Coritiba and 1-2 to Fluminense, five games without a single point and only two goals scored across all of them. The Santos defeat was the most recent, and Remo conceded twice while managing just one reply despite playing at home. In our preview of Remo vs Santos we backed a narrow Santos win with goals at both ends, and the 1-2 final score delivered exactly that read.
Gremio’s last five went 0-0 to Palmeiras, 2-3 to Botafogo, 1-2 to Vasco, 0-1 to Vitoria and 3-1 over Internacional, a run that shows genuine quality (the Internacional win) alongside defensive lapses (three conceded against Botafogo). The most recent result, a scoreless draw with Palmeiras, hints at a side tightening up defensively even without scoring. In our preview of Gremio vs Palmeiras we backed the visitors to win with goals at both ends, but the 0-0 scoreline left that call well short.
🚨Check out our dedicated Remo vs Gremio stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Remo the favourite
- Moneyline Remo 2.28 | Gremio 2.98
- Draw 3.35
Bookmakers lean toward Remo by a decent margin, roughly 41% implied against Gremio’s 31%, largely on home advantage alone since the underlying form clearly favours the visitors. That gap looks a touch generous to the hosts given their five-match losing streak, and we think the market is undervaluing Gremio’s chances of leaving Belem with at least a point.
Possible Starting Lineups
Remo possible starting eleven
- GK: Marcelo Rangel
- DF: Marlon, Duplexe Tchamba Bangou, Marllon, Marcelo Rodrigues Souza
- MF: Leonel Picco, Ze Ricardo, Patrick Bezerra do Nascimento, Jose Welison, Vitor Bueno
- FW: Antonio Galeano
Thiago Carpini keeps faith with the regular 4-2-3-1 shape that has featured in all five recent matches. Marlon has played every minute available across that stretch and anchors the back line, while Vitor Bueno’s lone goal in the sample makes him the closest thing Remo have to a creative spark behind Galeano up top.
Gremio possible starting eleven
- GK: Weverton Pereira da Silva
- DF: Gustavo Martins, Diego Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos, Joao Pedro, Walter Kannemann
- MF: Mathias Villasanti, Erick Noriega, Filip Krovinovic, Tete, Cristian Pavon
- FW: Carlos Vinicius
Renato Gaucho sticks with the 4-1-4-1 that has governed his last five selections, with Villasanti dropping deepest to shield the back four. Tete’s lone assist in the sample and Carlos Vinicius’s lead in shots make them the two names most likely to decide this one going forward.
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Remo. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Gremio to come away from the Mangueirao unbeaten, either through a draw or a narrow win, given Remo’s complete lack of form compared to a Gremio side that at least showed defensive discipline against Palmeiras last time out. Both defenses have leaked goals all season, so BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 total goals pair well with the main pick. To be honest, backing Remo outright feels like chasing a home-advantage narrative that their results simply do not support right now.
