Liam Duckstein
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Ukraine host Hungary in a game that technically carries no home comforts at all, since Andrea Maldera’s side will play this League B Group 2 fixture at the Štadión Antona Malatinského in Trnava, Slovakia, far from their own supporters. That detail matters more than it sounds. Both teams sit level on four points in the table, separated only by goal difference, with Northern Ireland running clear at the top and Georgia cut adrift at the bottom. A win here does more than bragging rights, it decides who stays within touching distance of the leaders.
Marco Rossi’s Hungary arrive with a bit more rhythm behind them, having beaten Ukraine already earlier in this same group stage. That 1-0 result still stings for the Ukrainians, and avenging it on a technically neutral pitch gives this rematch an edge the standings alone don’t fully capture.
Dominik Szoboszlai remains the heartbeat of this Hungary side. He leads his squad in shots and set-piece involvement across the last five matches, and anything Hungary create going forward tends to run through him first. On the other side, Danylo Sikan deserves a close watch, he is Ukraine’s only source of goals of late and carries a disproportionate amount of attacking responsibility for Maldera’s men.
Hot stat: Ukraine have scored just two goals across their last five matches combined, and Sikan has scored both of them. That is a striking lack of balance for a team hoping to climb back up this group.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava |
| 🗓️ Date: | 05.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Ukraine vs Hungary prediction
We lean toward Hungary Double Chance here, backing Rossi’s side to either win or draw. Hungary own the better recent form of the two, with three wins in their last five outings against Ukraine’s two, and they have already shown they can handle this exact opponent just weeks ago. Ukraine’s attack has gone cold, relying almost entirely on Sikan, and that kind of dependency rarely survives a side as organized defensively as Hungary have been under Rossi.
Ukraine foul more often and pick up more cards per game than Hungary across the last five matches, 67 fouls and 15 yellows against Hungary’s 57 fouls and 13 yellows, a pattern that suggests Maldera’s players chase the game physically when things aren’t flowing. Hungary, meanwhile, dominate set-piece territory with 18 corners won compared to Ukraine’s 11, which fits their patient, possession-based approach under Rossi. Expect a game where Hungary control tempo, Ukraine try to disrupt it, and goals stay scarce given both sides’ recent scoring numbers.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hungary Double Chance (Draw or Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Ukraine’s last match was a rough one, a 0-3 defeat to Northern Ireland that exposed how fragile Maldera’s defense can look against direct opposition. Before that they drew 0-0 with Georgia and edged Hungary 1-0, so form across the last three matches reads loss, draw, win, hardly a convincing trend heading into Trnava. In our preview of Ukraine vs Northern Ireland we called a disciplined, low-scoring home performance built around Ukraine’s double chance market, but the eventual 0-3 scoreline went firmly against that read.
Hungary head into this one off the back of a tidy 1-0 win over Georgia, their third victory in the last five matches, and they have only lost once in that stretch, the very reverse fixture against Ukraine. Rossi’s side look more balanced defensively too, having conceded in just two of their last five games. In our preview of Hungary vs Georgia we called a narrow one-goal home win paired with under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, and the resulting 1-0 scoreline delivered exactly that outcome.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Ukraine | Hungary |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ukraine vs Hungary stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ukraine the favourite
- Moneyline Ukraine 2.35 | Hungary 3.10
- Draw 3.25
Bookmakers still price Ukraine as favourites at around 40% implied probability, which feels generous given how blunt their attack has looked lately. Hungary’s 31% and the draw’s 29% both carry appeal, and we think the market underrates Rossi’s side here. Backing anything but a straight Ukraine win looks like the shrewder route, especially with the draw odds sitting close to 3.25 across most books.
Possible Starting Lineups
Ukraine possible starting eleven
- GK: Anatoliy Trubin
- DF: Eduard Sarapiy, Ilya Zabarnyi, Valeriy Bondar, Mykola Matvienko
- MF: Oleg Ocheretko, Volodymyr Brazhko, Heorhii Sudakov
- FW: Viktor Tsygankov, Oleksandr Zubkov, Danylo Sikan
Maldera sticks with his usual 4-2-3-1 base, trusting the Zabarnyi-Bondar central pairing that has started every one of the last five matches. Sikan leads the line again after carrying the entire goal output recently, while Sudakov’s creativity from midfield gives Ukraine their best route to unlocking a disciplined Hungary back line.
Hungary possible starting eleven
- GK: Balazs Toth
- DF: Willi Orbán, Milos Kerkez, Mark Csinger, Attila Osváth
- MF: Dominik Szoboszlai, András Schäfer, Áron Csongvai, Zsolt Nagy
- FW: Dániel Lukács, Milan Tóth
Rossi keeps faith with his settled 4-4-2 shape, built around Orbán’s experience at the back and Szoboszlai pulling the strings further forward. Kerkez already has a goal to his name in this stretch and offers an extra attacking outlet from left-back, while Lukács’s hold-up play partners well with Tóth’s movement in behind.
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Hungary. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Hungary to avoid defeat in Trnava, drawing on their steadier recent form and the fact they already beat this same Ukraine side earlier in the group. Ukraine’s reliance on a single goalscorer worries us, and perhaps that single point of failure gets exposed again against a Hungary side that defends in better shape right now. Our punters team lands on Hungary Double Chance combined with Under 2.5 goals as the standout combination for this fixture, with BTTS No added as the value play given how often one side has kept things tight defensively across this group so far.
Read Also: Ukraine vs Hungary Predicted Lineups, Team News & Expected XIs
